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Britain strengthens diplomatic relations with Venezuela
Britain announced on Tuesday that it would be upgrading its diplomatic relations with Venezuela by appointing an ambassador in the country. This move, it claimed, would enhance Britain's ability to support a democratic transition. In a written statement to the parliament, the government stated that "this decision is part a broader international reengagement." Britain stated that the move was not an endorsement of Venezuela's disputed election of 2024 or any political party, but rather reflected its longstanding policy to maintain?relations? with the Venezuelan state. After the U.S. ousted Nicolas Maduro from power in January, the government of acting President Delcy Rodriguez is now in charge. Venezuela welcomed the decision. Oliver Blanco said that Caracas appreciated Britain's'move' to improve diplomatic relations. Blanco stated that "we reaffirm our willingness to further a respectful dialogue and promote cooperation on areas of common interest to both countries, and to help'recover resources which?rightfully belongs to the Venezuelan people."
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Israeli strikes in Gaza killed two people including a child.
Health officials in Gaza said that Israeli airstrikes on a vehicle Tuesday killed at least two Palestinians including a child and injured seven others. The strikes occurred in Sheikh Radwan, a neighbourhood located north of the Gaza Strip. The Israeli military claimed it had?struck a?militant? in the area without providing any further details. Witnesses said that some of the casualties were caused by a second strike which hit near people who had rushed to assist in the rescue. The video was not immediately verified, but it showed that a missile had exploded near at least five people. Palestinians held funerals for two Palestinians who were killed in Israeli airstrikes a day earlier, Ahmed Al-Batsh Rafat Zummar. According to Hamas and Israeli military sources, Batsh was the local Hamas commander. Medical personnel said that Batsh was killed in an attack against his vehicle in the northern Gaza Strip. In separate statements, the Israeli military claimed that both men were killed and described Zummar as a Hamas leader. Hamas did not immediately comment on Zummar’s affiliation. In Gaza City, Al Shifa Hospital, relatives and friends bid farewell to Batsh’s body. It was draped in a Hamas flag and a white shroud. On top of the corpse, an M16 assault weapon was placed. Khalil al-Batsh said that Israel believed it would eliminate the spirit of jihad and resistance within us. At the funeral, he said: "I tell them this cowardly operation strengthens our people’s determination to keep on going down this path." A U.S.-backed ceasefire in October 2025 halted the large-scale fighting?in Gaza. However, it did not end Israeli strikes, and little progress has been made on the?steps toward permanent peace. Hamas claims that Israel violated the ceasefire, and undermined efforts to implement U.S. president Donald Trump's plan?to resolve the Gaza conflict. This includes the Israeli removal from the Gaza Strip and the disarmament by Hamas. Israel claims that Hamas violated the agreement. According to Gaza's health officials, more than 1,300 Palestinians (mostly civilians) have died since the ceasefire came into effect. The Israeli military, however, claims that four Israeli soldiers were killed. Hamas doesn't usually reveal information about the deaths of its fighters.
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Investors' appetite for IPO tests is tested by Dangote's profits in Europe
Nigeria's Dangote Oil Refinery has emerged as one of the key suppliers of fuels to Europe, following disruptions in Middle East exports. This highlights its growing influence on global fuel markets. It also generated a record profit before its debut at the stock exchange. According to the prospectus of the Lagos refinery, by increasing?fuel?exports during this crisis, the company has been able to achieve a profit of 1.82 billion dollars in the first six months of 2026, on revenues of over $13 billion. This is a significant improvement from the $476 million loss it suffered in 2025 due to conflict-related disruptions that increased the demand for the refinery's exports. Dangote’s refinery, built to end Nigeria’s dependence on imported oil, is influencing global fuel flow at a time when the market is under stress. The trend will continue, as Middle East disruptions persist and refinery capacity is expanded. Janiv Shah, Rystad Energy, said that "Dangote will likely increase its role in the upcoming years". The gasoline industry will have the largest structural impact. "Jet fuel and diesel are also growing in importance". In response to U.S. and Israeli attacks, Iran closed the Strait of Hormuz at the end February. Europe lost a quarter its diesel and jet fuel supply. Fuel inventories at the oil trading hub in Northwest Europe have plummeted to their lowest levels in 12 years as a result of the Middle East's drop in exports. According to Kpler, Europe imported around 80,000 barrels of jet fuel per day from Dangote in the second quarter. This is equivalent to 13% of the supply shortage and makes the refinery Africa's biggest supplier of fuel. The data shows that only the U.S. accounted for more imports from Europe than Nigeria during this time period. "Without Dangote Europe would have still sourced fuel, but at a much higher clearing price. Shah of Rystad said that there could have been deeper stock draws. REFINERY HELPS TO SATISFY TIGHT MARKET Dangote has also increased exports of gasoil and diesel, which are both?part of a group known as middle distillates of fuels. Kpler reports that Dangote's exports of diesel and gasoil have increased by 23%, to 488,000 bpd as of 2026. Sumit Ritolia, Kpler analyst, said that "these barrels have been increasingly supplying West Africa and Europe where they helped ease an otherwise tight middle distillate market". Dangote's influence on the gasoline flow has been significant since Dangote started operating in 2024. Kpler reports that Dangote has produced between 270,000 and 300,000 barrels per day of gasoline since 2026. Nigerian imports have fallen from around 400,000 bpd to 83,000 bpd. Europe has traditionally provided the majority of this volume in a trade worth $17 billion per year. Dangote wants to double its capacity to 1.4m bpd in 2029. This would make the refinery the second-largest in the world, alongside Reliance’s Jamnagar facility. When asked about refinery expansion plans, Chief Executive David Bird said that a?diesel hydratreater will allow Dangote a greater range of diesel specifications to be exported. He said, "We must ensure that we can sell our product anywhere in the globe, any time of the year."
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Germany's Merz promises relief plan 'soon' as pump prices hit record
The embattled German Chancellor Friedrich Merz, who is under pressure to respond to citizens' concerns ahead of an upcoming state election, promised that he would be bringing "very soon" proposals to protect consumers from record fuel prices. Merz's Christian Democrats (CDU), which are largely rural, face the prospect of their worst ever state election results in Mecklenburg/Western Pomerania. Merz said at a business conference that the price of a litre E10 gasoline in the United States had reached a record of EUR2.286 per gallon. Prices have increased since the conflict in the Middle East began late February. Merz did not give details on how an intervention would work, but he said that he was consulting the 16 federal states in Berlin and his coalition partners. Lars Klingbeil of the Finance Ministry, who will be 'pressing for a windfall-tax on European energy companies at an informal meeting of EU finance ministers said that he didn't know Merz’s proposals, but it was important to make a decision quickly. The CDU-led Economy Ministry has resisted the idea of a price ceiling, which is supported by Klingbeil’s Social Democrats. They claim it would be hard to implement. In May and June of this year, the government reduced energy taxes by 17 cents a litre. STATE PREMIER CALLS FOR A PRICE CAP Merz has promised to better connect with voters following his party's?trouncement in a state election held this month, which handed an historic victory to the far-right Alternative for Germany. According to a source within the party, the chancellor has said repeatedly that he intends to serve his entire four-year term. His conservatives will meet on Sunday in order to rally around him. Manuela Schwesig is the SPD state premier for Mecklenburg/Western Pomerania, hoping to win a second term. She has accused Merz of standing aside while fuel prices rise, and she wants a national fuel price cap, based on Luxembourg's model. ($1 = 0.8665 euros)
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ADNOC Trading sources claim that it buys millions barrels of Iraqi crude.
Three people with knowledge of the matter said that Abu Dhabi National Oil Co. (ADNOC), a trading company, has purchased millions of barrels at a discount from Iraq's?state?oil firm. This is an expansion of its role in the market amid the disruptions caused by the Iran War. Two Iraqi energy sources reported that the state-owned company of the United Arab Emirates, through its trading division, was the largest lifter of Iraqi oil in August and in September. This helped boost Iraqi exports, which had been severely curtailed during the early months of the conflict. ADNOC has agreed to purchase 32 million Iraqi barges in August, at discounts of $24.90 to 27% per barrel. A further 40 million barrels will be purchased in September. This includes 10 million?barrels for $18 a barrel and 30 million barrels with a discount of $25, according to one Iraqi source. According to the second Iraqi source, while Iraq's state oil marketing organisation SOMO allocated ADNOC 32 millions barrels in august, the UAE giant lifted only 20 million barrels because of export restrictions and Basra Oil Company’s inability to secure enough crude. ADNOC has so far lifted 14 millions Iraqi barrels in September, a person told me. A third source claimed that ADNOC bought 20 million barrels from the state-owned SOMO of?Iraq in tenders for a discount between $25 and $27 per barrel. Other companies also buy Iraqi crude. Trade sources said that SOMO had offered August-loading shipments at steep discounts. This attracted other buyers, including Chinese state giants PetroChina and Zhenhua oil, TotalEnergies and Vitol as well as Trafigura Mercuria, and Cathay Petroleum. Iran's official news agency IRNA said that Iran had granted permission to a number of oil tankers transporting Iraqi crude oil through the Strait of Hormuz last month after Baghdad repeatedly requested it through different channels. Iraq's exports were severely curtailed during the early months of the war, in part due to its location on the top of Gulf and the absence of its own shipping fleet. ADNOC, the state-owned oil company, has become more agile since the start of the war. It uses an expanding fleet of tankers as well as a pipe to Fujairah in order to move oil out of the Gulf of Aden and across the Strait of Hormuz. Put the past behind them Despite the attacks on ADNOC tanks, 'Iranian president Masoud Pezeshkian met with UAE crown prince Sheikh Khaled Bin Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan at the BRICS Summit in New Delhi on Sunday, stating that the two sides agreed to 'put the past behind them. According to Kpler, Iraq exported about 2 million barrels per day in this month. This is down from the 2.354 millions bpd of August but higher than the 1.374million bpd of July. According to Kpler, UAE crude exports rose to 3.236 millions bpd last month. This is up from 2.886million bpd during August and 2.871million bpd during July. One of three sources stated that ADNOC intends to process the majority of crude oil purchased from other Gulf producers and sell it more on the international market.
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Sources say that ADNOC, the UAE's oil company, buys millions barrels of Iraqi crude.
Abu Dhabi National Oil Co. (ADNOC), a trading company, has purchased millions of barrels at a discount from Iraq's oil company, according to three people who are familiar with the situation. This is a result of the Iran War, which has caused supply disruptions. Two Iraqi energy sources reported that the state company's trading arm was the largest lifter of Iraqi oil in August and in September. This helped boost Iraqi exports, which had been severely curtailed during the early months of the conflict. ADNOC has agreed to purchase 32 million Iraqi barges in August, at discounts of $24.90 to 27% per barrel. A further 40 million barrels will be purchased in September. This includes?10,000,000 barrels for $18 a barrel and 30,000,000 barrels for $25, according to one Iraqi source. According to the second Iraqi source, 'while Iraq's State Oil Marketing Organisation SOMO allocated ADNOC 32 millions barrels in August due to export restrictions and Basra Oil Company's inability secure enough crude', the UAE giant lifted only 20 million barrels. ADNOC has so far lifted 14 millions Iraqi barrels in September, a person told me. A third source stated that ADNOC purchased about 20 million barrels?crude' from Iraqi state-owned SOMO through tenders, at a discount between $25 and $27 per barrel for the lifting of September to October. Other companies are also buying Iraqi oil. SOMO offered August loading?cargoes for steep discounts to attract other buyers, including Chinese state-majors PetroChina and Zhenhua oil, TotalEnergies and Vitol as well as Trafigura Mercuria and Cathay Petroleum. Iran's official news agency IRNA said that Iran had granted permission to a number of oil tankers transporting Iraqi crude to pass through Strait of Hormuz last month after Baghdad repeatedly requested it through different channels. Iraq's exports were severely restricted in the early months of the war, in part due to its location on the Gulf and its lack of a shipping fleet. ADNOC, the state-owned oil company, has become more agile since the start of the war. It uses an expanding fleet of tankers as well as a pipe to Fujairah in order to transport?oil across the Strait of Hormuz and out of the Gulf. Put the past behind them Despite the attacks on ADNOC 'tankers', Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian on Sunday met with UAE crown prince Sheikh Khaled Bin Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan at the BRICS Summit in New Delhi. He said that the two sides agreed to?put the past behind them. According to Kpler, Iraq exported about 2 million barrels per day in this month. This is down from the 2.354 millions bpd of August but higher than the 1.374million bpd of July. According to Kpler, UAE crude exports rose to 3.236 millions bpd this month from 2.886million bpd last August and 2.871million bpd during July. One of three sources stated that ADNOC intends to process the majority of crude oil purchased from other Gulf producers and sell it more on the international market.
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Copper falls to a 3-week low as inventories increase, with a focus on oil
The copper price fell to its lowest level in over three weeks on Tuesday as the London Metal Exchange increased their inventories, and oil prices rose. The benchmark copper price on the London Metal Exchange was 0.5% higher, at $14.075 per metric ton of official rings. This is the lowest level since August 20, and it's been trading there for a year. Copper recovered thanks to bargain hunters, traders said. Due to higher premiums on nearby contracts against longer-dated forwards, copper stocks in LME warehouses rose nearly 20% to 242,900 tonnes since the middle of August. The traders expect that more copper sold previously at high prices will be delivered to LME warehouses in the coming days. The premiums that were paid last week have now been reduced, and deliveries will likely dry up pretty quickly. After a report by?U.S. sources, copper prices for all maturities began to drop last week. The President Donald Trump has not made a final decision about whether or not to impose tariffs against copper imports. Comex copper prices rose above LME copper prices due to the possibility of tariffs on U.S. imports. Since 18 months traders have been shipping copper to the United States. Comex stocks are at record highs. Tom Price, Panmure Liberum's analyst, said: "There is no benefit to confusing the markets with government policy." "I have a gut feeling that he'll impose this at some point, otherwise we will see the largest trade reversal ever in copper history." Analysts believe that concerns over oil prices and supplies - at around $107 per barrel compared to $87 at the end of August - will impact growth, manufacturing and metal demand. The dollar's strength has made commodities priced in dollars more expensive to holders of other currencies. Lead was unchanged at $1,874 and tin at $51,900. Nickel was down 0.6% at $16,230.
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Sources say that ADNOC, the UAE's oil company, buys millions barrels of Iraqi crude.
Three people with knowledge of the matter said that Abu Dhabi National Oil Co (ADNOC), a trading firm in the face of supply disruptions caused by the Iran War, has purchased millions of barrels of discounted crude oil from Iraq's State Oil Firm. Two Iraqi energy sources reported that the state company through its trading arm was the largest lifter of Iraqi oil in August and September, helping to boost Iraqi exports, which had been severely cut in the early months of the war. One of the Iraqi sources said that ADNOC had agreed to purchase 32 million Iraqi barrels for $24.90-$27 per barrel in August, and another 40 million barrels for $27 in September. This included 10 million barrels with a $18 discount, and 30 million barrels with a $25 discount. According to the second Iraqi source, despite Iraq's state oil marketing organization SOMO having allocated ADNOC a total of 32 million barrels for August, ADNOC lifted 20 millions barrels because of export restrictions and Basra Oil Company not being able to secure enough?crude. ADNOC has so far lifted 14 millions Iraqi barrels in September, a person told me. Third source claimed that ADNOC had purchased about 20 million barrels from Iraqi?state owned SOMO? in tenders for a discount between $25 and $27 per barrel. Other companies are also buying Iraqi crude. SOMO offered August loading cargoes?at steep discount, attracting other buyers, including Chinese state-majors PetroChina and Zhenhua Oil as well as TotalEnergies and?Vitol. Trafigura Mercuria, and Cathay?Petroleum.
Copper squeezed in the United States however China has plenty: Andy Home
The London Metal Exchange ( LME) copper rate hit a record nominal high of $11,104.50 per metric load on Monday.
The London market is playing catch-up with its U.S. peer CME Group, where a vicious short squeeze has been playing out on the COMEX contract.
Traders are now scrambling to deliver metal to CME storage facilities in the United States to cover short positions.
The panic has actually fanned to a rally that has driven the copper rate up by 27% given that January and enhanced a bull story of a market caught between constrained supply and green need boom.
However, not everyone lacks copper. China, the world's. biggest buyer, has a lot of the things.
This doesn't offer much relief for those short of the CME. contract, at least straight, but it's a helpful reminder the. world hasn't run out of copper right now.
STRONG SEASONAL RISE
Inventory signed up with the Shanghai Futures Exchange. ( ShFE) stood at 291,020 metric tons at the end of recently,. compared with London Metal Exchange (LME) stocks of 105,900 heaps. and CME stocks of just 18,244 heaps.
This year brought the typical seasonal stocks rise around the. lunar brand-new year vacations however it's been the strongest because 2020,. a year of COVID-19 disruption.
Headline ShFE stock peaked at 300,045 lots in the middle. of April and has remained around those raised heights, the typical. post-holiday drawdown up until now obvious by its lack.
There are another 45,000 tons of bonded copper registered. with ShFE's international branch, the International Energy. Exchange.
The build in Chinese exchange stocks lifted global exchange. inventory to 491,000 tons at the end of March, the greatest. regular monthly level since August 2021.
FALTERING DEMAND, HIGHER SUPPLY
Weak spot demand, robust imports and rising domestic output. have integrated to keep China's exchange stocks high.
Chinese purchasers, like those everywhere else, have responded to. copper's sharp rally by de-stocking, which is probably why the. seasonal post-holiday decline in ShFE stocks hasn't yet kicked. in.
Meanwhile, Chinese imports of refined metal have actually been. performing at a healthy clip because the middle of in 2015. Imports. accelerated from 1.65 million lots in the first half of 2023 to. 2.07 million in the 2nd half.
The rate dropped only somewhat in the very first 4 months of. this year with cumulative imports of 1.25 million tonnes up by. 17% on the exact same period of 2023.
Net imports of 1.18 million tonnes were up by a sharper 26%. on the year-earlier period showing lower exports, which fell. to 70,400 lots from 129,000.
Significantly, imports of raw material have actually also been rising. this year.
Incoming volumes of copper concentrate rose by 7%. year-on-year to 9.34 million heaps in January-April, Chinese. players obviously adjusting to the loss of the Cobre Panama mine. after its closure at the end of 2023.
Greater copper focuses schedule has translated into. greater domestic production of refined copper. After rising by 8%. in the first quarter of the year, output development sped up to. 9% in April.
A March arrangement by Chinese smelters to cut output due. to uneconomic treatment terms was one of the triggers for. copper's super-charged rally however any effect on the country's. production rate is so far tough to discern.
IMPORT PREMIUM COLLAPSE
The combination of elevated stocks and super-high costs has. caused a collapse in the Yangshan premium << SMM-CUYP-CN >, a. closely-tracked indication of China's copper import hunger.
The premium is presently evaluated by local information company. Shanghai Metal Markets at minus $5 per heap, the very first time it. has fallen into negative area because the information series was. released in 2013.
The spot import door has actually simply securely closed. Metal will. still flow into China under yearly supply offers, which tend to. be favoured by larger buyers, however arrivals will likely drop a. couple of equipments relative to the last few months.
This may allow CME shorts some flex in re-routing deliveries. of South American copper from China to U.S. ports.
CME's list of deliverable brand names does not consist of either. Russian or Chinese brand names, restricting the potential for a straight. stocks move from the LME, where they represented. two-thirds of necessitated inventory at the end of April.
China clearly won't miss the additional import units in the brief. term as the cost spike suppresses purchasing every stage of the. product production chain.
DISCONNECT
This copper rally has actually been driven by fund purchasers and. accentuated by trade short position holders being forced to. cover.
Financiers are still coming to the bull celebration. Cash. supervisors have actually lifted their straight-out long positions on the CME. contract to a near six-year high of 141,204 agreements.
Investment fund long positions on the LME have actually also bent. broader over the recently to 107,385 lots, the most bullish. positioning given that the LME launched its Dedications of Traders. Report in 2018.
It takes two to tango in a booming market and it's the CME. shorts that are likewise contributing to the upside momentum.
Nevertheless, presuming traders can move copper to CME warehouses. and reconstruct diminished stocks, the current detach in between CME. and LME pricing will be closed.
That will leave the far bigger detach in between rate and. supply chain reality.
Can copper keep rising if the world's biggest physical. consumer stops buying? And if China won't pay these rates, who. else will?
The opinions revealed here are those of the author, a. columnist .
(source: Reuters)