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Iron ore prices are on the rise amid new stimulus hopes and a softening of demand

Iron ore futures were traded within a narrow price range on February 2, as investors weighed the prospects of fresh stimulus coming from Beijing in the next month, against signs of a softening in demand in China's top consumer.

The day-trading price of the most traded January iron ore contract at China's Dalian Commodity Exchange was 0.2% higher, closing at 763 Yuan ($107.12).

Iron ore benchmark on the Singapore Exchange for December fell by 0.56%, to $101.6 per ton at 0813 GMT.

Steven Yu, senior analyst at Mysteel, explained that the recent price drop caused a divergence in the market outlook. This led to a consolidation.

Yu stated that "bulls" believe the annual decline in crude steel production year-to date has reduced the pressure to cut production in the remainder of the year. Also, they hope for stimulus measures which will be announced at the politburo in December.

Official data released last month showed that China's crude-steel output dropped 2.9% on an annual basis in the nine-month period ending September. The October figures will be released on Friday.

Beijing announced in March that it would restructure the vast steel industry by cutting output.

China has set a cap on the growth of crude steel production annually since 2021 in order to reduce carbon emissions.

Mysteel’s Yu stated that bears are betting on a lower demand, as some mills continue reducing production.

Steelmakers are cutting back production due to a decline in steel demand, and high raw material costs.

Coking coal, coke and other steelmaking components fell by 3.81% and 3.66% respectively.

The majority of steel benchmarks traded on the Shanghai Futures Exchange suffered losses. Rebar fell 0.33%, steel prices dropped 0.84% and stainless steel fell 0.84%. Hot-rolled coils rose 0.03%. $1 = 7.1230 Chinese Yuan (Reporting and editing by Amy Lv, Lewis Jackson and Subhranshu Shu).

(source: Reuters)