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Goldman Sachs, Commerzbank hike Brent crude forecasts

Goldman Sachs has actually raised its Brent petroleum price forecasts, projecting $86 a barrel for the 2nd half of 2024, up from $85 formerly, and $82 for 2025, up from $80.

We still see value in long oil positions given substantial portfolio hedging benefits versus geopolitical shocks, and an appealing 10% annualized roll yield, Goldman said in a note released late on Thursday.

Separately, Commerzbank on Friday raised its cost forecast for Brent to $90 a barrel at the end of second quarter, with a. $ 90-95 price level expected for the 2nd half of 2024, $5. higher than the previous projection.

In addition to geopolitical tensions, the prospects of. increasing oil demand in the 2nd half of the year and limited. supply from OPEC+ up until the middle of the year bolster this. projection.

For the 2nd half of the year, a steady turnaround of the. voluntary production cuts by OPEC+ can be anticipated at best,. Commerzbank stated.

OPEC+ members, led by Saudi Arabia and Russia in March. agreed to extend voluntary output cuts of 2.2 million barrels. daily (bpd) until the end of June to support the marketplace. OPEC+. will fulfill in June to choose whether to extend output cuts. further or return some supply to the market.

A tug of war in between tense geopolitics and looser. basics would likely keep Brent costs between around. $ 85/bbl and $95/bbl, disallowing any significant geopolitical surprises,. Citi included a note likewise dated Thursday.

Oil costs increased on Friday on reports that Israel had. introduced an attack against Iran, before falling back as market. worries of a significant escalation to hostilities in the Middle East. appeared to alleviate.

After the benchmark contracts leapt more than $3, Brent. futures were down 46 cents, or 0.5%, at $86.65 a barrel. by 1015 GMT. The most active U.S. West Texas Intermediate. agreement was down 34 cents, or 0.4%, to $82.39.

(source: Reuters)