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London metals mixed before US-China trade talks
Investors in London reacted to the Federal Reserve's warning about the potential impact of rising inflation and labor market risks on economic uncertainty by varying the metal prices they paid for. As of 0139 GMT, the benchmark copper price on London Metal Exchange (LME), rose by 0.1% to $9432.5 per metric ton. The Fed maintained interest rates on Wednesday. They acknowledged that the risks of inflation and unemployment were higher, which further clouded the U.S. economy outlook, especially in light of the tariffs imposed by President Donald Trump. Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that it's not clear whether the economy will maintain its steady growth pace or falter under rising uncertainty and an upcoming spike in inflation. Trump also announced via Truth Social that a news conference in the Oval Office regarding a major deal with "representatives of a large, highly respected country" will take place on Thursday. He did not, however, name the country. After months of rising tensions, which pushed tariffs well above 100% between the two world's largest economies, traders have adopted a cautious approach ahead of this weekend's U.S. China meeting scheduled in Switzerland. Both countries will likely discuss the possibility of lowering tariffs on certain products and broader tariffs. We're all eagerly awaiting any updates or news from the U.S.-China trade talks. Uncertainty about the direction of markets is difficult to predict until we hear more," said a trader. Other London metals saw aluminium rise 0.3%, to $2389 per ton. Zinc added 0.3%, to $2624, while lead fell 0.3%, to $1951. Tin gained 0.2%, to $31,685, and nickel dropped 0.2%, to $15,525 per ton. The Shanghai Futures Exchange's (SHFE) most traded copper contract fell by 0.4%, to 77 690 yuan per ton ($10 732.59). SHFE aluminium fell by 0.6%, to 19,530 Chinese yuan per ton. Zinc rose by 0.2%, to 22,390 Yuan. Lead gained 0.6%, to 16,835 Yuan. Nickel dropped 0.4%, to 123620 Yuan. Tin declined 0.2%, to 261,270 Yuan. $1 = 7.2387 Chinese Yuan Renminbi (Reporting and editing by Sumana Niandy; Violet Li, Lewis Jackson)
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Oil prices remain stable after a drop as supply and economic concerns weigh on the price
Investor sentiment was weighed down by uncertainty about the outcome of the trade talks between China and the U.S., the two world's largest oil consumers. Brent crude futures remained unchanged at $61.12 per barrel while U.S. West Texas Intermediate oil rose 6 cents or 0.1% at $58.12 per barrel at 0058 GMT. Both contracts fell 1.7% Wednesday, as investors doubted the outcome of upcoming trade negotiations. Scott Bessent, U.S. Treasury secretary, will meet China's top official in the economy on May 10, for talks about a trade conflict that is disrupting global economic growth. These two countries have the largest economies in the world, and their trade war is likely to reduce crude consumption growth. Donald Trump, the U.S. president, suggested on Wednesday that China initiated trade talks. He added that he would not be willing to lower U.S. tariffs against Chinese goods in order to convince Beijing to negotiate. Bessent stated that the talks will be a beginning, and not an 'advanced discussion'. Analysts are concerned that the U.S. is not preparing for the summer period of demand. This month, gasoline inventories in the U.S. rose, adding to concerns about a weaker demand. OPEC+ (Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries) and its allies will also increase their oil production, putting pressure on the price. (Reporting from Tokyo by Katya Glubkova; Editing by Christian Schmollinger).
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Nikkei reported that Japan's NTT planned to purchase remaining NTT Data Shares for up to $20,9 billion.
The Nikkei reported that the Japanese telecoms giant Nippon Telegraph and Telephone Corp. plans to launch an offer up to 3 trillion Japanese yen (20.92 billion dollars) to purchase the remaining shares of NTT Data. NTT Data is owned by 57.7%, NTT being the largest telco in Japan. NTT Data provides IT services, and its market capitalisation was $29.5 billion as of Wednesday's closing. Nikkei reported that under the tender offer which could be announced by Thursday, NTT will buy out all remaining shares of NTT Data for a premium between 30% and 40%. NTT Data and NTT could not be immediately reached for comment. In recent years, management buyouts and acquisitions of corporates have increased in Japan. The deal would signal the end of prominent parent-child listings, which are still common in Japan. NTT, an ex-state monopoly that is still partially owned by the government took NTT Docomo, a mobile operator, private in 2020 in a deal worth 4 trillion yen. NTT, a major operator of data centers, is working with Toyota Motors on a platform for mobility and developing telecommunications technology that uses light. Media reported last month that Akio Toyoda's chairman of Toyota Motor, Akio, had proposed to acquire Toyota Industries, a supplier, in a possible 6 trillion yen transaction. Seven & i Holdings' founding family dropped a February buyout offer after it failed to secure funding. Alimentation Couche-Tard, a Canadian company, is attempting to acquire the 7-Eleven convenience-store chain for $47 billion.
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Mining chamber expects a lithium boom in Argentina this year
The mining chamber CAEM announced on Wednesday that lithium production in Argentina will increase by 77% this coming year. This is equivalent to 131.800 metric tonnes of lithium carbonate (LCE). CAEM stated that silver production could drop between 9.3% to 14.3%. Gold output is expected to fall between 0.6% and 93%. CAEM CEO Alejandra Cardona said that Argentina's lithium production has increased from three to six projects, thanks to new projects by Gangfeng Eramine, and Posco. Exports will drop 24% in 2024 to $631mn, due to lower international prices, according the chamber. Cardona informed attendees at a presentation to announce the Arminera event, an important mining industry conference, which will take place later in May, that there is a continued interest from Saudi Arabia. She added that for the time being, due to the drop in reference price, there have been no concrete investments. The third-largest economy in Latin America is also the fourth largest exporter of "white metal" and forms part of the "lithium triangular", which includes Chile and Bolivia. In 2025, gold production is expected to drop between 0.6% to 9.3% to 1.14 to 1.27 million ounces. CAEM reported that silver production could fall between 9.3% and 14.3% as mine lifespans decrease despite 2024's record gold exports. Javier Milei, the libertarian president of Argentina, has taken measures to deregulate and attract investment in order to overcome an economic crisis that lasted for years. In order to do this, he has promoted fiscal incentives and lifted the currency controls. Cardona believes that the removal of currency controls will improve the climate, provide certainty and not affect investments in projects which require many years before production can begin. Reporting by Lucila SIGAL; Writing by Rafael Escalera Montoto, Editing by Natalia Sinawski & Brendan O'Boyle
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US Judge to Rule by May 14th on Rio Tinto Copper Project Opposed by Native Americans
A U.S. Federal Judge said that he would rule on May 14 whether or not to stop the Trump Administration from transferring Arizona Land to Rio Tinto and BHP for the construction of a major Copper Mine, which Native Americans are opposed to. The complex and long-running legal case pits Arizona's San Carlos Apache against the rising demand for copper to support the energy transition, and the geopolitics surrounding China's control of the vital minerals industry. The conflict centers around the federally-owned Oak Flat Campground, where many Apaches worship their deities. The site is located on top of a copper reserve that contains more than 40 billion pounds (18,1 million metric tonnes), a vital component in electric vehicles and electronic devices. If built, Rio and BHP’s Resolution Copper Project would cause a crater that was 2 miles wide (3 km) and 1,000 feet deep (304 m), slowly engulfing the worship site. U.S. District Court Judge Steven Logan who ruled for the land transfer 2021 held a hearing of nearly two hours on Wednesday. He was asked to block the land transfers temporarily until the U.S. Supreme Court has decided. Logan, a former U.S. president Barack Obama appointee, made no indication of how he will rule within the promised week, but asked pointedly about the harm that the Apache might suffer if the transfer occurred before the Supreme Court decides. He also requested data on Rio's monthly maintenance costs of existing Resolution assets. A Rio executive estimated that these costs were $11 million. Since 2021, the courts have refused to grant Apache Stronghold's request that the land needed for the mine be transferred. The court's rulings were based on a decision taken by the U.S. Congress in 2014 and President Obama. In his first term as president, Donald Trump began the land transfer. However, Joe Biden undid the move while the matter was pending in the courts. Now, the U.S. Supreme Court will decide whether or not to accept the case. The Supreme Court has stated at least thirteen times that it will continue deliberating on the appeal request. This is an unusually lengthy timeframe. Trump restarted last month the land transfer, and his administration hopes to finish it by June 16. Logan was urged to stick with the 2021 decision by the U.S. Justice Department. The Justice Department has been against Apaches' requests under both Biden & Trump. Erika Danielle-Norman, an attorney with the Justice Department, said that there was no basis to give a different outcome. The hearing was a positive experience for Apache Stronghold, their attorneys from the Becket Fund for Religious Liberty and the Apache Stronghold. Joseph Davis, Becket's Joseph Davis said that the Apaches only asked for the Supreme Court to delay the land transfer while it deliberates. Rio Tinto expressed its appreciation for the time of the court and said that Resolution was "vital" to America's future energy, infrastructure, and national security. BHP, who owns 45% to Rio's 50%, has not responded to an immediate request for comment. (Reporting and editing by Howard Goller; Ernest Scheyder)
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Exxon has agreed to supply low-carbon ammonia to Japan's Marubeni
Exxon Mobil announced on Wednesday that it had signed a long term agreement with Marubeni, a Japanese trading company, to supply the Japanese trading house 250,000 metric tonnes of low-carbon hydrogen annually. This is Exxon Mobil's first customer agreement signed for its planned facility in Baytown. Exxon has been working to build the largest low-carbon hydrogen facility in the world at its Baytown refinery and chemical complex. The project, which is experiencing delays, will now move forward. The clean fuel hydrogen can be made from natural gas. It produces water upon combustion. Ammonia is used to transport the liquid hydrogen. The company stated that carbon dioxide produced during the production of hydrogen would be captured and stored below ground. In a press release, Barry Engle said, "This is a positive step for our landmark project." Exxon's final investment decision on the Baytown hydrogen plant will determine whether or not Exxon signs a customer agreement. Exxon expects to reach a decision in this year depending on government policies and regulatory permits. Marubeni also plans to take a stake in Exxon Baytown's hydrogen facility. A spokesperson for Exxon declined to disclose the percentage stake.
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British Steel under UK government control to increase output and hire staff
British Steel announced on Wednesday that it will hire more than 180 new employees as it prepares for a production increase following the British Government's operation seizure of British Steel from its Chinese owners back in April. British Steel operates two of the last remaining blast furnaces for England in Scunthorpe. The two blast furnaces in Scunthorpe, eastern England are operating at a loss. Owners China's Jingye Group announced plans to close them down back in March. British Steel announced on Wednesday that it will "significantly" increase its iron and steel production over the next few months, following the government intervention in April. It is therefore recruiting for over 180 new positions in engineering, manufacturing, and business functions. The Jingye closure plans put the jobs of 3,000 employees at risk. British Steel's interim Chief Executive Allan Bell stated that the company hoped to become one the world's largest steel manufacturers with the government's backing. In a press release, he stated that "to help achieve this and meet customer demands, we will increase production." This demand is unlikely from the United States, after President Donald Trump imposed in March a 25% tariff on steel imports. Jingye warned that British Steel was already losing 700,00 pounds ($922,000 per day) British Steel is a supplier of rail, construction and automotive industries. However, it has been struggling with high energy prices in the UK, as well as a global glut of steel. The government previously stated that it was looking for a partner in the private sector to ensure British Steel's long-term future. The United States and Britain are trying to reach a deal on trade that will hopefully reduce Trump's tariffs, which include British Steel.
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Occidental reports quarterly profit beat on strong output, natural gas prices
Occidental Petroleum beat Wall Street expectations for the first-quarter profits on Wednesday thanks to strong production and favorable commodities prices. Benchmark Brent crude averaged $74.98 per barrel in the first quarter of 2018, up 1.3% from the previous quarter. Meanwhile, U.S. Natural Gas prices have been steadily rising over the last few quarters, and reached a 2-year high on 10 March. The average domestic realized price of total natural gas production has risen to $2.42 for every thousand cubic feet. This is a 50% increase from last year. Natural gas liquids (NGLs) realized by the company were $25.94 a barrel, a roughly 17% increase from last year. The average realized price of oil has fallen from last year but increased by 2% from the previous quarter. The company's production increased by nearly 19%, to 1,39 million barrels of equivalent oil per day (MMboepd), compared with the previous year. This was largely due to higher output from the Rockies as well as the Gulf of America. In the third quarter, the company reported that it had paid off $2.3 billion in debt. This was a result of divestitures. After closing its acquisition of CrownRock, the company's debt ballooned. In a press release, CEO Vicki Hollub stated that "we continue to make rapid progress towards our debt-reduction goals and believe that our deep, varied portfolio of high quality assets positions us for successful performance in any market conditions." According to LSEG, the company reported a profit adjusted of 87 cents a piece for the quarter ending March 31. This compares with an average analyst estimate of 77c / share.
Sources say that China's smelter groups has agreed not to provide guidance on Q2 copper TC/RCs.
Sources said that the top Chinese copper smelters, who met on Monday, decided to not set guidance for second quarter copper concentrate treatment and refining costs (TC/RCs), as they are struggling with an acute lack of concentrate.
Sources at the China Smelters Purchase Team in Shanghai said that, due to the scramble for stocks, spot TC/RC price has been negative since December. This has resulted in a benchmark so disconnected, it is now meaningless.
A second source who spoke under condition of anonymity said that the CSPT had never given negative price guidance.
A third source said that the tightness in copper concentrate supplies could last through this year, and possibly next year due to smelters expanding.
The TC/RCs are an important source of revenue for the smelters. They also serve as a gauge for the availability of copper concentrates that are used to produce refined copper.
If the TC/RC is negative, the smelter must pay the miners or traders for converting concentrate into refined metal.
On March 28, the Shanghai Metals Market Copper Concentrates TC/RC Index was -$24.14 a metric ton, and -2.41cents a pound.
A second and fourth source, who spoke on condition of anonymity, said that planned maintenance for the second quarter made it less important to give guidance because they wouldn't be buying as much spot cargo.
Many copper smelters in China, the top consumer of the metal, have begun maintenance on their equipment and are opting to close down the plants during the traditional peak period for demand, March, to reduce losses due to the shortage.
The first quarter guidance was $25 per tonne and 2.5 cents a pound. Reporting by Violet Li in Beijing, Amy Lv, and Lewis Jackson; Editing by Jamie Freed and Sherry Jacob Phillips, Rashmi aich, and David Evans
(source: Reuters)