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Exit polls show that Bulgaria's pro Russian former president is leading in the election.

Exit polls indicate that the 'party' of Bulgaria's pro Russian former President Rumen Radev is likely to win Sunday's parliament vote. He has campaigned to stamp out corruption, and to end a spiral weak, short-lived government. However, as it stands, he'll need coalition partners in order to run a majoritarian government. Radev is a eurosceptic ex-fighter pilot who opposes the military support of Ukraine's war against Moscow. He stepped down as president in January in order to run for the election. This comes after mass demonstrations forced the previous government out in December. The Balkan nation of approximately 6.5 million voters held its eighth election in just five years. Voters are tired of a small grouping of experienced politicians who are widely perceived as corrupt. However, no single party has managed to gain enough support.

Alpha Research, a Sofia-based firm, conducted the final exit poll. It showed Radev’s?Progressive Bulgaria at 38.1%. This was far in front of the GERB, led by Boyko Borissov as former Prime Minister, which came in second with 15.9%. Other exit polls showed different percentages, but all indicated a Radev victory.

If confirmed, this would be one of the best results in recent years for a single political party.

"We will not allow (again) to have elections. Radev said to reporters after the exit polls were released, "It is ruinous for Bulgaria."

He said he was 'willing to work' with the reformist We Continue the Change-Democratic Bulgaria coalition (PP-DB), which came third with 14.1% in the Alpha Research Exit Polls, on judicial Reform, but that a minor government is also an option.

He said, "We are willing to consider other options so that Bulgaria has a stable and regular government."

The final results of the election are expected to be announced on Monday.

The promises of RADEV are a reality for many

Radev's campaign called for improved relations with Moscow, and the return of free Russian oil and gas to Europe.

There is no way to know how this will affect the foreign policy of Bulgaria. Bulgaria, which is a NATO member and a European Union member that joined the eurozone last January, has not yet made definite statements about the impact. A coalition with reformist PPDB could moderate any Kremlin friendly leanings. Radev's participation and support was boosted by a slick social media campaign and deep coffers, as well as a promise of stability and a promise of stability. Alpha Research estimated that turnout was 47% after one hour, compared to 39% in the October 2024 election.

Winner Will Have Work to Do

Bulgaria has grown rapidly since 1989, when communism fell. It joined the European Union. Since joining the Eurozone in January, the life expectancy of Bulgarians has increased dramatically, the unemployment rate is the lowest in the EU and the economy is better protected.

It lags behind other EU countries on many metrics and corruption is still endemic. This includes vote-buying at elections.

Since Bulgaria adopted the Euro, cost of living has become a major issue. The previous government was overthrown amid protests about a budget that proposed tax increases and higher social insurance contributions.

"Politicians must come together to make decisions, not to have constant arguments and conflicts, and to go from one election after another without getting any work done," said Bogomil Bárdarski, 72, a metalworker in Sofia. (Writing and editing by Edward McAllister, Jacqueline Wong, Christina Fincher and Mark Potter)

(source: Reuters)