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Vale is preparing to meet Indian steel demand, as China's output has stagnated. CEO of Vale says

Vale, a Brazilian mining company, is gearing up to meet the rising demand for iron ore from India. The country could double its production of steel by the end a decade.

He said that the stagnant steel demand in China could be offset by increased sales to India and other Asian countries. In China, steel production has flattened at around 1 billion metric tonnes annually, and may even decline in future years.

Pimenta, in an interview conducted at Vale's Rio de Janeiro headquarters, said that India has 1.6 billion citizens, is bigger than China and requires massive infrastructure investments. This means steel.

In the next five or seven years, he said that the capacity of India’s steel producers will likely double to 300 million tonnes.

Pimenta said that the high-grade ore from Vale and India's lower quality supply blend well together, creating new opportunities for both markets.

"We add quality to the Indian mix." "We see an enormous growth opportunity as steel production doubles," Pimenta stated.

India will import around 10 million tons this year of Vale ore, a significant increase from the almost zero imported a few short years ago. However, it is still a tiny fraction of Vale sales, which are accounted for by China.

Vale believes that China's output will stabilize, even though it remains the world's largest steel producer. "We do not see any growth in the future." Pimenta stated that China's production is likely to remain stable, or even decrease, in comparison with India's annual growth of 12%.

Vale expects a rise in demand from other Asian countries, including Vietnam, where sales are projected to reach 8 million tons by 2025. This is a sharp increase from the previous year.

VALE DAY

Vale's strong third-quarter results, including its strongest iron ore production since 2018 and a 5% increase in sales, puts it well ahead of its long-term strategic update that will be presented at its annual investor event "Vale Day", which takes place on December 2 in New York.

Pimenta refused to comment on the new production targets but said Vale would outline projects to increase iron ore and Copper capacity in its Northern System operations.

Vale has announced that it will invest 70 billion reais (12.95 billion dollars) in Brazil's "Novo Carajas program" by 2030, which includes a project to increase the annual iron ore production capacity by 20 millions tons. The initiative, which is now 80% completed, will begin operating in late 2026.

Pimenta stated that as we continue to explore Carajas' potential, we become more optimistic. We'll increase investor confidence by bringing more visibility to Vale Day.

Vale also plans to double copper production by 2035.

Vale is implementing expansion plans and expects to regain the title of the world's biggest iron ore producer in 2019. Rio Tinto had taken the lead following Vale's 2019 Brumadinho Dam disaster.

Vale, outside Brazil, is considering selling the Thompson Nickel Mine in Canada due to market interest and low prices caused by Indonesia's booming output.

Pimenta explained that it was a difficult asset to get to the price level they wanted. "We're assessing whether there's another owner."

The mine will produce about 10,000 tonnes in 2024 or 6% of Vale’s total. $1 = 5.4039 Reais (Reporting and Writing by Marta Nogueira, Marcela Ayres and Chris Reese, Editing and Revision by Brad Haynes, Chris Reese and Brad Haynes)

(source: Reuters)