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Oil settles higher after Israeli strike overshadows ceasefire talks

Oil prices settled up $1 on Wednesday after three sons of a Hamas leader were killed in an Israeli airstrike in the Gaza Strip, feeding worries that ceasefire talks may stall.

Brent crude futures settled up $1.06, or 1.2%, to $ 90.48 per barrel while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures settled up 98 cents, or 1.2%, to $86.21.

The oil market has actually been and continues to be very reactive to news out of Gaza, said John Kilduff, partner at Again Capital LLC in New York.

The Israeli military confirmed carrying out the attack, describing the 3 boys as operatives in the Hamas armed wing. On Tuesday, Hamas stated it was studying an Israeli ceasefire proposal in the more than six-month-old Gaza war but called it was intransigent and stated it met none of the Palestinian demands.

A continuing conflict could drag in other nations, particularly Hamas-backer Iran, the third-largest producer in the Company of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC).

Mexico's choice to curb unrefined exports in order to supply domestic refineries likewise supported prices and resulted in record low U.S. imports of Mexican crude in early April.

In early trade oil rates fell after U.S. government information showed crude oil and fuel stocks swelled by a lot more than anticipated on weak demand and lower oil exports.

U.S. unrefined stocks climbed up by 5.8 million barrels in the week ended April 5, more than double the rise of about 2.4 million barrels experts had actually anticipated. Refined products inventories increased suddenly with gas up by 700,000 barrels and extract stocks by 1.7 million barrels.

The U.S. Energy Info Administration (EIA) data also revealed a roughly 2.1 million barrel daily (bpd) drop in oil product supplied, a proxy for fuel need, and a 2.7 million bpd drop in crude oil exports.

A few of the heat has actually come out of the rally in crude oil in the early part of today on hopes of a ceasefire in Gaza and greater U.S. stocks, stated Tony Sycamore, a market analyst at IG in Singapore.

Independently, the U.S. EIA dramatically raised its projection for crude oil output. It prepares for an increase of 280,000 bpd to 13.21 million bpd in 2024, up from its earlier projection of a. 20,000 bpd increase.

The EIA stated it anticipates Brent crude prices to average $88.55. a barrel in 2024, up from a previous forecast of $87, and it. upgraded its need growth forecast for the previous 2 years.

Broadly it reconfirmed an oil market outlook with OPEC+ in. good control of the oil market, SEB analyst Bjarne Schieldrop. stated.

OPEC's monthly oil market report will be published. Thursday, April 11 and the International Energy Agency's oil. market report will be released Friday, April 12.

(source: Reuters)