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Oil edges up, investors eye Trump statement on Russia

Oil prices increased on Monday adding to the gains of over 2% made on Friday as investors regarded further U.S. Sanctions on Russia, which may have an impact on global supplies. However, a surge in Saudi production and tariff uncertainty restrained gains.

Brent crude futures increased 8 cents, to $70.44 per barrel at 0011 GMT. This extends a gain of 2.51% on Friday. U.S. West Texas Intermediate Crude Futures rose to $68.50 up 5 cents after closing 2.82% higher the previous session.

Donald Trump, the U.S. president, said Sunday he would send Patriot missiles for air defence to Ukraine. He will make a major statement on Russia on Monday.

Trump expressed his frustration at Russian President Vladimir Putin over the lack of progress made in ending the conflict in Ukraine, and Russia's increasing bombardment of Ukrainian city.

Last week, in an effort to pressurize Moscow into good faith peace negotiations with Ukraine a bipartisan U.S. Bill that would target Russia with sanctions gained momentum in Congress. However, it still needs Trump's support.

Four EU sources reported that after a meeting on Sunday, the European Union's envoys were on the verge to agree on an 18th package against Russia. This would include a lower cap on Russian crude oil.

Brent gained 3% last week while WTI saw a weekly gain around 2.2%. This was after the International Energy Agency stated that the global oil markets may be tighter then they appear, and demand is being supported by the peak summer refinery run to meet travel needs and power generation.

Analysts at ANZ said that the price increases were largely limited by the fact that Saudi Arabia had increased its oil production above the quota set under the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries' and its allies' agreement on supply.

Saudi Arabia exceeded the implied OPEC+ goal of 9.37m barrels per day by 430,000 barrels a day, according to the IEA.

Saudi Arabia's Energy Ministry said Friday that the Kingdom had met its voluntary OPEC+ production target. It added that Saudi marketed oil supply in June was 9,352 million bpd in accordance with the agreed quota.

ANZ stated in a report that the release of China’s preliminary commodity trade figures later on Monday will highlight any signs of a weaker demand.

Investors also watch the outcome of U.S. trade talks with key trading partner that could affect global economic growth.

(source: Reuters)