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Gold reaches a seven-week high after weak US job data denies rate hike bets

Gold reaches a seven-week high after weak US job data denies rate hike bets
Gold reaches a seven-week high after weak US job data denies rate hike bets

Gold surged on Friday after a 'unexpected' drop in U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls for July dashed hopes of rate hikes and put bullion in a position to have its best week for seven months.

Gold spot jumped 2.3%, to $4336.02 an ounce at 2:42 pm EDT (1842 GMT), after having risen by more than 3% and reaching its highest level since June 17.

Bullion prices have risen more than 7% this week, the biggest weekly increase since January 19. U.S. Gold futures rose 2.3%, settling at $4399.70. The Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported that nonfarm payrolls decreased in the United States by?23,000 last month, after an upwardly revised 20,000 job increase in June. The economists polled by the U.S. Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics had predicted an increase of 80,000.

David Meger is director of metals and futures at High Ridge Futures. He said that the Fed would be less likely to increase interest rates after this weaker than expected jobs report.

Meger stated that a declining dollar and the possibility of a reduced interest rate hike in the U.S. portend a weaker currency and higher gold prices. According to LSEG, the rate futures market now 'priced-in' a 43.9% probability of Fed tightening next month, compared to 57% prior to the jobs report. According to LSEG data, the probability that the Fed will keep rates at current levels next month has increased from 43.2% before the release of 'the jobs report' to 56.1%.

Gold is more attractive than yield-bearing investments when interest rates are lower, as gold does not generate any. UBS said in a Friday note that it expects gold to reach $5,000 per ounce by the first half 2027. U.S. president Donald Trump said to reporters on Friday that he believes the 'war with Iran will be over soon.

Silver spot gained?3% per ounce to $63.29, platinum rose 1.1% to $1.747.60 and palladium climbed 0.8% to 1,381.61. The three metals are all headed to weekly gains.

(source: Reuters)