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As markets wait for Trump's decision on Iran, gold falls on stronger dollar and oil

As investors waited for Donald Trump's announcement on the proposed agreement to extend the ceasefire, gold prices dropped on Monday. As of 0718 GMT spot gold was down by 0.7%, at $4,505.87 an ounce. This is after it hit a two-week peak in the previous session. U.S. Gold Futures for August Delivery fell 1.2% to $4,535.90.

Dollar rose, making greenback bullion prices more expensive for holders other currencies.

Tim Waterer, KCM Trade's chief market analyst, said that the rise in oil prices, coupled with the still-elusive U.S. Iran deal, was enough to put gold on the back foot at the beginning of the week. Trump announced on Friday that he will soon make a decision on extending?the ceasefire agreement with Iran. However, the two countries appear to still be at odds on important?issues which have been a central part of the conflict. U.S. officials said they had struck Iranian military targets over the weekend. Iran's Revolutionary Guards responded by claiming that it had attacked a U.S.-based base. Benjamin Netanyahu, the Israeli prime minister, ordered his troops to advance further into Lebanon, in order to fight the Iranian-backed Hezbollah militants, despite the ceasefire that was announced over six weeks ago.

The oil prices increased by more than 3% Monday, fueling concerns about inflation and rate hikes. Gold is seen traditionally as a hedge against inflation but loses its appeal when interest rates are high. Michelle Bowman, Vice Chair of Supervision at the Federal Reserve, said that the impact of the Middle East war on the economy could be measured but still lead to persistent inflation, which might require tighter monetary policy.

Waterer stated that "gold could reach $5,500 by the end of 2026 if favorable circumstances are met, including lower oil prices and a dollar depreciation, which would be backed up by central bank purchases and its role as an inflation and geopolitical hedge." Silver rose 0.7% per ounce to $75.80, platinum rose 1% to $1.935.65, while palladium rose by 0.5% to 1,360.93. (Reporting and editing by Subhranshu sahu, Rashmi aich, and Pablo Sinha from Bengaluru)

(source: Reuters)