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Nigeria's richest Dangote intensifies oil battle with regulator and seeks corruption investigation
Aliko Dangote, Nigeria's richest person, escalated his battle with regulators Sunday. He accused them of allowing cheap fuel imports that threaten local refineries. Dangote's refinery is meant to change that. Nigeria, Africa's largest oil producer, relies heavily on imports. Dangote said that if imports are not checked, they could threaten energy security, jobs and investment. Speaking at his 650,000-barrel-per-day oil refinery in Lagos, Dangote said imports were being used "to checkmate domestic potential", creating jobs abroad while Nigeria struggles to industrialise. He told reporters that "you don't use imported goods to curb domestic potential." Dangote has called for an investigation into Farouk Ahmad, the head of Nigerian Midstream Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority. He cited concerns about his management of the industry and allegations that private expenditures exceeded legitimate earnings. Ahmed didn't immediately respond to our request for comment. However, he previously stated that Dangote refinery wanted a monopoly on the sale of petroleum products, but its output could not meet local demands. The regulator asked the president to abandon plans to ban the importation of refined petroleum products last?month because the local production cannot meet the demand of 55 millions litres per day. Dangote contests this and says that the regulator is distorting refinery capacity by reporting offtake stats instead of true production data. The refinery was designed to reduce Nigeria's dependence on imported fuels and save billions of dollars in foreign currency. However, it says that it has not been able to obtain all the crude it requires because the regulator "has failed to implement" a rule which guarantees crude supply to the local refiners prior to exports. Dangote said the refinery imports about 100 million barrels per year of crude oil -- a number that is expected to double following the expansion of the'refinery and the limited domestic supply. Dangote has vowed to continue expansion plans and protect his investment, saying it is "too large to fail". He also reiterated plans to list his company on the local market and pay out dividends in U.S. Dollars so that "every Nigerian could own a part of the economy." Nigeria, Africa's largest oil producer, is dependent on imported fuel due to the state refineries that have been abandoned. Reporting by Isaac Anyaogu, Editing by Michael Perry
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Oil prices rise as Venezuelan supply disruptions overshadow surplus concerns
Prices of oil rose on Monday, as disruptions in supply linked to escalating tensions between the U.S. and Venezuela outweighed concerns about oversupply and the potential impact of a Russia-Ukraine "peace" deal. Brent crude futures rose 33 cents or 0.54% to $61.45 per barrel as of 0429 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate Crude was up 31 cents or 0.54% at $57.75 per barrel. The expectation of a surplus for 2026 weighed on both contracts, which fell more than 4% the previous week. Tsuyoshi Ueno is a senior economist with the NLI Research Institute. He said that tensions between Venezuela and the U.S. have escalated, raising fears about possible supply disruptions. "Although markets lack direction, concerns about oversupply remain high. If geopolitical risk escalates sharply, WTI may fall below $55 by early next year." According to documents, shipping data and maritime sources, Venezuela's oil exports have dropped sharply after the United States seize a tanker last week. The United States also imposed new sanctions on shipping firms and vessels that do business with the Latin American oil producer. Market participants are closely watching developments and their impact on the oil supply. Reports indicate that the U.S. is planning to intercept additional ships carrying Venezuelan crude oil after this week's seizure of tankers, increasing pressure on President Nicolas Maduro. Prices were impacted by the rising expectations of an excess. JPMorgan Commodities Research stated in a Saturday note that oil surpluses are expected to grow further in 2026 and 2027 as the global oil supply will outpace the demand. The oil supply is predicted to expand at a rate three times faster than?demand growth up to 2026. On Sunday, during a five-hour meeting with U.S. ambassadors in Berlin, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy offered that his country would no longer seek to join NATO. The negotiations are expected to continue on Monday. Steve Witkoff, the U.S. ambassador to China, said that "a lot of work has been done," but he did not provide any additional details. Ukraine's military announced on Friday it had attacked a major Russian refinery located in Yaroslavl to the northeast of Moscow. Industry sources confirmed that production at the facility was suspended. Calculations showed that the Russian state's oil and gas revenues in December are likely to drop by almost half from a year ago to 410 billion Russian roubles (5.12 billion dollars) because of lower crude prices. The West has sanctioned the Russian oil industry, but a possible peace deal could increase its supply. Baker Hughes, an energy services company, said that on the supply side U.S. firms cut back the number of operating oil and gas rigs for the second time in the last three weeks.
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Dalian iron ore reaches five-month low after China announces plans to regulate exports of steel
The prices of Dalian iron-ore fell Monday, hitting their lowest level for more than five months. This was due to China's plans to introduce a licence system to regulate steel exports from 2026. Iron ore, the most traded contract at China's Dalian Commodity Exchange(DCE), closed morning trade with a 1.5% decline to 754 yuan (106.95 dollars) per metric ton. It reached its lowest level at 748 Yuan, since July 10, earlier in the day. By?0330 GMT, the benchmark January iron ore price on the Singapore Exchange had fallen 0.76% to $100.2 per ton. The contract hit a low intraday of $100.4, which was close to the Friday low?of $100.25, and is the lowest level since July 17. China's Ministry of Commerce announced on Friday that?some steel product would be added to its list of cargoes covered by?export licenses from January 1, 2026. This is because robust shipments are fueling a protectionist backlash around the world. China's soaring steel exports helped offset the slump in domestic demand for steel caused by the prolonged downturn on the property market, thereby supporting the prices of this key ingredient. China's crude output of steel in November dropped 3% from October, pointing to six consecutive months of declines. This was due to thinner margins and declining domestic demand. Analysts at Xinhu Futures stated that the downward potential for iron ore prices is limited because mills will start restocking their feedstocks to sustain operations during the Chinese Lunar New Year holidays in February. The Chinese Lunar New Year in 2026 will be celebrated from February 15 to 23. Following a Friday slump, coke and other steelmaking materials rose by 4.04 % and 1.13 %, respectively. The benchmarks for steel on the Shanghai Futures Exchange are mixed. Rebar gained 0.42%. Hot-rolled coils advanced 0.22%. Wire rod declined 0.86%. Stainless steel fell 0.08%. ($1 = 7,0499 Chinese Yuan) (Reporting and editing by Subhranshu S. Sahu; Amy Lv, Lewis Jackson)
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Silver steadies; gold rises on weaker dollar and yields, as markets watch US jobs data
Investors waited for key U.S. job data to get clues about the Federal Reserve's future policy, and gold extended its gains. Silver, meanwhile, remained steady after a record-breaking week. Gold spot rose 0.4%, to $4320.65 per ounce at 0319 GMT. Bullion is up about 64% this year. U.S. Gold Futures rose 0.6% to $4354.00 per ounce. Dollar hovered around a two-month high, which made bullion attractive to overseas buyers. Meanwhile, yields on benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury bonds edged down. "Gold will likely remain in high demand into the U.S. Non-farm payrolls as evidence of labour-market slack will keep front-end rates capped, and the dollar weak. The markets remain focused on the Fed’s policy outlook following a 25-basis point rate cut by the U.S. Central Bank last week in a split decision. This was a rare decision and signaled a possible pause, as inflation remains high and the employment outlook is uncertain. Two Fed officials dissented, saying inflation was too high to justify a looser policy. Investors currently expect two rate cuts in 2019. This week's U.S. employment report is seen as an important test for these expectations. Gold and other non-yielding investments benefit from a low interest rate environment. ANZ stated in a 'note' that India’s decision to allow pension funds to invest in ETFs of gold and silver could increase institutional participation. We believe that such regulations can increase investor confidence and support higher allocations in portfolios. Silver spot rose by 0.8%, to $62.48 an?ounce. It reached a record-high of $64.65 before closing sharply lower. ANZ warned of downside risks to silver. They cited a possible U.S. exemption from tariffs and stretched valuations compared to gold?that might trigger fund rotation. Silver prices are up 115% in one year due to tighter inventories, increased industrial demand and the inclusion of silver on the U.S. Critical Minerals List. Palladium gained 0.1% per ounce to $1,502.29, while spot platinum fell 0.2% at $1,741.82. (Reporting and editing by Subhranshu Sahu, Rashmi aich and Sherin Elizabeth Varghese from Bengaluru)
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Shanghai copper falls from record highs as weak China data raises concerns about demand
Shanghai copper prices fell on Monday, after hitting a record in the previous session. This was due to renewed demand concerns triggered by an array of 'weak' data in China, which is a major consumer. As of 0228 GMT, the most traded copper contract at the Shanghai Futures Exchange fell 1.49%, to 92180 yuan per metric tonne ($13,068.87). The price of copper reached a record-high?of 94.570 yuan last Friday. The red metal widely used in power plants, construction and manufacturing has seen its largest daily drop since December 9. China's growth in?factory production and retail sales slowed down further in November due to weak domestic demand. China's real estate investment and sales by floor area have also declined. China?Vanke reported in a Hong Kong Stock Exchange document on Monday that the company had failed to obtain bondholder approval for a one-year delay of a bond payment which was due the same day. This raised concerns about a?potential default. The Shanghai Futures Exchange also monitors the inventory of warehouses to determine whether they are increasing. . The benchmark?three-month?copper on the London Metal Exchange rose by 1.35% to $11,671 a metric tonne. After reaching its highest level ever on Friday, it fell more than 3%. SHFE aluminium fell 1.49%. Nickel lost?1.09%. Lead eased 0.26%. Tin dropped 1.88%. Zinc fell 0.79%. Aluminium, nickel, and tin were all little changed. Lead advanced by 0.15%. Zinc rose by 1.06%.
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Key data: Stocks fall ahead of central bank decision
Investors reined-in risk-taking as they began a week that would be peppered with important central bank decisions and data release. MSCI's broadest Asia-Pacific index outside Japan fell 1%. This was largely due to a fall of up to 2.7% on South Korean shares. South Korea is one of the best-performing markets in the world this year. Chris Weston said, "We are now in the last week of trading before many close their books for 2025 and call it an end of year," said Chris Weston. He is head of research at Pepperstone Group based in Melbourne. "Some may have already done this," he said. Prices will drop by a significant amount next week. S&P 500 futures rose 0.3% while yields on U.S. Treasury bonds fell 1.2 basis points to 4.182%. Investors waited for a series of economic data releases as well as a number of central bank decisions. The Bank of England could make a similar cut of 3.75%. Along with Sweden's Riksbank, and Norway's Norges Bank, the European Central Bank will 'keep interest rates on pause'. Investors can also catch up with economic data that was delayed due to the U.S. shutdown. This includes the November jobs report and the consumer price index. The U.S. Dollar was stable at 7,0532 yuan against the Chinese Yuan trading offshore. This is its highest level in over a year. Factory output and retail sales numbers for November showed a further slowdown. Official data released on Monday showed that the price of new homes continued to decline in November. This indicates that the recovery in the demand for housing is still elusive, despite government promises to stabilize the sector. China Vanke announced that it would convene another bondholder meeting after the state-backed developer failed to secure bondholder approval for a one-year extension of a bond payment due on Monday. This increased the risk of default, and renewed concerns about the property crisis-hit sector. Jeff Zhang, Morningstar's equity analyst, said that if Vanke defaults in the end, the impact on the China real estate sector could be significant. Investors are more worried about the government's attitude to bailouts, even for'safe' names. Stocks in Japan fell, despite a boost from the BOJ's "tankan", a closely-watched survey, which showed that the business sentiment of big manufacturers reached a four year high on Monday, indicating the economy is weathering the blow caused by higher tariffs. tariffs. Last week, the Nikkei was down 1.4%. Brent crude rose 0.6% to $61.46 on supply concerns sparked by tensions between the U.S. and Venezuela. Imperial Oil announced on Sunday that it had issued an alert for a fire at its 120,000 barrels per day refinery in Ontario, Canada. Russia, meanwhile, said that a refinery in Afipsky had not been damaged by an Ukrainian drone attack. Steve Witkoff, the U.S. ambassador to Berlin said that "a lot of progress has been made" on the geopolitical side in the peace talks in Berlin for the end of the Ukraine conflict. Gold has extended its recent rally for a fifth consecutive day, as it nears a record-high of $4381.21. The spot bullion price was last up 0.5%, at $4325.51. The cryptocurrency markets ended a three-day losing spree, with bitcoin ending the day up 1.2% to $89,517.01 while ether rose 1.1% to 3,116.42. (Reporting and editing by Shri Navaratnam, Sam Holmes and Gregor Stuart Hunter)
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China's crude steel production in November is at a 23-month high
China's crude output of steel in November dropped 3% from the previous month, and is now on track for six consecutive months of declines. This has been curbed by thinner margins, as well as a waning domestic market. Data from the National Bureau of Statistics revealed that the 'world's biggest?steel manufacturer manufactured 69.87 millions metric tons of raw steel in December, the lowest monthly total since December 2023. The data revealed that this was down from 72 million tonnes in October, and 10.9% from the same period last year. According to calculations based on data, the November volume equates to an average daily production of 2.33 million tonne, compared to 2.32 million tonne in October, and 2.61 millions tonne in November 2024. Mysteel, a consultancy, reported that around 35% of steelmakers had made a profit at the end of November. This was down from 45% late in October. China's factory activity declined for the eighth consecutive month in November. This highlights manufacturers' struggles to sustain a recovery as a U.S./China trade war has increased pressure on businesses. Manufacturers have collectively become China's biggest steel consumer, replacing depressed property developers. In the first 11 months of 2025 production totaled 891.67 millions?tons. This is 4% less than a year ago. Cai Yongzheng is a Nanjing based director at the Jiangsu Fushi Data Research Institute. He said that China's total annual crude steel production?will fall between 950 millions and 960 millions tons. (Reporting and editing by Amy Lv, Lewis Jackson)
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Source: Korea Zinc board will discuss plans to build smelter in US joint venture.
A source familiar with this issue has confirmed that the board of Korea Zinc will vote on Monday on the plan to 'build a plant to refine key minerals in the U.S. as part of a joint venture between the U.S. Government and companies. The investments are estimated to be 10 trillion won (6.78 billion dollars). The South Korean Yonhap News Agency reported the U.S. Government and Companies will 'hold a 20 percent stake in the joint-venture with an investment of 2 trillion won. They said the facilities were expected to produce 'germanium and antimony. Unable to comment immediately, a spokesperson from Korea Zinc did not respond. China is the largest supplier of minerals like antimony and Germanium used in military technology, telecommunications and semiconductors. Beijing will ban exports of these mineral to the U.S. from December 3, 2024. This is in response to Washington's crackdown on China's chip industry. Since November, the ban has been lifted. Korea Zinc, the largest zinc smelter in the world, also produces antimony and other metals. Korea Zinc and Lockheed Martin agreed in August to "produce germanium from raw materials obtained outside of?China" starting 2028. This will ensure a steady supply of materials for the defense and space industries. Shares of Korea Zinc soared 7.5% following media reports about its plans to establish a joint venture in the United States. (1 dollar = 1,475.5400 won). (Reporting and editing by Hyunjoo Ji, Jack Kim)
Trump's trade tariffs and threats
On Monday, the United States and China will meet
The two sides have agreed to reduce reciprocal tariffs temporarily
As the two largest economies in the world try to end their damaging trade war that has increased fears of a possible recession, and caused a U.S. economy contraction during the first quarter.
The U.S. is reducing the extra tariffs that it imposed in April of this year on Chinese imports to 30%, from 145%. Chinese duties on U.S. imported goods will also fall to 10%, from 125%. The new measures will be in effect for 90 days following a meeting held between the two countries in Geneva.
After a series of meetings between U.S. officials and trading partners, after Trump's April 2 tariffs of 10% on most countries were suspended for 90 days as well as the suspension of higher tariffs on many other trading partners.
On July 8, the duties will now be imposed.
The U.S. China deal comes just days after Donald Trump and Keir starmer, the British Prime Minister, announced a limited trade agreement. This leaves Trump's 10% tariffs for British exports in place.
As part of the agreement, Britain agreed to reduce its tariffs from 5.1% to 1.8% and to provide greater access to U.S. products.
In recent months, Trump has imposed tariffs of 25% on steel, aluminium and autos. He also levied 25% on imports coming from Canada and Mexico.
Trump's second move was to impose a tariff of 100% on films produced outside the United States that are sent into the country.
Here's a summary of Trump’s trade-related actions and threats to date.
BROAD TARIFFS
Trump's vision is based on a gradual roll-out of tariffs that will apply to all U.S. imported goods.
Trump's economic team was tasked with developing plans to impose reciprocal tariffs against every country that taxes U.S. Imports. They also had to address non-tariff barriers, such as vehicle safety regulations that exclude U.S. automobiles as well as value added taxes that raise their price.
Specific COUNTRIES
Trump's tariff proposal targets several key trading partners.
MEXICO AND CANADA : Mexico and Canada were the two largest trading partners of the U.S. from 2024 to November. Trump's new tariffs of 25% on imports from Mexico, Canada and the European Union took effect on 4 March as a response to migration and fentanyl.
Tariffs were imposed on energy imports from Canada and Mexico, as well as on the majority of goods imported. Canada exports mainly crude oil, other energy products and cars and auto components within the North American automotive manufacturing chain. Mexico exports a variety of goods to the U.S., including industrial and automotive products.
Canada retaliated with 25% tariffs against US imports worth C$30 billion (21,13 billion dollars), including orange juice and peanut butter. Other products include beer, coffee, motorcycles, appliances, and motorbikes.
The Canadian government said that it will impose additional duties on C$125billion of U.S. products if Trump's Tariffs are still in effect in 21 days. This could include vehicles, steel and aircraft, as well as beef and pork.
U.S. commerce secretary Howard Lutnick stated that U.S. officials could still work out a partial solution with the two neighboring countries, and added that they need to do more in the fentanyl arena.
In response to Trump's tariffs on steel and aluminum, Canada announced that it would impose retaliatory duties of C$29.8 Billion ($20 Billion) on U.S. imports.
The two countries are exempted from the "Liberation Day", announced on April 2 tariffs, but they face a separate 25% tariff on auto imports.
Canada has asked the WTO to consult with the U.S. about its import duties on steel and aluminum products as well as levies placed on Canadian cars and parts.
CHINA: Trump imposed 10% tariffs on all Chinese imports to the U.S. effective February 4, after repeatedly warning Beijing that it was not doing enough to stop the flow of illegal drugs into the U.S.
On March 4, he imposed another 10% tariff on Chinese products.
China announced additional tariffs between 10% and 15% on some U.S. exports starting March 10, as well as a number of new restrictions on exports for certain U.S. entities. It then complained to the WTO about the U.S. Tariffs.
Trump increased the tariffs on China by 34% in April, making the total to 54%. China responded with a 34% duty on all U.S. products.
Trump replied that the U.S. will impose an extra 50% tariff on China, if Beijing doesn't withdraw its retaliatory duties on the U.S. and said "all discussions with China regarding their requested meetings with the us will be terminated."
Washington's new round of tariffs raised duties on China to 145%. Beijing then increased levies against U.S. products by 125% as a result.
In Geneva, both countries agreed on Monday to temporarily reduce reciprocal tariffs. The U.S. is lowering tariffs placed on China in April from 145% to 30% and Chinese duties will drop from 125% to 10%. The new measures will be in effect for 90 days.
Trump has said that the EU, and other countries, have alarming trade surpluses against the U.S. He said that the products of the other countries will be subject to tariffs, or he would demand they purchase more oil and natural gas from the U.S.
Steel, aluminum, and cars will be subject to import tariffs of 25%, while other goods will face tariffs of up to 20%, starting April 9. Pharmaceuticals are among the most vulnerable industries, since U.S. companies such as Johnson & Johnson, Pfizer, and others have large facilities in Ireland. Ireland is also a leading exporter of medical equipment.
The European Union announced on April 7 that it had offered to offer a "zero for zero" tariff deal in order to avoid a trade conflict. EU ministers agreed to prioritise negotiations and to strike back with targeted countermeasures the following week.
In response to Trump's metals duties, the EU announced on March 12 that it would begin imposing counter-tariffs next month on goods worth 26 billion euros (28 billion dollars) from the United States. As a result of the U.S. auto and wider tariffs, the EU is expected to release a more comprehensive package of countermeasures at the end of April.
Trump announced on March 13 that he would impose a tariff of 200% on European wines and spirits as a response to EU plans to levy tariffs on American whisky and other products in the next month.
BRITAIN: In May, Trump and British Prime Minster Starmer announced a limited trade agreement. The agreement leaves the 10% tariffs Trump imposed on British exports in place and expands access to agricultural products for both countries. It also lowers U.S. import duties that were prohibitive on British auto exports.
Trump imposed reciprocal tariffs of up to 50% in April on goods from 57 trading partner countries, including the European Union. He then paused them a few days later to give time for negotiations to July 9.
The UK and U.S. have said that this agreement lowers the average British tariff on U.S. products to 1.8%, from 5.1%. However, it keeps the 10% tariff in place on British goods.
An official from the UK noted that Washington's demands for a restructuring of Britain's Digital Services Tax, which is levied as 2% of UK revenues for online marketplaces, were not included in the deal.
PRODUCTS
AUTOS: Trump announced a 25% tariff for imported cars and light truck on March 26. The 25% tax would be added to previous duties on imported finished vehicles beginning on April 3.
On April 29, he issued a couple of orders that aimed to reduce the impact of his auto tariffs by combining credits with relief from other materials levies.
The Republican President has given automakers two years to increase the percentage of domestic components used in U.S.-built vehicles.
Metals: On March 12th, Trump raised tariffs for all imports of steel and aluminum to 25% and extended duties to hundreds downstream products, ranging from nuts and bolts, to bulldozers blades, to soda cans.
More than half of the U.S.'s aluminum and steel imports come from Canada, Mexico, and Brazil.
Trump ordered on February 25, a new investigation into the possibility of new tariffs on imports of copper to rebuild U.S. manufacturing of this metal, which is critical for electric vehicles, military equipment, semiconductors, and a variety of consumer goods.
Just over half of the refined copper that is consumed in the U.S. each year is produced domestically.
SEMICONDUCTORS : Trump stated that tariffs would start at "25% or higher" and would increase substantially over a period of one year. He did not, however, specify the date when they would be implemented.
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., the largest contract chipmaker in the world, produces semiconductors for Nvidia and Apple, among other U.S. customers. In 2024, it will generate 70% of its revenues from North American clients.
LUMBER: On March 1, Trump ordered a new investigation into trade that could add more tariffs to imported lumber. This would be in addition to the existing duties on Canadian Softwood Lumber and 25% tariffs for all Canadian and Mexican products.
ALCOHOL: Trump threatened on March 13 to slap 200% tariffs on wine, cognac, and other alcohol imported from Europe in response to an EU plan to impose tariffs American whiskey and other products. This is itself a retaliation for Trump's 25% tariffs which took effect on steel and aluminium imports the day before.
PHARMACEUTICALS - While Trump's "Liberation Day' announcement spared the pharmaceutical sector from reciprocal duties, the president said that duties were "under review." He warned that the tariffs could be "at a new level you haven't seen before."
ELECTRONICS - Trump exempted smartphones, computers, and other electronics, mostly from China, from the steep tariffs. This was a relief to major technology companies such as Apple, Dell Technologies, and other importers.
This move exempts certain electronics from Trump's baseline 10% tariffs on most goods imported from countries other than China.
(source: Reuters)