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Investors pare back over-extended gains as copper prices fall this week
The market was expected to post a weekly decline on Friday as it pared gains that had been over-extended in the last few weeks, which were backed by concerns about supply. During the morning of trading, investors were searching for direction in the absence of macroeconomic and fundamental data. As of 0301 GMT the most traded copper contract at the Shanghai Futures Exchange rose 0.01% to 85,980 Yuan ($12,070.76) a metric ton, and was set for a weekly decline of 1.41%. The benchmark three-month price of copper at the London Metal Exchange rose 0.34% to $10,719 per ton. It is expected to finish the week with a 1.54% decline. Analysts at Sucden Financial wrote in a report that markets are struggling to establish a clear trend because there have been few fundamental updates. They said that this was particularly true for the copper market, which after falling from record highs faces contradictory signals: a tight supply on the basis but a weak fundamental demand. The October PMI manufacturing reading for China's top consumer missed expectations on Friday. Investors rolled back their overbought bets on Thursday, ending a four-day loss streak. Investors are looking for clues to the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision in December. Some Fed officials advocated for support of another rate cut. However, investors were unsure due to the lack of reliable data during the shutdown. Aluminium gained 0.60% among other SHFE base materials, while zinc increased by 0.53% and tin added by 0.31%. Lead and nickel did not change much. Aluminium, zinc, and lead all rose in price, but nickel and tin remained unchanged. Friday, November 7, DATA/EVENTS - (GMT) 0700 UK Halifax House Price MM,YY Oct 0745 France Total Reserve Assets Oct 1330 US Non Farm Payrolls Oct 1300 US Unemployment Rate October 1330 US Average Earnings Year Oct 1500 US U Mich sentiment Prelim Nov (1 = 7.1230 Chinese Yuan Renminbi). (Reporting and Editing by Harikrishnan Nair; Reporting by Dylan Duan, Lewis Jackson)
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China's production cuts and soft steel demand will cause a weekly decline in iron ore.
The price of iron ore futures fell on Friday, and was set to fall for the week as a result of a weakening steel market and production cuts in China. By 0202 GMT, the most traded January iron ore contract at China's Dalian Commodity Exchange fell 1.16%. It was 766 Yuan ($107.54) per metric ton. The contract was expected to finish the week at a loss of 3.95%. On Friday, the benchmark December iron ore at the Singapore Exchange fell 1.79% to $102,05 per ton. The contract has fallen 3.9% this week. Analysts from ANZ said that in order to control deflation in China, the country has been focusing on eliminating overcapacity. The steel industry is a particular focus, as rapid capacity growth in this sector has impacted profitability. SteelHome data showed that blast furnace production was cut in North China, the region with the largest steelmaking industry. This led to a drop in steel production. Galaxy Futures, a Chinese broker, says that ore prices will remain low, as steel demand is expected to continue declining, due to the decline in consumption of real estate, infrastructure and manufacturing in the third quarter. The fourth quarter should not show any significant improvement, because the consumption of these sectors has declined on an annual basis. After the European Commission proposed last month that tariff-free import quotas for steel be cut by almost half, while the duty on steel imported outside of the quota be doubled to 50%, German Chancellor Friedrich Merz called on European patriotism in order to protect the EU’s steel industry. ArcelorMittal is the second largest steelmaker in the world. It beat earnings estimates for the third quarter, and provided a positive outlook to 2026. However, it noted that the overall demand was weak during the quarter, and there were few signs of restocking. Coking coal and coke, which are used to make steel, have gained 0.16% and 0.1% respectively. The Shanghai Futures Exchange saw a rise in most steel benchmarks. Rebar rose 0.43%; wire rod grew 0.06%; stainless steel grew 0.08%. Hot-rolled coils fell 0.06%. ($1 = 7.1230 Chinese yuan) (Reporting by Lucas Liew; Editing by Subhranshu Sahu)
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Supply concerns weigh on oil heads as they suffer a second consecutive loss of production.
After three days of declining prices, oil prices rose on Friday on concerns about an excess of supply and a slowing of demand in the U.S. Prices appeared headed for another week of losses. Brent crude futures were up 21 cents or 0.33% to $63.59 per barrel at 0149 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate Crude was up 22 cents or 0.37% at $59.65 per barrel. Brent and WTI will fall by about 2% in the coming week. This is a second consecutive week of declines as major producers around the world increase their output. Tony Sycamore, IG Markets' analyst, said that the price drop was primarily due to a sudden 5.2 million barrel U.S. stock buildup which reignited fears of oversupply. He added that "risk-aversion flows have boosted the dollar, and the U.S. Government Shutdown continues to cloud the economic activity." The Energy Information Administration reported on Wednesday that U.S. crude stock levels rose more than anticipated due to higher imports, reduced refining, and a decline in gasoline and distillate stocks. The oil prices were also influenced by the concerns over the economic impact of the longest shutdown of government in US history. Private reports indicate a weaker U.S. labour market in October, according to the Trump administration. Sycamore stated that WTI prices will be settled between $58 and $62 per barrel in the short term. The U.S. Government reopening in a week is a potential catalyst for the rally, but persistent buildups and weak demand will limit it. The Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC+) and its allies decided Sunday to slightly increase production in December. The group has also decided to pause further increases in the first quarter next year due to concerns about a glut of supply. Saudi Arabia, the world's largest exporter, has responded to OPEC+ by announcing its decision. Sharply reduced In December, the company set lower prices for crude oil for Asian buyers due to an oversupplied market. The sanctions imposed by the European Union and the United States on Russia and Iran also affect supplies to China and India, which are amongst the largest global importers. This provides some support for international markets. Gunvor, a Swiss commodity trader, announced on Thursday that it had withdrawn a proposal to purchase foreign assets from Russian energy company Lukoil. The U.S. Treasury had called Gunvor "Russia's puppet" and indicated Washington was opposed to the deal.
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Tech stocks drop on a weekly basis due to a sour mood
Investors are uneasy with the pace of the artificial intelligence stock rally, and have shifted their focus to safer assets like bonds and the Japanese yen. S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures firmed up a bit in Asia's morning. However, overnight the Nasdaq fell 1.9%. The world's largest tech index has fallen 2.8% this week. If that trend continues, it would be the biggest drop in a single week since March. This is a shock for an juggernaut which had gained more than half its value from the lows reached when tariffs were first announced in April. In morning trading, Japan's Nikkei dropped 1.8%, resulting in a loss of 4.7% for the week, the biggest since late march. Meanwhile, in Seoul, the Kospi declined 1.4%, resulting in a fall of 3.3% for the week, its worst weekly drop since late mars. Softbank Group Corp, a tech investor, fell more than 20 percent this week. Chip and cable manufacturers were also among the worst performers. Bitcoin, which is sometimes used as a barometer for tech sentiments, has fallen 8% this week to $101,092. MOOD SHIFT The pullback of AI-related shares has not been triggered by any obvious event, but the reaction to recent results reveals that some fears are beginning to surface about the possibility of a bubble and profitability questions. Meta's stock plunged late last month after it revealed large capital expenditures as the company builds data centres to support its AI push. Palantir Technologies, a data and AI company, has also seen its shares fall despite exceeding earnings expectations. Herald van der Linde is the head of equity strategies for Asia Pacific, HSBC. "And another one says it. Then a third. A fourth person says that these three are all selling. It's possible that I am selling, too. It's just a change in market sentiment. This could be happening now." Overnight, the S&P 500 index closed down 1.1% and the Philadelphia SE Semiconductor Index fell 2.4%. BONDS, YEN HIGHER Bond markets rose on the back of a demand for safety, and as second-tier U.S. data indicated a wave layoffs which could support future rate cuts in the U.S. The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury rates fell 6.4 basis point overnight to 4.09%, after Challenger, Gray & Christmas, an outplacement firm, said that there was a spike in job cuts announced in October. These private surveys have attracted attention on the market, while the prolonged U.S. shutdown has stopped official U.S. data publishing. The dollar fell overnight by nearly 0.5% to $1.1546 a euro. The dollar was last, at 153.17 Japanese yens and 0.8069 Swiss francs. The pound soared after the Bank of England held interest rates, but the possibility of a rate cut in December limited gains. It traded at a slight discount to $1.3128 on the Asian market. Gold held steady at just under $4,000 per ounce. Brent crude remained at $63.64 per barrel. (Editing by Shri Navaratnam).
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Australian shares flat as financials counter energy, real estate strength
Australian shares were little altered on Friday as gloomy performances in the financial sector following a disappointing profit half-year from Macquarie, a top investment bank, partially offset gains in local stocks in energy, real estate and healthcare. As of 2349 GMT the S&P/ASX 200 was flat at 8,826.80, and is on course for its second consecutive weekly loss if current momentum continues. Macquarie Group shares fell 5.5%, their lowest level in over five months. The lender missed expectations on its half-year profits due to a lacklustre commodity division. CBA, the top lender in Australia, lost 0.8% and ended a winning streak of two sessions during which they had gained 2.5%. Westpac shares also dropped 0.8%, after reaching a record-high on Wednesday. The broad financial index fell 0.6% on the Friday, but it was still on track to achieve its best performance for a week since late September. The benchmark index fell 1.4% following a poor close on Wall Street over night amid a sell-off in the tech sector. The shares of WiseTech Global, Xero and each other fell more than 1%. Rio Tinto, Fortescue and BHP all fell more than 1%. Rio Tinto was down by 0.2%, Fortescue by 0.5%, and BHP 0.5%. Gold miners recovered some of their losses by rising 1.1% on the back of a falling dollar, a surge in safe-haven demand and concerns about a long U.S. shutdown and the legality and legitimacy of tariffs. The shares of Northern Star Resources and Evolution Mining rose by 1.1% and 2.2%, respectively. The energy subindex rose by nearly 1%. Woodside Energy and Santos gained 1.6% and 0.6% respectively. The healthcare sub-index rose 0.6% while the real estate index climbed 0.4%. Qantas shares fell 4.1%, their lowest since mid-May. The Australian airline lowered its domestic unit revenue projection for the first half 2026. It also flagged an increase in fuel prices. The benchmark S&P/NZX50 index in New Zealand rose 0.4% to 13,625.29.
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China's Vice Premier urges the end of trade barriers that are holding back green transformation
Ding Xuexiang, vice premier of China, called on fellow leaders to show "true multiculturalism" at the climate summit held in Brazil. Ding, via a translation, said: "We must strengthen international collaboration in green technology and the industry, remove trade obstacles, and ensure free flow of high-quality green products, to better meet global sustainable development needs." Ding told the official Xinhua News Agency on Friday that the developed countries must fulfill their obligation "to lead in emission reduction and honour their funding commitments", as well as provide more assistance to developing countries. He said that China was willing to work with other parties to "persistently encourage green and low-carbon development". In September, Chinese President Xi Jinping stated that China aimed to reduce its economy-wide greenhouse gases emissions by 7% - 10% by 2035 compared to their peak. He said that as part of China's national determined contribution targets by 2035, the country's consumption of non-fossil fuels will represent more than 30%. (Reporting from William James in Belem, and Farah Masters in Hong Kong. Editing by Brad Haynes & Michael Perry).
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Safety fears hinder rescue efforts in South Korea after power plant collapse.
Fire and rescue officials reported that a worker died and six others remain trapped after a large structure collapsed at a South Korean power station being prepared for demolition. On Thursday afternoon, workers were removing parts of a massive steel structure that was a decommissioned heating system when it collapsed. The footage from the scene shows the structure toppled and mangled, surrounded by other structures. Kim Jung-shik, a fire official, told reporters that two people were rescued quickly and then another two were found under the rubble. He said that one worker died early Friday morning and another's condition was still unknown. Rescuers used heat sensors, remote scoping and search dogs to help locate other trapped workers. However, their efforts were hampered by a risk of further collapse, said he. The South Korean president Lee Jae Myung has called for a full-scale effort to rescue the trapped workers. (Reporting and editing by Ed Davies.)
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France launches $2.5 billion initiative for Congo forest protection
A document seen by revealed that European nations have thrown their weight behind a plan worth $2.5 billion to save the Congo forest. This conservation scheme could steal some of the thunder from Brazil's flagship initiative for the COP30. The U.N. Climate talks are being held this year in the Brazilian Amazon to draw attention to the issue of emissions caused by rampant deforestation. The initiative, led by France, is called "The Belem Call to the Forests of the Congo Basin". It has the backing of Germany, Norway and Britain. The initiative's supporters hope to mobilize resources in order to protect the second largest rainforest on earth. Five European nations signed the document in French dated 6 November. The document stated that "the donors are... committing themselves to mobilize over $2.5 billion in the next five year period, on top of the domestic resources which will be mobilized for the protection and management of forests of the Congo Basin by Central African countries." Signatories also said that they aimed to assist African nations in reducing deforestation by using technology, training and partnership. The Congo, the Amazon, the world's biggest rainforest, and the Borneo-Mekong-Southeast Asia basin, the third-largest, all face threats from expanding farm frontiers, logging, mining, and other industries. The Congo's protection has attracted attention, as it absorbs more greenhouse gases net than any other forest. However, the timing was not in sync with Brazil's priority of a global fund for forests that is central to its COP30 agenda. The Brazilian President Luiz inacio Lula da So has hailed the Tropical Forests Forever Facility as the future of climate financing because it replaces grants by a more scalable model. A diplomat who is familiar with both initiatives said that "in theory, they are both very different." He noted that the TFFF offers annual payments without strings to rainforest nations. The source said that the two rainforest funds competing with each other may not be helpful. Norway The TFFF has pledged $3 billion On Thursday, the largest contribution to date was made. France has said that it will contribute up to 500 millions euros to the Brazilian initiative. Reporting by Lisandra paraguassu from Belem, and Simon Jessop from Sao Paulo. Editing by Brad Hayes and Diane Craft.
Weak quotes in Citgo auction spurs Venezuela to pitch alternative pay strategy
The highest bid received in a U.S. auction of shares that will decide the fate of Venezuelaowned oil refiner Citgo Petroleum was $7.3 billion, enough to cover only a 3rd of courtapproved claims, two individuals knowledgeable about the matter stated.
A federal court in Delaware is auctioning the shares of a. parent of Venezuela's foreign crown gem, Houston-based Citgo,. that it discovered liable for the South American nation's debt. expropriations and defaults. Creditors have gathered to Delaware. to push claims totaling $21.3 billion in a case first brought. nearly seven years ago by miner Crystallex.
Arise from the first bidding round in January, nevertheless,. reveal a sales process that is unlikely to offer a satisfying. result for lenders or Citgo's existing owners. Offers received. so far in a case that broke brand-new legal ground in sovereign. resistance would leave many claims overdue, sources and analysts. alerted.
The court may need to revamp the sales procedure, or consider. an alternative being prepared by Venezuela, which would use. financial institutions a larger payout with proceeds spread over a number of. years, while retaining a few of Venezuela's stake in the business,. individuals stated.
Judge Leonard Stark, who is overseeing the case, has. decreased to consider Venezuela's payment proposals, the people. stated. If he would reevaluate with the greatest, it is unclear. deal in the preliminary bidding round covering only 14 of the 26. claims that he has actually accepted from 18 lenders.
The weak initial quotes were below the $13 billion to $14. billion value specialists appointed by the court had actually approximated. for the shares. That shortfall is triggering Citgo's parent. companies and boards to repeat a deal provided previously this. year: a $10 billion payment moneyed gradually from Citgo revenues,. equity and loanings.
ADDITIONAL INNINGS
The auction has actually drawn interest from oil giant ConocoPhillips. and systems of corporation Koch Industries, both putting. their claims against Venezuela through credit bids for the possessions.
Other deals came from energy business and personal. investors wanting to acquire the PDV Holding shares to get. control of the seventh-largest U.S. oil refiner by volume, the. individuals stated.
Spokespeople for Conoco, Citgo and boards monitoring the. refiner declined to comment. Koch Industries and lawyers for. the court authorities overseeing the auction did not respond to. ask for remark.
PDV Holding's only asset is Citgo, which owns three U.S. refineries, oil storage terminals and pipelines, and controls a. retail distribution network.
Citgo has actually been highly rewarding, making $4.8 billion in. earnings in the last two years.
The 12 non-binding deals gotten in January, nevertheless,. show concerns over the future worth of refiners with intense. carbon footprints and Citgo's struggling ties with Venezuela's. state oil company PDVSA, which stays under socialist President. Nicolas Maduro's grip, the people stated.
An attorney representing Citgo had actually called the first bidding. round disappointing.
The court is anticipated soon to set a 2nd, binding round,. but potential customers of a deal higher than the non-binding $7.3. billion are slim, individuals added.
Court authorities associated with the case will need to sit down. with Venezuela and get together something that will make good sense,. stated a person close to the auction process.
Venezuela's $10 billion proposition would offer creditors. with a mix of money, securities and shares in Citgo over. a three-year period. It would ultimately permit Venezuela to. keep about half ownership.
We have actually only been doing troubleshooting so far. We want to. move the ball forward, the video game has actually not ended up, one of the. individuals familiar with Venezuela's proposal stated.
POLITICAL ROCKETS
Venezuelan entities supervising Citgo wish to connect the. payment plan to more powerful U.S. defense for the refiner from. financial institutions as Maduro's government refuses to reverse a restriction on. opposition prospect Maria Corina Machado from running for. president, closing what Western nations saw as a path towards. democracy in Venezuela.
The idea includes pulling the Venezuela-related claims out. of the court case and into the U.S. Foreign Claims Settlement. Commission (FCSC), a quasi-judicial independent firm within. the Justice Department, for better dealing with all of Venezuela's. financial institutions.
Plan supporters are expected to discuss the proposition with. U.S. authorities, possibly including Secretary of State Antony. Blinken ahead of the April 18 expiration of a U.S. license that. relaxed sanctions on Venezuela's energy sector.
Unifying Venezuela's fractious opposition around a proposition,. Has actually been troublesome and convincing Washington could be. a lot more difficult, the sources acknowledged. Some. politicians and members of Citgo's monitoring boards believe. that having Machado in arrangement would provide the company a much better. chance of winning U.S. assistance.
Citgo will be much more important in the future, Machado. informed press reporters late Wednesday after a rally in central Carabobo. state. Thus, an organized restructuring process of all debts. and accounts will benefit lenders more than the current. auction.
The plan likewise would require the U.S. Treasury Department,. which last year green-lit the auction, to accept the offer,. and the Delaware court could be required to stop or freeze a sales. procedure it battled hard to advance.
Spokespeople for Gerardo Blyde, who represents opposition. celebrations negotiating with the Maduro administration, did not. supply comment. The U.S. State and Treasury departments did not. instantly provide remark.
We require a bullet-proof effort this time, one of individuals. behind the concepts said describing getting top opposition. politicians well connected to Washington to lead the initiative.
(source: Reuters)