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Gold on the verge of ending a four-month losing streak

Investors weighed Middle East developments and the impact they have on U.S. interest rate expectations.

As of 0253 GMT the spot gold price fell by 0.6%, to $4,076.53 an ounce. However, it was on track for a 0.6% weekly increase. Prices rose by about 1.7% in the last month.

U.S. Gold Futures for August Delivery fell 0.4% to $4 074.20.

Tim Waterer is the chief market analyst for KCM Trade. He said that gold was showing a slight negative bias due to profit-taking, and a moderate rise in the U.S. Dollar. This follows the gains made by the metal yesterday, and the fall of the greenback.

The dollar rose by 0.3% after a 2.4% drop on Thursday, its largest single-day decline since January 2023. Dollar-denominated goods become more expensive to overseas buyers when the U.S. dollar is stronger.

Gold has had a better month than usual. Waterer stated that the metal has found a sort of cushion around the $4,000 mark, which has drawn buyers during dips.

Kevin Warsh, Fed Chair, gave no indication of the next move the central bank will make at its Wednesday policy meeting.

According to CME Group’s FedWatch tool, the markets are pricing in a 63% chance of a September rate hike.

Gold is often seen by many as a hedge to inflation. However, higher interest rates can dampen its appeal because they increase the opportunity costs of holding a non-yielding investment.

A drone strike in 'the Middle East that ignited fires on two vessels in Egypt’s Mediterranean port of Damietta, has created a new danger for shipping through the Suez Canal. It is one of the few major export 'routes open to Saudi oil amid an expanding U.S. Iran war.

Analysts at BCA Research wrote in a report that "over the long term, the Hormuz Crisis will fade, but geopolitical...

Spot silver dropped 0.8% to $58,48 an ounce.

Palladium dropped 0.8% and platinum fell 1.7%, but both metals are on track for a gain in the month. (Reporting and editing by Mrigank Dahniwala in Bengaluru)

(source: Reuters)