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Trump's very big' mineral deal could pay off for US Republicans

The crucial minerals deal Donald Trump negotiated with Ukraine may ease tensions between Kyiv, the U.S. President and Congress and win support for a fresh round of aid.

The Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelenskiy will be in Washington, D.C. on Friday for a signing of a mineral agreement with Trump. Trump has portrayed the deal as a means to recover American money spent to support Ukraine.

Trump said that Zelenskiy was planning to travel to Washington to sign "a very big deal" on Friday. The deal is crucial to Ukrainian efforts to win Trump's support as he seeks to end Russia's war quickly through U.S. - Russian talks which have excluded Kyiv.

Analysts and Republican members of Congress said that a successful deal increased the likelihood that the party, which controls both the House of Representatives as well as the Senate, would approve more aid to Ukraine.

Since Russia's full-scale invasion in Ukraine three years ago the Congress has approved $175 Billion in aid. However, the last funding bill was passed in April when Democrats still controlled both the Senate and the White House, with Joe Biden as the Democratic President.

Even then, under Trump's pressure, the Republicans in Congress dragged their feet on the bill, despite his skepticism about further military assistance to Ukraine. This led to delays in delivery of weapons, which put Ukrainian forces at a disadvantage in battle.

Since Trump's election on November 5, enthusiasm for additional spending has been low.

Mike Johnson, Republican House Speaker, said that there was "no appetite for" another Ukraine aid measure after Trump called Zelenskiy as a dictator. Trump also warned Zelenskiy to move quickly in order to achieve peace with Russia.

Democrats in Congress in the United States have remained steadfast in their support for Zelenskiy’s government.

Republican Representative Michael McCaul said that as a supporter of Ukraine he was in agreement with the idea that a deal on minerals would make it easier to vote for aid, while U.S. firms made money and Ukraine benefited from its resources.

"Yes, I would like to do it especially if the deal comes from Trump," said he.

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McCaul called the agreement a "joint alliance" whereby the U.S. helped develop Ukraine's vital minerals.

He said, "And then our industry would obviously make money." "They'd make money and we would help pay for the war."

The deal, according to Representative Joe Wilson, would be attractive to other Republicans who are looking to reduce spending, particularly foreign aid, as it provides a financial advantage for the U.S.

He said, "It is not an issue for Ukraine." "It's that they're legitimately worried about the overspending and that's reflected in their skepticism about foreign efforts."

McCaul and Wilson, along with other Republican legislators, noted that the details of a Ukrainian security agreement remained a sticking issue. Analysts, however, said it was logical for Ukraine to sign a deal after three years of conflict, despite its heavy losses, and for Trump to invest in Kyiv’s success.

Scott Anderson, fellow in governance at the Brookings Institution, said: "They see it as a means to get Trump's buy-in."

Jim Risch of the Republican Senate, who chairs the Senate Foreign Relations Committee did not claim that a mineral deal would increase Republican support but he saw it as a key to ending the war.

Risch stated, "I believe there will be an agreement, but like all agreements, each side needs to be able tell their constituents that they won." (Reporting and editing by Humeyra Pauk and Deepa Babyington; reporting by Patricia Zengerle)

(source: Reuters)