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Gold drops as dollar hovers around one-month high, Fed meeting in focus

The dollar was a major factor in the gold price's decline on Tuesday. Investors were waiting for the Federal Reserve to announce its interest rate decision this week, and the comments of Chairman Kevin Warsh, who would give them a hint as to the policy outlook.

Gold spot fell by 1.2%, to $4.026.49 an ounce at 2:25 pm EDT (1825 GMT), having touched its lowest level since the 21st of July earlier in that session. ?U.S. Gold futures for August deliveries fell 0.9%, settling at $4.038.70.

The U.S. Dollar has been stable near its 'one-month-high,' making the greenback price of bullion more expensive for overseas buyers.

David Meger is director of metals at High Ridge Futures. He said that "Elevated Energy Prices remain a concern for Fed Members, and?the anticipated hawkishness by the Fed has pushed interest-rate hike expectation and the U.S. Dollar higher, applying pressure to the?gold markets."

Bullion prices have fallen by about 24% in the last few months since the U.S.-Israeli War with Iran began late February. This is due to expectations that inflation-driven war could cause interest rates to rise for longer.

Gold is often seen as a hedge against inflation. However, when rates rise, it can have a negative impact on the metal.

Investors are now awaiting the Fed's decision on rates and Warsh’s comments Wednesday. The traders see a 70% chance that policymakers will hold rates steady on the Wednesday meeting, and 75% of a rate increase at the September central bank meeting.

The U.S. The Personal Consumption Spending data for June is due Thursday and will also provide more clues about?the monetary policies. Commerzbank has lowered its year-end forecast for gold by $300 per ounce to $4,500. It added that a sustained return of gold ETF investors, and a recovery of gold prices, are unlikely without a change in interest rate expectations. Donald Trump, the U.S. president, said that Washington and Iran were having "good discussions" on Monday. He also stated that a possible resolution was likely. He said that if the negotiations fail, U.S. airstrikes would resume. Iran also made similar remarks about retaliation.

Silver spot fell by 2.2%, to $57.11 an ounce. Platinum eased by 1%, to $1605.80. Palladium dropped by 2.3%, to $1261.91.

(source: Reuters)