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Stop Israel from bombing Iran's oil sites, Gulf states desire US

Gulf states are lobbying Washington to stop Israel from attacking Iran's oil sites since they are concerned their own oil facilities could come under fire from Tehran's proxies if the conflict intensifies, 3 Gulf sources informed Reuters.

As part of their efforts to prevent being caught in the crossfire, Gulf states including Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and Qatar are likewise declining to let Israel fly over their airspace for any attack on Iran and have actually conveyed this to Washington, the 3 sources close to government circles stated.

Israel has guaranteed Iran will pay for its missile attack last week while Tehran has said any retaliation would be satisfied with large destruction, raising fears of a broader war in the region that might absorb the United States.

The moves by the Gulf states followed a diplomatic push by non-Arab Shi'ite Iran to encourage its Sunni Gulf neighbours to use their influence with Washington amidst rising concerns Israel could target Iran's oil production centers.

Throughout meetings today, Iran alerted Saudi Arabia it could not guarantee the security of the Gulf kingdom's oil facilities if Israel were provided any support in performing an attack, a. senior Iranian authorities and an Iranian diplomat told Reuters.

Ali Shihabi, a Saudi expert close to the Saudi royal court,. said: The Iranians have actually stated: 'If the Gulf states open. their airspace to Israel, that would be an act of war'.

The diplomat said Tehran had sent a clear message to Riyadh. that its allies in countries such as Iraq or Yemen might react. if there was any local support for Israel against Iran.

A prospective Israeli strike was the focus of talks on. Wednesday in between Saudi de facto ruler, Crown Prince Mohammed. bin Salman, and Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi, who was. on a Gulf trip to rally support, Gulf and Iranian sources stated.

The Iranian minister's see, along with Saudi-American. interactions at defence ministry level, become part of a. coordinated effort to resolve the crisis, a Gulf source near to. government circles informed Reuters.

A person in Washington familiar with the conversations. confirmed that Gulf authorities had actually been in touch with U.S. counterparts to express issue about the potential scope of. Israel's expected retaliation.

The White Home decreased remark when asked whether Gulf. governments had asked Washington to guarantee Israel's reaction was. determined. U.S. President Joe Biden and Israeli Prime Minister. Benjamin Netanyahu spoke on Wednesday about the Israeli. retaliation in a call both sides referred to as positive.

Jonathan Panikoff, previous deputy U.S. nationwide intelligence. officer on the Middle East and now at the Atlantic Council. think-tank in Washington stated: Gulf states' anxiety is likely. to be an essential talking point with Israeli counterparts in trying to. encourage Israel to undertake a thoroughly adjusted reaction.

OIL AT RISK?

The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries, OPEC,. which is de-facto led by Saudi Arabia, has enough spare oil. capability to make up for any loss of Iranian supply if an Israeli. retaliation knocked out some of the nation's facilities.

But much of that spare capacity remains in the Gulf area so if. oil centers in Saudi Arabia or the UAE, for example, were. targeted too, the world could deal with an oil supply issue.

Saudi Arabia has actually been wary of an Iranian strike on its oil. plants given that a 2019 attack on its Aramco oilfield closed down over. 5% of international oil supply. Iran denied participation.

Riyadh has actually had a rapprochement with Tehran in the last few years,. however trust stays an issue. Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar, Saudi Arabia. and the UAE all host U.S. military centers or troops.

Concerns over oil facilities and the capacity for a broader. regional conflict were likewise main to talks in between Emirati. officials and their U.S. equivalents, stated another Gulf source.

In 2022, the Iran-aligned Houthis in Yemen fired rockets. and drones at oil refuelling trucks near an oil refinery owned. by UAE's state oil company ADNOC and claimed the attack.

The Gulf states aren't letting Israel use their airspace. They will not allow Israeli missiles to go through, and there's. likewise a hope that they will not strike the oil facilities, the Gulf. source stated.

The 3 Gulf sources highlighted that Israel might route. strikes through Jordan or Iraq, however using Saudi, UAE, or Qatari. airspace was off the table and tactically unnecessary.

Analysts likewise pointed out that Israel has other options,. consisting of mid-air refuelling abilities that would enable its. jets to fly down the Red Sea into the Indian Ocean, proceed to. the Gulf and then fly back.

' MIDDLE OF A MISSILE WAR'

According to 2 senior Israeli authorities, Israel is going. to adjust its action and, since Wednesday, it had not yet. decided whether it would strike Iran's oilfields.

The alternative was among a number provided by the defence. facility to Israeli leaders, according to the officials.

Israeli Defence Minister Yoav Gallant said on Wednesday:. Our strike will be lethal, accurate, and above all - unexpected. They will not understand what happened and how it occurred. They. will see the outcomes.

The 3 Gulf sources stated that Saudi Arabia, as a. leading oil exporter in addition to oil-producing neighbours - the. UAE, Qatar, Kuwait, Oman and Bahrain - had eager a interest in. de-escalating the circumstance.

We will remain in the middle of a missile war. There is severe. concern, specifically if the Israeli strike targets Iran's oil. setups, a 2nd Gulf source stated.

The three Gulf sources said an Israeli strike on Iran's oil. infrastructure would have a worldwide effect, particularly for. China - Iran's leading oil client - as well as for Kamala Harris. ahead of the Nov. 5 governmental election in which she is. running versus Donald Trump.

If oil rates surge to $120 per barrel, it would harm. both the U.S. economy and Harris' opportunities in the election. So. they (Americans) will not allow the oil war to broaden, the first. Gulf source said.

Gulf sources stated protecting all oil setups. stayed a challenge, regardless of having advanced rocket and. Patriot defence systems, so the main approach remained. diplomatic: signalling to Iran that Gulf states present no hazard.

Bernard Haykel, professor of Near East Research Studies at Princeton. University, kept in mind that Riyadh was susceptible since the. Iranians can swarm those setups given the brief range. from the mainland.

(source: Reuters)