Latest News

Conférence delegates claim that China has plenty of cobalt, despite the Congo ban

Conférence delegates claim that China has plenty of cobalt, despite the Congo ban

The Chinese cobalt industry has ample supplies of battery-making materials despite an export ban placed by the top producer in the world, the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC), late in February. This was revealed this week at a conference for the industry.

Shirley Wang, General Manager at Shanghai Metals Market and Cobalt Congress 2020 in Singapore, said that downstream users in China - the largest consumer of the metal - have intermediate product stocks that will last for between two weeks to six months.

Wang stated on Thursday that "large-scale users" in China have six months' worth of stock, while small-scale businesses, who only have half a month's worth, will be forced to purchase from the spot markets at higher prices.

Congo's four-month ban on exports was imposed to combat global oversupply of metals used in the manufacture of batteries for electric cars and mobile phones and to revive prices.

The ban helped to raise cobalt prices from $10 per pound at the end 2024, up to $16 today.

Wang stated that Chinese traders have also stocked up on cobalt, a total volume equivalent to 12 month's demand.

On the sidelines, four delegates from Chinese cobalt smelters stated that their supplies of cobalt were stable and not affected by Congo's prohibition.

One of the four delegates stated that the stockpiles could peak in June since it takes about four months for the cobalt from Congo mines to reach Chinese port.

Patrick Luabeya said that the Congo may implement strict cobalt restrictions when the current ban on exports ends.

In an interview, Kizito Pakaabomba, Congo's Mines Minister, stated that the ban was to ensure that the supply met the demand. However, we noticed that the supply had not been affected by the consumers.

According to Wang, Shanghai Metals Market's director, the cobalt surplus is expected to continue through 2025. The total supply will increase by 6%, to 327,000 tons, due to cobalt being produced as a cobalt byproduct of nickel and copper mining.

Wang estimates that cobalt demand will be about 237,000 tonnes this year, an increase of 0.3% over 231,000 tons in the previous year. She said that the oversupply will likely persist at least until 2030. In 2030, supply is expected to be 390,000 tonnes and demand 264,000 tons.

Indonesia, the world's second largest cobalt producer is planning to double its capacity by 2027, and does not plan to limit supply, said a government official this week. (Reporting and editing by Tony Munroe, Tom Hogue and Hongmei Li)

(source: Reuters)