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As tensions between the US and China ease, oil prices are on the rise.

Early signs of a thaw between U.S. and China trade tensions helped to boost market sentiment on Tuesday, easing concerns about global fuel demand.

U.S. Treasury Sec. Scott Bessent stated on Monday that President Donald Trump is committed to meeting Chinese president Xi Jinping later this month in South Korea as both countries attempt to deescalate tensions regarding tariff threats and export control.

He said that the two sides had been in contact over the weekend, and that more meetings are expected.

Brent crude futures were up 18 cents or 0.28% to $63.50 per barrel at 0000 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude rose 16 cents or 0.27% to $59.65 per barrel.

Brent closed 0.9% higher in the previous session and U.S. WTI ended up 1%.

Oil markets have historically been buoyed by the prospect of better trade relations between two of the largest economies in the world, as investors expect stronger global growth.

Recent developments such as China's increased export controls for rare earths, and Trump's threat of 100% tariffs on software and export restrictions beginning November 1 have dampened sentiment. Last week, the oil price posted weekly losses. It reached its lowest level since May.

Trump also questioned a possible meeting between Xi and Trump during the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation summit (APEC), scheduled to take place in South Korea from October 30-November 1. He said on Truth Social, "there seems to be no need to do this."

Geopolitics is expected to continue to dominate the headlines, despite the fact that the markets' sell-off now appears to be limited due to Washington and Beijing adopting a more conciliatory tone.

Daniel Hynes is an analyst with ANZ. He wrote in a report that "the oil industry continues its geopolitical navigation."

"China announced it would tax U.S. ships that arrive at its shores including oil tankers." Hynes said that this led to several cancellations at the last minute and an increase in shipping costs.

Trump, who on Monday announced the end of a two-year Gaza war which has shook the Middle East in general and impacted the stock market, also limited the upside.

In its latest monthly report, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies, including Russia, said that the shortfall in oil supply on the market will decrease in 2026 as the broader OPEC+ coalition moves forward with planned production increases.

(source: Reuters)