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As oil prices rise, chip stocks continue to fall

On Wednesday, oil prices rose as U.S. sanctions against Iranian oil and renewed fighting in the Middle East threatened the ceasefire. Stocks were shaky because the record-breaking AI rally is running out of buyers.

Brent crude futures rose 3.2% to $76.54 per barrel, which is still a far cry from the wartime peaks above $120, but it's enough to cause a stir in the bond markets by increasing inflation risks. This is especially true since months of conflict has reduced global inventories.

Jason Wong is a senior strategist with BNZ Wellington. He said: "Obviously, the market does not like these attacks... But it's still not full-blown pandemonium mode."

U.S. stock futures and European stock prices were largely stable.

Iran's Revolutionary Guards claimed that they had targeted U.S. military in Bahrain and Kuwait where air raid sirens were heard on Wednesday.

Washington has also moved to withdraw an agreement that allowed Iran to sell its oil on the world market. The Iranian foreign ministry claimed this was a breach of the framework agreement to end the war.

The 10-year U.S. Treasury Yields, which increase when prices drop, have risen about 3 basis points, to a monthly?high of 4.565%, and the 30-year yields are now above 5%.

David Chao is the Asia-Pacific Global Market Strategist at Invesco, Singapore.

"I believe that Brent is still trading at levels which I think do not take into account some of the?continued flare-ups in the Middle East."

The U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve has seen its crude oil stocks fall to their lowest levels since 1983. This leaves the markets more susceptible to future supply shocks.

SAMSUNG SINKS

Investors were rattled when Samsung Electronics' shares fell for the second consecutive session, despite the company reporting a 19-fold increase in profit.

Seoul's 5% fall has taken South Korean stocks more than 20% below their peak from last month. If this trend continues through the closing bell, it would be considered a bearish market, even though the KOSPI Index is up 70% so far this year.

Sara Perring is the head of APAC cash equity sales for J.P. Morgan.

J.P. Morgan Research says that we can expect increased volatility and foreign selling of Korean equities in the near future.

Overnight, the Nasdaq broke through its 50-day moving median.

Japan's Nikkei dropped 1.2% on Tuesday, but Hong Kong was a brighter spot. The battered technology index rose 3.8% and is heading for one of its best sessions this year as investors bought up laggards.

The dollar was strong on the currency markets, pushing the euro to $1.14, and the yen past 162, raising the possibility of a Japanese pushback.

The New Zealand Dollar blipped up about 0.5% to $0.57, after the Reserve Bank raised interest rates as expected.

The minutes of the Federal Reserve's meeting from last month are due on Wednesday, and traders believe that Kevin Warsh will likely reduce any detail in order to dampen a policy signal.

Steve Englander, Standard Chartered's head of North America macro-strategy, said that avoiding any discussion about rate increases could be interpreted by the market to mean a reluctance on your part to act. (Reporting and editing by Jamie Freed, Sonali Paul, and Tom Westbrook)

(source: Reuters)