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MORNING quote AMERICAS-Earnings obstacle cleared - CPI fence up next

A take a look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets from Mike Dolan

Wall Street and world stock markets have actually cleared the first-quarter corporate revenues season easily enough to be back stalking record highs, however macro markets do not wish to budge much even more up until they see today's U.S. inflation update.

Wednesday's U.S. customer rate report sucks much of the oxygen out of the early part of the markets week - vital as it remains in revealing whether disinflation has resumed after a. sticky Q1, and a minimum of adequate to keep Federal Reserve relieving. expectations this year in the frame.

For what it deserves, agreement projections for the April print. see monthly core CPI gains slowing to a 0.3% speed from 0.4% in. March - dragging the annual rate down to 3.6% from 3.8%. The. headline rate is anticipated to slip back to 3.4% from 3.5%.

The New York Fed's survey of inflation expectations for last. month gets launched later Monday to offer color to the picture. beforehand - and supply a truth check to the uptick in the. equivalent University of Michigan survey that ruffled feathers on. Wall Street on Friday.

In spite of the bumpier U.S. CPI readings through the. quarter, one-year ahead inflation expectations in the NY Fed. study remained constant at 3% through the first 3 months of. the year. The University of Michigan's 1-year outlook, however,. jumped to 3.5% this month from 3.2% in April - even as consumer. belief fell greatly.

Also uncommon compared to current months is that the CPI data. is released after the April producer rate report, which is due. out Tuesday. The core annual PPI rate is anticipated to be steady. at 2.4%.

And whatever heat is left in U.S. inflation, it's. not there in China. CPI rose above projection there last. month, it is still running at just 0.3% year-on-year while. producer rate deflation continues at an annual 2.5%.

With brand-new bank financing in China falling more than expected in. April, and broad credit growth striking a record low, pressure. for more stimulus to support the economy remains intense.

China's finance ministry said it will today begin the. long-awaited sales of 1 trillion yuan ($ 138.23 billion) of. long-term treasury bonds, profits from which Beijing wishes to. usage to assist spur essential sectors.

Beginning on Friday, sources said there will be 300. billion yuan worth of 20-year bonds, 600 billion yuan worth of. 30-year bonds and 100 billion yuan worth of 50-year bonds sold.

For Chinese stocks, however, geopolitics is never far from. the headings. Although Hong Kong stocks increased again on. Monday, mainland shares were more controlled as brand-new energy car. shares lost 2.2% following Friday's news that U.S. President Joe Biden's planned new China tariffs would consisting of. a significant walking in levies on electrical lorries.

World stocks were flat more normally, with Tokyo. off a touch as a slightly weaker yen primarily held the. line.

In a sign that current federal government intervention to support the. yen might be shifting market psychology, the latest Product. Futures Trading Commission information showed that hedge funds and. speculators slashed their brief yen positions by 20% in the week. to May 7 - the biggest weekly yen-bullish swing considering that 2020.

Back on Wall Street, the CPI vigil left the S&P 500. bit changed on Friday and futures are similarly ahead of. today's bell.

However with the Q1 incomes season abating, it is not hard. to see why stocks are back near record highs. S&P 500 firms are. now tracking annual revenue growth of some 7.4% for the quarter -. greater than expectations at the start of the year. Leaving out the. energy sector, that rate is now in double digits and estimates. for the equivalent quarter next year are as high as 15%.

On Monday, Treasury yields were usually steady. and the dollar mainly flat.

In Europe, macro markets will keep half an eye on the euro. group finance ministers meeting in Brussels - where national. spending plans, competitiveness and banking and capital markets union. are being gone over.

Danish shipping huge AP Moeller-Maersk stood. out as its shares jumped 7.1%, boosted by a rise in freight. rates amid higher trade volumes and the Red Sea crisis. Key diary items that might offer instructions to U.S. markets later on. on Monday:. * New York Federal Reserve's April inflation expectations survey. * Federal Reserve Board Vice Chair Philip Jefferson and. Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester speak. * Eurogroup finance ministers meet in Brussels, European Central. Bank board member Piero Cipollone participates in. * United States Treasury auctions 3-, 6-month expenses

(source: Reuters)