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Copper prices fall on profit-taking and economic uncertainty
Prices of copper?and aluminum dipped on Friday, as investors took advantage of a rally in the face of uncertainty over the global economy and the unresolved conflict?in the Middle East. Benchmark three-month?copper?on the London Metal Exchange?was down 0.3% to $14,106 per metric ton at 0930 GMT. LME copper is up 9% from its seven-week low reached on the 24th of June, due to declining inventories and a tight supply outside of the United States. "We are seeing some profit-taking after a strong uptrend, but this trend looks pretty solid." Ole Hansen is the head of commodity strategy for?Saxo Bank, Copenhagen. He said that long-term drivers will not disappear anytime soon. He said that copper prices must fall below $13,700 in order to halt the upward trend. The market is trading based on the assumption that there will be a solution in the Middle East, but this could change at any moment. The price of oil rose Friday, after the United States announced a naval blockade against Iran. LME copper inventories continued to decline on Friday, falling 48% from late May. The cash contract's price premium over three-month contracts also increased. The price of a ton rose to $256.50, the highest since June 2025. The most-traded contract for copper on the Shanghai Futures Exchange fell 0.1% to 107 690 yuan (15 970.64 dollars) per ton. Fastmarkets analyst Andy Farida stated that "Demand may seem resilient, but we still question if it will be able to sustain the same'strong momentum' given how quickly asset prices have increased while wage growth has been somewhat subdued." LME Aluminium fell 0.5% to $3,242 per ton. It was expected to finish the week down 1.2%. The Middle East has shown signs of recovery, which have eased some of the expected shortages. Meanwhile, Norsk Hydro’s Alunorte refinery began reducing its alumina output on Thursday. LME zinc rose?0.6%, to $3,774 per ton, and lead increased 0.2%, to $1,890.50, while nickel fell 0.6%, to $16,670, and tin dropped 0.2%, to $55,735.
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Spain removes the remains of 11th-century kings as wildfires rage
The Spanish authorities removed Thursday the remains of three kings that ruled Aragon in the 11th century. Mar Vaquero, the vice-president of the Northeastern Region, stated that the remains of the deceased were taken to the provincial museum in Huesca located 80 km south of the monastery for protection until the conditions improved. Vaquero, a reporter, said that authorities launched a rescue effort after the wildfire, which had been burning since Monday, began moving towards the monastery of San Juan de la Pena, a 10th-century structure, late on Thursday. The team of emergency military personnel managed to get into the monastery located in the mountains and remove the 'ceremonial clothing' belonging to a '18th century count who was buried there. However, the close proximity to the fires forced the team to flee. The team returned to the site a second time with police officers and heritage officials. They removed the remains of three of the first kings of Aragon, who ruled from 1035 to 1104, as well as a few?historical pictures. Vaquero praised bravery and the team that rescued the victims. The 'wildfire' intensified on Thursday morning, fueled by high temperatures and strong wind. The fire has destroyed more than 9,000 hectares, forcing the evacuation of 16 towns. However, the monastery was unharmed as of Friday morning. A?much bigger wildfire in southern Spain also worsened on Thursday. The fire has burned over 31,000 hectares of land in Huelva province and forced 700 people to evacuate.
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James Hardie, a fibre cement manufacturer, faces a second class action in Australia over financial forecasts
James Hardie Industries announced on Friday that it would defend itself against a second shareholder class action lawsuit, which alleged the fibre cement manufacturer had violated Australian law in relation to financial predictions made last year. The Dublin-based firm said that the class action was filed on behalf of?investors who purchased securities from May 21 to?August 19,2025. It follows a similar class suit brought by a different set of shareholders back in June. The class action filed by shareholders on Friday alleges that the company violated certain provisions of Australia's corporate laws, consumer laws and regulatory laws. James Hardie stated that it expects a low-single-digit growth of total adjusted operating profits in 2026. The company said it will defend itself and is complying with its disclosure obligations. The company did not give any further information?on the allegations related to the forecast. James Hardie increased its 'annual earnings forecast last week. It cited benefits from its AZEK acquisition as well as manufacturing efficiencies and the demand for its legacy 'fiber cement business. After the upgrade, its Australia-listed'shares' closed at a near-year-high.
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Oil rally eclipsed by benign US inflation as stocks near record highs
The global?stocks were hovering around record highs Friday. They are set to make a third consecutive weekly gain, after benign inflation figures tempered expectations of a 'U.S. Rate hikes are expected to take place next month despite the faltering of talks to end the Middle East war. The price of oil and gas was still on track for a large weekly gain, as the impasse in the peace talks continued, while the U.S. threatened a stepped-up economic pressure against Iran, which included extending the naval blockade. Investors are not showing any signs of panic. This week, short-dated bond rates have increased, but modestly. Meanwhile, several market-based inflation expectations measures have continued their downward trend. Gold, which is hurt by rising interest rates, has reached two-month highs. Investors are less worried about AI spending now that strong earnings have been reported. GEOPOLITICAL UNCERTAINTY REMAINS The MSCI All-World index, which has been up for the third week in a row, was just below records highs. In?Europe the STOXX 600 index was slightly lower than the previous day as gains in capital-intensive stocks such as carmakers and defence were more than offset by losses in the technology sector. The markets end the week on a good note with a relatively low level of event risk in both the corporate and economic calendar. It's Friday and, as is typical, geopolitical risk, or at the very least, bombastic rhetoric between the U.S. "At the moment, geopolitical uncertainties remain the only major macro-roadblock to a market that is experiencing strong tailwinds due to earnings and the monetary policy outlook." Brent crude futures rose by 1.7%, to $88.5 per barrel. This is expected to lead to a weekly gain of 6%. European natural gas futures are set for an increase of 10%, and U.S. Gas futures for a rise of 3.5%. The VIX volatility index - which many see as the "fear index" of the market - was on track for its fourth consecutive weekly decline, the longest stretch of this kind since May 2025. This reflects the decreasing level of concern among equity investors. A measure of bond market volatilty is also heading for a second successive weekly drop. John Sidawi is a senior portfolio manager at Federated Hermes for fixed income. He said that a puzzling aspect of the?markets over recent months was the growing disconnect between asset price volatility and geopolitical uncertainties. For now, the markets seem to be willing to accept a considerable amount of uncertainty before demanding higher premiums. This equilibrium is not likely to last forever," Sidawi stated. "A meaningful escalation of conflict?or a path towards resolution could finally force the investors to come off the sidelines and trigger a larger volatility reaction than current market pricing?implies." YEN STUCK IN INTERVENTION LOOP After a report suggesting that the Bank of Japan may raise interest rates as early as September, three sources who are familiar with the policymakers' thoughts said the yen was stronger, and the dollar fell 0.2% to 159.18. The traders believe that the 160-level is still within reach, and could spark another round of yen purchases from Tokyo after last month's joint?intervention? with the U.S. failed to boost the Japanese currency. Padhraic G Garvey, ING's head of global rates, debt and strategy, explained that the yen is weak because of "a Bank of Japan that is uber-cautious and whose policy rate remains too low". Garvey said that a rate hike would help to ease the tension. The sooner the rate increase is implemented, the better. While that might be seen as a negative for the economy it is also a decision. Do you think it's important to protect the yen or not? Gold was down by 0.1% to $4,346 an ounce but still on track for its largest monthly gain since Feb. Central banks and investors have both pumped cash into the markets as expectations of the Fed raising rates aggressively has faded. (Ankur Banerjee contributed additional reporting from Singapore; Sonali Paul, Alex Richardson and Alex Richardson edited the article.)
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Sources: China's state iron ore purchaser has a supply agreement with Anglo American
Three sources familiar with the matter said that the Chinese state iron ore purchaser reached an agreement in April with 'Anglo American over an annual supply contract for the key ingredient used to make steel. China Mineral 'Resources Group' (CMRG) was established in 2022 in order to gain more power on the iron ore markets where China is a dominant buyer. They have increased their efforts to get better terms for Chinese Steelmakers who are struggling with dwindling margins and dwindling demand. Bloomberg broke the news on Friday. Sources said that CMRG, under the?agreement which was not previously reported, became exclusive agent for iron ore in?China from Anglo American Kumba in South Africa, starting in April. Two of the three said that it was a deal for 'around 10 million metric tons' to be delivered to CMRG member steel mills. One of them stated that the contract would last until March 2027. All sources declined to give their names as they weren't authorised to talk to media. Kumba's iron-ore sales amounted to 18.6 million tons during the first six months of this year. China accounted for 54%. Ebrahim dadoo, Anglo American’s global head 'of sales & trading', stated on a earnings call on the 28th of July that not all 54%?went CMRG without providing any further details. CMRG didn't immediately respond to a comment request. Anglo American declined comment. In April, CMRG and BHP Group reached a?supply?agreement, which ended a?month-long dispute in which Chinese steelmakers were prohibited from purchasing certain BHP iron ore products. Reporting by Nelson Banya and staff. Mark Potter edited the article.
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France evacuates 525 people as a new wildfire strikes pine forests in the southwest
French authorities evacuated 525 residents from the village of Luglon, after a wildfire broke in the southwestern Landes region. This is not far from an area that was already 'devastated' by major fires this summer. Gilles Clavreul, regional official, told reporters that the fire has now spread within two kilometers of Luglon's centre. The Landes region is covered in pine trees that? become highly flammable after drying. Clavreul stated that the situation was unfavorable, and the fire continued to rage. He added that 500 firefighters were fighting the flames, and six aircraft had been dispatched to help. Closed roads to the north and south have been closed. Clavreul has not commented on the origins of the fire. Luglon lies about 100 km (62 mi) south of Arcachon Bay. Two?major fires in the area destroyed over 50,000 hectares (124,000 acre), forcing 220,000 people to evacuate their homes by the end of July. French media reported Friday that a 15 year old had been arrested for a July fire that occurred near Bordeaux Airport, in the same area, and that resulted in two firefighters' deaths. Sud Ouest, a local newspaper, reported that the youth who was?placed in judicial investigation' threw a cigarette ash which allegedly ignited the fire. The Bordeaux prosecutor did not immediately respond to an inquiry for comment. French Interior Ministry?said that 474?people were arrested on suspicion of intentionally starting a fire. Out of the total, 183 are under 18. According to the Ministry, 70% of those detained have been'suspected of arson. This summer, the south-west of France has been blasted by heatwaves. Temperatures are expected to soar as high as 36 degrees Celsius (97 degrees Fahrenheit), on Friday afternoon. The area burned so far in this year is greater than the previous record-breaking year of 2022. Reporting by Stephanie Lecocq, Additional reporting by Gus Trompiz, Writing by Inti landauro and Jean Stephane Brosse and Editing by Clarence Fernandez & Edwina Gibbs
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Wildfires in western Germany force Germany to evacuate 2,000 people
Local authorities reported that 2,000 people were forced to evacuate their homes on Friday in western Germany after a wildfire near the Belgian border spread into a village. Residents in the village of Gey were asked to evacuate their homes at 4:00 am (0200 GMT), and to go to a help centre that was set up in a nearby village. The?instruction was to only carry essential items, such as identification documents and medicines. Mona Neubaur posted on X that "this forest fire threatens to strike the local community very hard." WDR reported that Mayor Stephan Cranen stated?that despite the fact that the evacuation was complete, the situation still remained critical. The flames are now about 300 metres away from the village. Cranen said that one of the wildfires which are still out of control has spread overnight towards an old munitions depot near the town of Dueren. Firefighters were quoted as saying that there was unexploded World war two munitions in the forest surrounding the town of Dueren because of the hilly terrain. Two German army tanks cleared access routes to the difficult-to-reach forest area, allowing firefighters to reach 300 hectares (740 acre) of?fire. There are large swathes in Germany that are battling dry conditions with high fire risks. Reporting by Friederike Hiene in Berlin and Andi KRANZ in Huertgenwald. Editing by Clarence Fernandez, Sharon Singleton and Sharon Singleton.
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After rally, copper prices fall as demand concerns dominate the conversation
Copper prices fell on Friday but have remained higher so far this week, as analysts wondered if global demand would be able to keep up with the recent price rally. Benchmark three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange fell 0.34% to $14,100.5 per metric ton at 0715 GMT. The red metal will likely gain 0.3% this week. This is the longest weekly streak it has had since 2020, when it gained 5.49%. The Shanghai Futures Exchange's most traded copper contract fell?0.12% to 107 690 yuan (15,970.64) per ton. The economic activity could be boosted by the fact that inflationary pressures are easing and concerns about interest rate hikes are receding. Fastmarkets analyst Andy Farida stated that "demand for base metals appears resilient but it's questionable whether?it will be able to maintain the same strong momentum, given how rapidly asset prices have accelerated and wage growth has been somewhat subdued." According to the CME's FedWatch, interest-rate traders have reduced the probability of the Federal Reserve raising rates during its September meeting from 44% on Friday. The LME's aluminium prices fell by 0.75%, and are expected to finish the week 1.19% lower. The price of the light metal fell by 1.14% on the SHFE. The Middle East's supply recovery prospects eased some of the expected tightness. Norsk Hydro said that the Alunorte refinery in Brazil has started to increase its alumina output after temporarily reducing it. Among LME metals, zinc dipped 0.33%, ?lead dipped 0.24%, nickel lost 0.36% ?and tin dipped 0.07%. The SHFE showed that?zinc fell 0.19%; lead dropped 0.88%; nickel declined 1.32%, and tin barely changed, only increasing by 0.04%.
China announces economic measures that will boost iron ore prices
Iron ore futures advanced on Thursday, as the world's largest consumer China announced an array of economic measures which fueled optimism about steel and iron ore demand. The?world's?second-largest economic powerhouse announced plans to increase domestic consumption, stimulate the housing market and curb steel overproduction that has been suppressing prices. The May contract for iron ore on China's Dalian Commodity Exchange was 1.27% higher, at 759 Yuan ($110.09), per metric ton. As of 0713 GMT, the benchmark April iron ore traded on Singapore Exchange was up 1.03% at $99.8 per ton. China's 15th five-year-plan set an economic growth goal of 4.5%-5% by 2026. This is a slight decrease from the 5% rate achieved last year, but within analyst expectations. Beijing has room to address weak domestic consumption and curb industrial excess. The country also pledged to reduce the production of commodities and establish a mechanism to control carbon emissions for the industry. It will also expand the coverage of the national market of carbon-emissions trading between 2026-2030. The world's largest steel exporter also said it would increase efforts to eliminate outdated production capacity, and strengthen strategic resource reserves. China will also strive to stabilise the real estate market, take steps to improve housing supply and better utilise ?existing housing stock, including by purchasing unsold homes for use as government-subsidised ?housing.
The country's...prolonged housing market was once its largest consumer of steel. However, it has now ceded that position to manufacturing. The property market will boost the demand for steel and iron ore. Coking coal and 'coke', which are used to make steel, also fell on the DCE. The declines were 0.36% & 0.06% respectively. The Shanghai Futures Exchange's steel?benchmarks were mixed. Rebar rose 0.1%, while stainless steel rose by 0.42%. Hot-rolled coils fell 0.19%, and wire rods declined 0.39%.
(source: Reuters)