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Reports that Israel could attack Iran cause supply concerns

The price of oil jumped by more than 1% after Israel was reported to be preparing an attack on Iranian nuclear facilities. This sparked fears that the conflict could disrupt supply in this key Middle East region.

Brent futures rose by 97 cents or 1.5% to $66.35 per barrel at 0330 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate Crude Futures for July rose 96 cents or 1.6% to $62.99. The WTI contract for June expired at $62.56 on Tuesday.

CNN reported Tuesday that the United States has received new intelligence suggesting that Israel is planning to attack Iranian nuclear facilities. CNN cited multiple U.S. government officials who are familiar with the issue.

CNN, citing officials, added that it was unclear whether Israeli leaders had made a decision.

On Wednesday, ING commodities analysts said that such an escalation could put Iranian oil supply in danger. It would also be a threat to other parts of the region.

An attack by Israel could disrupt the flow of oil from Iran, the third largest producer in the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries.

Iran may also retaliate, blocking oil tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, a chokepoint in the Gulf through which Saudi Arabia Kuwait Iraq and United Arab Emirates export crude and fuel.

This year, the U.S. has held multiple rounds of talks with Iran over its nuclear program. U.S. president Donald Trump is reviving his campaign to increase sanctions on Iranian crude oil exports in order to force them to abandon their nuclear ambitions.

Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, the Iranian Supreme leader and U.S. officials made statements on Tuesday that both sides are still far from a solution.

If successful, indirect nuclear talks are taking place between the U.S.A. and Iran. This could lead to further gains for the market. These talks seem to be losing steam, according to ING analysts.

There were still some signs that crude supply was improving. Market sources cited American Petroleum Institute data on Tuesday to say that U.S. crude stockpiles rose last week, while gasoline and distillate stocks fell.

Sources, who spoke on condition of anonymity, said that crude stocks in the U.S. - the world's largest oil consumer - rose by 2.5m barrels during the week ending May 16.

Investors will be watching the Energy Information Administration's report on U.S. government oil stocks later this Wednesday.

A source in the industry said that Kazakhstan's oil output has risen by 2% since May. This is a significant increase, which defies the pressure of OPEC+ to reduce Kazakhstan's production. (Reporting from Houston by Georgina McCartney and Jeslyn Lerh; Editing by Christian Schmollinger).

(source: Reuters)