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Oil prices rise as the focus shifts from supply to demand

Oil prices rise as the focus shifts from supply to demand
Oil prices rise as the focus shifts from supply to demand

The oil prices rose on Tuesday but the gains were modest as traders focused their attention on supply and demand.

Brent crude futures rose 28 cents or 0.39 percent to $72.29 and U.S. West Texas?Intermediate crude climbed to $68.84 per barrel at 0046 GMT. This is up 29 cents or 0.26 percent after having settled down on Monday to levels similar to those seen before the Iran war.

Tim Waterer is the chief market analyst for KCM Trade. He said that although the steps taken towards recovering supply have reduced the immediate risk premium the market still remains cautious about putting too much faith in the stability and continuity of the current ceasefire given the ongoing nature of U.S. -Iran relations.

Donald Trump announced on Monday that the United States would either "finalize" a deal with Iran, or "finish the task." He renewed his threat of military intervention as Tehran continues to show defiance after the funeral of the former Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.

Investors are closely monitoring the?talks' between the U.S.A. and Iran regarding the fate of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, as well as the recovery of Gulf oil exports.

Estimates say that the United Arab Emirates increased crude production above 3.8 millions bpd, their highest level since April 2020, and also above pre-Iran War levels. They did this after they left OPEC+ production quotas in May.

We will be looking for early signs of demand, especially from China. Waterer said that the market has already priced in "a lot" of the good news about supply, and the next leg up in oil prices will depend on whether the physical reality matches optimistic headlines.

On Sunday, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies, including Russia agreed to increase the output target by 188,000 bpd for August. This is in addition to the similar increases made for June and July.

Saudi Arabia has cut its official selling price (OSP) of its flagship Arab Light crude to Asia by $11, a drop of $11 from the previous months and the largest drop in over two decades.

(source: Reuters)