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Gold drops over 2%, dollar remains firm in expectation of Fed rate hikes

The gold price fell by more than 2% on Monday, as a result of a stronger U.S. Dollar and expectations that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates this year. Investors also assessed U.S. - Iran peace talks.

Globally, stocks fell amid worries about AI-related valuations of shares and the threat of higher interest rates. The dollar was near an all-time high while crude fell by 1%, making gold more expensive for buyers holding other currencies.

As of 0753 GMT, spot gold was down by 2.2%, at $4,099.84 an ounce. U.S. gold futures for August delivered fell 2% to $4117.70.

Spot silver fell 5%, to $61,90 an ounce. Platinum lost 3%, to $1,628.55, and palladium dropped 2.9%, to $1,229.28.

Tim Waterer, KCM Trade's chief market analyst, said that while gold had benefited from lower oil prices, it was not able to do the same for the U.S. Dollar, which is continuing to rise on expectations of Fed rate increases.

According to the CME FedWatch Tool (a tool that helps traders price in the hawkish monetary policies of the new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh), there is now an 88% probability of a rate increase in December. This was up from 61% prior to the Fed meeting held last week.

Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee stated that with the labor market stable, his focus is on determining whether the too-high level of inflation will remain the same or decline, as the effects from 'high tariffs' fade and if there is a resolution to the Middle East conflict.

The United States has?waived sanctions on Iran for 60 days after the first talks under a nascent peace deal. The?U.S. has?waived its sanctions against Iran for 60-days after the first talks in a fledgling peace deal. Officials reported that the fighting in Lebanon had ceased under the agreement designed to end?hostilities throughout the region.

JD Vance, the U.S. vice president, said that talks with Iranian officials had laid a "good foundation" for a final deal. Iran however denied having begun discussions about its nuclear program.

Investors await U.S. The Fed's preferred measure of inflation, Personal Consumption Spending, is due Thursday. This data will provide further clues about monetary policy. (Reporting and editing by Subhranshu sahu in Bengaluru, and Mrigank dhaniwala.)

(source: Reuters)