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As US growth concerns weigh on shares, yields fall with the dollar. Asia shares are up.

As US growth concerns weigh on shares, yields fall with the dollar. Asia shares are up.

The dollar was hurt by a decline in U.S. Treasury rates on Wednesday. Oil prices were also affected as concerns about the future of the world's biggest economy increased. Meanwhile, Asian shares rose in anticipation of Nvidia's earnings, which will be announced later that day.

After President Donald Trump ordered an investigation into possible new tariffs against copper imports on Tuesday, U.S. prices of copper rose by more than 4% overnight while other countries saw their prices fall.

The latest survey data released on Tuesday shows that U.S. consumers' confidence dropped at the fastest pace in three-and-a half years in February. This is the latest of a series of surveys showing how businesses and consumers are becoming more alarmed by Trump's policies.

The traders responded by increasing their bets on more Federal Reserve rate reductions this year. Futures now point to almost 60 basis points of easing being priced in by the end of the year, up from around 40 bps just a week earlier.

"We are not surprised by the low consumer confidence figures. We are surprised that they're coming out now, even before the tariffs have an impact on consumers," said Joseph Capurso of Commonwealth Bank of Australia.

The Fed's increased easing bets pushed the U.S. Treasury Yields down on Wednesday. The benchmark 10-year yield is now at a two-month low, 4.2830%.

The yield on the two-year bond fell by 1 basis point to 4.0860%.

This in turn affected the dollar, especially against the yen. The dollar last traded at 148.81yen, down 0.13% from its previous low.

The euro was hovering near its one-month-high at $1.0522. Sterling, meanwhile, was within striking distance of a two month high and bought $1.2675 last.

Capurso, of CBA, said that the dollar is weakening because of the soft economic data. But at some point you reach a threshold, where safe-haven flows are directed into the U.S. Dollar. "If things really get bad in America, say, the market begins pricing in a possible recession or even something that is close to one, the U.S. Dollar will always go up," said CBA's Capurso.

The outlook for oil demand is also clouded by fears of a slowdown in U.S. economic growth.

Brent futures rose by 0.34%, to $73.27 per barrel after falling more than 2% the previous session. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude oil also increased by 0.36%, to $69.18 a barrel, reversing a portion of Tuesday's 2.5% decline.

Gold also rose on Wednesday, gaining 0.1%, to $2,918.50 per ounce, due to safe-haven flows.

ASIA SHARES UPBEAT

On Wednesday, MSCI’s broadest Asia-Pacific share index outside Japan gained 0.63%, boosted by a rise in Chinese stocks.

Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index soared by more than 2%. The Hang Seng Tech Index also rose 2.7%.

The Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.7%, while the CSI300 blue chip index rose 0.54%.

Chinese stocks are on fire in the last few weeks. DeepSeek's AI breakthrough has reignited interest among investors in China's technological capabilities.

The rally was slowed down earlier this week by news that the Trump Administration plans to tighten the semiconductor curbs on China. Also, after the U.S. president signed a memo directing the Committee on Foreign Investment to restrict Chinese investment in strategic areas.

Vishnu Varathan is the head of Asia ex-Japan macro research at Mizuho.

Not in China's particular case. The U.S. is determined to cause significant industrial pain, which will compromise technological advantage and manufacturing capacity or clout.

Japan's Nikkei slid 1.15%.

After a mixed session, U.S. stocks futures recovered. Nasdaq Futures rose 0.34% and S&P500 Futures gained 0.2%.

The futures of the EUROSTOXX50 index also rose by 0.37%, while FTSE futures gained 0.46%.

Nvidia, the AI sector's poster child, will report its earnings for the quarter on Wednesday. This could provide clarity and justify high valuations.

Due to the slow returns and breakthroughs made by China's DeepSeek, investor skepticism has increased over the billions of dollars that U.S. technology firms have invested in AI infrastructure.

Jacob Falkencrone, global head of Saxo’s investment strategy, said that any signs of weakness within Nvidia’s report would have a significant impact on investor sentiment toward AI stocks in general.

This earnings report isn't about Nvidia. It's about if the AI revolution will continue at its current pace.

(source: Reuters)