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Angola's Finance Minister says that country stress testing for lower oil prices and IMF program is more likely

Angola's Finance Minister says that country stress testing for lower oil prices and IMF program is more likely

Angola runs stress tests to assess the impact of a drop in oil prices on the government's finances, said Finance Minister Vera Daves de Sousa on Friday. She added that this situation makes a request for a loan program from the IMF more likely.

After U.S. President Donald Trump's announcement of sweeping tariffs, Brent oil futures briefly fell below $60. This was the lowest level for four years. The contract closed at $66.91 per barrel on Friday.

Daves de Sousa said in an interview at the International Monetary Fund Spring Meetings in Washington that "we are rolling out stress tests scenarios."

De Sousa explained that a decline of less than $45 in oil prices would require an additional budget.

She said that the government is working to improve tax administration, increase enforcement of property taxes and mitigate the effect of lower oil prices.

Many smaller and riskier emerging countries, including Angola have felt the impact of recent volatility in fixed income markets, particularly U.S. Treasuries.

Angola was forced to pay $200m earlier this month when JPMorgan issued an margin call on a $1billion total return swap, a loan that the lender issued in December and which was backed by dollar bonds issued by Angola.

De Sousa stated that she was in discussions with JPMorgan about measures that could be taken to avoid a margin call. She also said that investors and rating agencies had not given her any negative feedback on the payment.

She said that there were no negative connotations. Instead, they were surprised at how quickly we had been able to raise such a large amount of money. The government is currently examining the possibility of requesting an IMF financing program.

De Sousa, when asked about Chinese loans backed with oil, said that the government would have to pay another $8 billion. It expected to be in a position to pay this back by 2028, rather than 2030-2031 as originally anticipated.

Angola is also borrowing more money, mainly from China's EXIM Bank, but this money was not secured by collateral, it was concessional, and allocated to specific projects, such as improving internet capability in rural areas, or improving education.

De Sousa stated that Angola would love to tap into international capital markets, but does not plan to do so for the time being.

We want to go on the market but with the way things are going, this isn't the right time. We will keep an eye on it to make sure we are prepared for the next time.

De Sousa said that officials from the Trump administration had confirmed in Washington, in meetings held there, their commitment to fund the Lobito railway corridor without specifying the exact amount. The project is designed to transport vital minerals from central Africa's copperbelt into the West. (Reporting and editing by Paul Simao; Karin Strohecker)

(source: Reuters)