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Saudi economy grows 4.9% in the fourth quarter, as the oil sector drives growth

According to government estimates, Saudi Arabia's fourth-quarter economy grew by 4.9% on an annual basis, thanks in part to strong growth in nonoil activities, and increased oil production.

The oil sector grew 10.4% in the last quarter of 2008 as production increased in the second half of the year. Non-oil activity grew by around 4% compared to the previous year.

The preliminary estimates of the Statistics Agency show that the real GDP will grow by 4.5% for the full year 2025. Oil activities are expected to increase by 5.6% and non-oil activities by 4.9%.

Saudi Arabia, which is the top oil exporter in the world and a member of OPEC+, a group of nations that includes Russia, began easing its oil production curbs in April.

As part of a recalibration?of priorities, the kingdom has also advanced to its third phase of economic transformation, Vision 2030. This phase emphasizes implementation of ambitious strategies and projects to expand the non-oil sector, such as tourism, AI, and manufacturing. In order to re-calibrate its priorities, the kingdom is shifting from spending heavily on futuristic projects like NEOM's The Line to more urgent and profitable initiatives, taking into consideration mounting?fiscal concerns.

In a recent?note, Daniel Richards, senior economic advisor at Emirates NBD said that there are concerns about how long Saudi Arabia can maintain its current pace of growth as it reviews its spending priorities.

In the short term, however we do not believe that Saudi Arabia's massive spending plans will be enough to sustain robust growth. The government forecasts growth of 4.6% by 2026. Reporting by Rachna uppal, Editing by Kirby Donovan

(source: Reuters)