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Australian shares fall to a two-week low after inflation spikes sink rate-cutting hopes

Australian shares closed on Wednesday at their lowest levels in two weeks as a spike of core inflation dashed any hopes for a rate cut in the near future, prompting a sale-off in real estate and banking stocks.

The S&P/ASX 200 Index fell by 0.96%, to 8,926.20. It is the first time that the index has fallen below the important 9,000-point mark since October 15.

Data released on Wednesday showed that the core inflation rate rose at the fastest pace in two years in the third quarter of the year. This dampened expectations of a cut in rates next week, and forced markets to reduce their bets about the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA)'s broader easing cycles.

The odds of a rate reduction in December have fallen below 22%, from 47% before the data.

Citi, Goldman Sachs and Standard Chartered are all Australian 'Big Four banks' that expect the RBA's key interest rate to remain at 3.60% in this year.

The top lender CBA's economists have abandoned their calls for another rate cut in February next year and expect that the cash rate will remain unchanged for an extended period.

Financials, the largest sector, fell by 1.9%, after two consecutive days of gains. All four of the "Big Four" banks closed in the red. National Australia Bank, the top lender in Australia, lost 2.6%.

The cash rate is the basis for the valuation of defensive assets, which are an alternative to bonds. As a result, we see those stocks being sold as the expectation of a rate reduction next week has now been removed, said Luke Winchester.

Goodman Group, a sector leader, fell 1.4%.

CSL, the healthcare sector's main stock, fell by 4% on Tuesday.

The benchmark S&P/NZX 50 Index in New Zealand closed at 13,409.21, a slight increase. Atharva Singh, Bengaluru (reporting); Sonia Cheema, editing)

(source: Reuters)