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Sumitomo metal, a Japanese company, predicts a larger global nickel surplus in 2025

Sumitomo Metal Mining, Japan's biggest nickel smelter, said that the global nickel market will see a greater surplus in this year as a result of Indonesian production expanding.

SMM's half-year market forecast presentation said that the surplus was projected to reach 215,000 metric tonnes in 2025. This is up from 173,000 tons last years, as Indonesian production of low-grade Nickel Pig Iron is expected to increase 5.7%, to 1.62 millions tons.

SMM stated that global nickel demand will grow by 3.2% this year, whereas supply is expected to rise 4.3%, to 3,64 million tonnes.

SMM Executive Director Yusuke Nisha stated that it was difficult to predict the impact of U.S. Tariffs.

Niwa stated that there was a possibility of a global decline in demand for nickel-based alloys used to make aircraft engines if the U.S. economic slowdown occurred.

Nickel is used primarily in stainless steel but also in lithium-ion battery packs that power electric cars (EVs), and the demand for this component was expected to increase.

However, growth is slowing as lithium-iron-phosphate (LFP) batteries, which are cheaper than nickel-rich alternatives, gained market share, Niwa said.

According to the International Energy Agency, LFP batteries will account for two thirds of all EVs sold in China by 2023.

These batteries are more environmentally friendly and cost-effective than other battery technologies because they rely only on lithium.

SMM, which provides cathode material for the Panasonic Li-ion Batteries used in Tesla Electric Vehicles, has predicted that by 2025, global nickel demand will reach around 480.000 tons, an increase of only 10,000 tons compared to 2024. (Reporting and editing by Varun H K; Yuka Obayashi)

(source: Reuters)