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Key data: Shares stabilize ahead of major central bank decisions
European shares rose on Monday, as Wall Street futures indicated a recovery after last week's selling. However, investor caution capped gains ahead of a busy week that will include important central bank decisions and economic reports. The benchmark STOXX Index of 600 large companies in Europe gained 0.6%. S&P 500 futures rose 0.4% after U.S. shares had fallen on Friday due to concerns over a bubble in?Artificial Intelligence stocks and lingering inflation. Asia shares have been less buoyant due to renewed concerns in China's real estate market. MSCI's broadest Asia-Pacific share index outside Japan fell 1.2%. This was led by a fall of up to 2.7% on South Korean shares. South Korea is one of the best-performing markets in the world this year. Marc Velan is the head of investments for Lucerne Asset Management, a Singapore-based asset management firm. He said that "the risk-off tone in Asia appears to be more a spillover effect from last Friday's sale in U.S. tech and momentum than a regional catalyst." The unwinding of the AI-capex trade affected global risk appetite. And in the 'thinnest year-end liquidity, these moves tend to spread quickly across regions. Investors waited for a series of economic data releases and central bank decisions. The yield of the 10-year Treasury bond in the United States was down 3 basis points to 4.1645%. CHINA PROPERTY WORRIES The U.S. Dollar fell 0.1% against the Chinese Yuan trading offshore to 7.0486, which is its highest level in over a year. Factory?output data and retail sales figures for November showed a further slowdown. Official data released on Monday showed that the price of new homes continued to decline in November. This indicates that the recovery in the demand for housing is still elusive, despite government promises to stabilize the sector. China Vanke announced that it would convene a second meeting of bondholders after the state-backed developer failed to get bondholder approval for an extension by one year to a bond payment due on Monday. This increased the risk?of default, and renewed concerns about the crisis?hit property?sector. Jeff Zhang, Morningstar's equity analyst, said: "If Vanke defaults in the end, we believe the ramifications for the China property industry can be significant." Investors are more likely to be concerned with the balance sheet, and the government's attitude toward bailouts for even'safe' names. CENTRAL BANK CENTRAL BANK LOOM DECISIONS The Bank of Japan, among the central banks that will make decisions this week is expected to increase rates by 25 basis point to 0.75%. Meanwhile, the Bank of England could cut rates to 3.75%. Along with Sweden's Riksbank, Norway's Norges Bank and the European Central Bank, it is expected that interest rates will remain unchanged. Investors can also catch up with economic data delayed by the U.S. The government shutdown has delayed the release of the November jobs report and the consumer price index. Ben Bennett, Hong Kong-based head of investment strategy Asia for L&G Asset Management, said: "It is worth treating this week's statistics with a grain of salt due to the difficulties in collecting data and the direct impact of the shutdown on the economy." We'll need to wait until the year 2026 before we can get a better idea of how the U.S. economy is doing." economy." Stocks in Japan gained support on Monday after the BOJ released its closely-watched "tankan", or business survey, which showed that the big manufacturers' sentiment had reached a four year high. This indicated the economy could be weathering the impact of higher U.S. Tariffs. The Topix rose 0.2% last, and the yen gained 0.6%, to 154.955 versus the U.S. Dollar, which is nearing its highest level in a week. The kiwi fell 0.4% to $0.5781 following comments by New Zealand's central bank governor Anna Breman, who warned that financial market conditions have?tightened over the past few weeks. This has led investors to reduce their expectations of rate hikes for next year. Brent crude rose 0.5% to $61.44 on supply concerns from the U.S. Venezuela tensions, among other factors. Imperial Oil announced on Sunday that it had issued an?fire alarm at its 120,000 barrel per day refinery facility in Ontario. Russia, meanwhile, said that a refinery in Afipsky had not been damaged by an attack from a Ukrainian drone. Steve Witkoff, the U.S. ambassador to Berlin said that "a lot of progress has been made" on the geopolitical side in the peace talks in Berlin for the end of the Ukraine conflict. Gold has extended its recent rally for a fifth consecutive day, as it nears a record-high of $4381.21. Last week, spot bullion prices rose 1.1% to $4,348.83. The cryptocurrency markets ended a three-day loss streak. Bitcoin was up 1.5% to $89,845 while ether rose 2% to $3145. (Reporting and editing by Shri Navaratnam; Sam Holmes, Louise Heavens and Gregor Stuart Hunter)
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UK watchdog investigates EY audit of Shell for rule violation
The British Financial Reporting Council announced on Monday that it has opened an investigation into Ernst & Young’s audit of Shell’s 2024 financial reports for possible violations of audit partner rotation regulations. Shell announced in July that it would update the 2023 and 2024 annual reports, due to EY not complying with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission’s audit partner rotation rules. The financial statements, however, would remain unchanged. U.S. SEC regulations require 'lead and review audit partners' to rotate every five years, with a cooling-off period of five years. 'Other key partners must rotate every seven?years after a two-year pause. EY stated in a statement emailed to clients that "as disclosed on 2 July 2025 by EY UK, the FRC's Revised Ethical Standard concerning rotation of partners within one engagement was exceeded." EY reported the matter via email. The accounting firm stated that it would continue to cooperate fully with the FRC during the investigation. EY informed Shell in July that the U.S. Audit Opinions for 2023-2024 could not be relied upon. A different partner was assigned to reissue these opinions. It also flagged UK partner rotation breaches, even though no amended filings?were required in the UK. The FRC's Conduct Committee made the decision on October 21 to open the investigation, and the probe will then be conducted by its enforcement division. Shell did not respond immediately to a comment request. (Reporting by Yamini Kalia and Prerna Bedi in Bengaluru. Mark Potter and Mrigank Dhaniwala edited the article.
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Wall Street Journal, December 15,
These are the most popular stories from the Wall Street Journal. ? The accuracy of these stories has not been verified by the site. - iRobot filed for bankruptcy on Sunday. It said that after it was bought by iPicea Robotics (its primary manufacturer), the company would become private. SolGold stated that it would "like to recommend" an offer from Jiangxi Copper, its largest shareholder. The improved offer values the gold-and-copper miner at approximately?842million pounds ($1.12billion), amid a global race for copper assets. SpaceX is starting to select Wall Street banks to provide advice on its initial public offer. The 78-year old mainstay of the city’s battered democracy movement could be forced to spend his entire life in prison by a Hong Kong court. Sanofi said that the U.S. regulatory approval of its experimental tolebrutinib treatment for multiple sclerosis will 'be delayed once again.' It also stated that a late stage trial for another form of disease did not achieve its primary goal.
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As markets watch US jobs data, gold rises due to a softer dollar and yields
On Monday, gold held near a seven-week high due to a weaker dollar and lower U.S. Yields in advance of important jobs data. Silver rose but fell short of Friday's record. Spot gold increased 1%, to $4344.40 per ounce at 0656 GMT. Bullion reached its highest level since October 21 last Friday. U.S. Gold Futures rose 1.1% to $4.377.40 per ounce. The dollar was hovering?near the two-month low reached last week. This made bullion attractive to overseas buyers. Meanwhile, benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yields dipped. Kelvin Wong, senior market analyst at OANDA, said that "gold is likely to continue being well-bid into U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls" as evidence of a?labour shortage would cap front-end yields and keep the dollar weak. This will support a push towards $4,380-4,440 following a strong rebound from a?$4,243 support zone." The markets are still focused on the Fed's outlook for policy after the U.S. central banks delivered a 25 basis-point rate reduction last week, in a split decision. They also signaled a possible pause because inflation is sticky and labour market outlooks are uncertain. Two Fed officials dissented, saying inflation was too high to justify a more lenient policy. Investors currently expect two rate cuts in the next year, and this week's U.S. employment report is seen as an important test. Gold and other non-yielding investments benefit from a low interest rate environment. ANZ stated in a report that India's decision to allow pension funds the opportunity to invest in ETFs for gold and silver could boost institutional participation. We believe that such regulations can increase investor confidence and improve sentiment, resulting in higher allocations of assets across portfolios. Spot silver increased 2% to $63.23 an ounce. The price of silver reached a record high on Friday at $64.65. However, it closed sharply lower. Despite a rally that has risen more than 115% this year, ANZ warned of downside risks. They cited the possibility of a U.S. exemption from tariffs that could ease supply and stretched valuations compared to gold, which may lead to fund rotation. Palladium prices rose 2.9%, to $1.531.28, while spot platinum fell 0.4%, to $1.738.23 per ounce.
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Saudi Arabia's annual rate of inflation slowed to 1.9% in Novembre
According to government data released on Monday, the annual inflation rate in Saudi Arabia fell to 1.9% from 2.2% in October. The consumer price index, which measures inflation, has been hovering around 2.1%-2.3% for the majority of this year. This is due to rising house prices. According to the General Authority for Statistics in Saudi Arabia, housing rental prices rose 5.4% and passenger transport prices increased by 6.4%. Saudi Arabia's Real Estate Authority in September outlined new rules to combat'rental increases'. These included a suspension of annual rent increases for both residential and commercial properties within the urban boundaries of Riyadh. The government passed a law allowing foreigners to purchase property more easily. As part of its Vision 2030 program, the kingdom is building several new massive developments around Riyadh to boost tourism and the private sectors in an effort to diversify their economy away from oil. The CPI in November increased by 0.1% on a monthly basis. Reporting by Utkarsh Setti in Dubai, Editing by Neil Fullick
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Key data: Stocks fall ahead of central bank decision
Asian stocks fell on Monday as investors reined back risk-taking ahead of a week that is packed with "important central bank decisions" and economic data. MSCI's broadest Asia-Pacific index outside Japan fell 1.2%. This was led by a fall of?of?as much?as 2.7% in South Korean stocks, which is one of the best-performing markets worldwide this year. Marc Velan is the head of investments for Lucerne Asset Management, a Singapore-based asset management firm. He said that "the risk-off tone in Asia appears to be more a spillover effect from last Friday's sale in U.S. tech and momentum than a regional catalyst." The unwinding of the AI-capex trade has weighed down on global risk appetite. In thin year-end liquid, these moves tend to spread quickly across regions. S&P 500 futures rose 0.3% while the yield of the 10-year Treasury bond in the U.S. fell 2.2 basis points to 4.1743%. Investors were awaiting a series of economic data releases as well as central bank decisions. CHINA PROPERTY WORRIES The U.S. Dollar fell 0.1% against the Chinese Yuan trading offshore to 7.0486, which is its highest level in over a year. Factory output and retail sales numbers for November showed a further slowdown. Official data released on Monday showed that the price of new homes continued to decline in November. This indicates that despite government promises to stabilize the housing sector, there is still no sign of a recovery. China Vanke announced that it would convene another bondholder meeting after the state-backed developer failed to get bondholder approval for an extension of a bond payment due on Monday. This increased the risk of default, and renewed concerns about the property crisis-hit sector. Jeff Zhang, Morningstar's equity analyst, said: "If Vanke defaults in the end, the ramifications for the China property sector could be significant." Investors are more likely to be concerned with the government's attitude toward bailouts, even for'safe' names. CENTRAL BANK LOOM DECISIONS Bank of England could make a similar cut of 3.75%. Along with Sweden's Riksbank, and Norway's Norges Bank, the European Central Bank will likely keep rates at current levels. Investors can also catch up with economic data delayed by the U.S. shutdown. This includes the November jobs report and the monthly consumer price index. Ben Bennett, Hong Kong's head of investment strategy Asia for L&G Asset Management said that the data this week should be taken with a grain of salt due to the difficulties in collecting data and the direct impact of the shutdown on the economy. We'll need to wait until the year 2026 before we can get a better idea of how the U.S. economy is doing. economy." Stocks in Japan gained support on Monday after the BOJ released its closely watched "tankan", or business survey, which showed that the big manufacturers' sentiment had reached a four-year high. This indicated the economy could be coping with the impact of higher U.S. Tariffs. Topix rose 0.2% last week, and the yen gained 0.6% against the dollar to reach 154.955, its highest level in over a week. The kiwi currency fell?0.4%, to $0.5781, after New Zealand's central bank governor Anna Breman warned that financial market conditions have tightened over the past few weeks. This has led investors to reduce their expectations of rate hikes for next year. Brent crude rose 0.5% to $61.44 on supply concerns from the U.S. - Venezuela tensions, among other factors. Imperial Oil announced on Sunday that it had issued an alert for a fire at its?120,000 barrels per day refinery in Ontario, Canada. Russia has said that a Ukrainian drone did not damage an oil refinery located in Afipsky. Steve Witkoff, the U.S. ambassador to Berlin said that "a lot of progress has been made" on the geopolitical side in the peace talks in Berlin for the end of the Ukraine conflict. Gold has extended its recent rally for a fifth consecutive day, as it nears a record-high of $4381.21. Last week, spot bullion prices rose 1.0% to $4,344.89. The cryptocurrency markets ended a three-day losing run, with bitcoin ending the day up 1.3% to $89,598.96, and ether= increasing 1.5% to 3,127.57. (Reporting and editing by Shri Navaratnam, Sam Holmes and Gregor Stuart Hunter)
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India's palm oil imports in November are up as prices fall.
India's palm-oil imports increased in November, as refiners took advantage lower prices to increase purchases of the tropical oil, while reducing imports soyoil and sunflower oil. India's increased palm oil imports could be a boon to top producers Indonesia, Malaysia, and the United States, as they would help them reduce their stocks and boost benchmark Malaysian palm futures. Solvent Extractors' Association of India reported that palm oil imports rose 5% in November compared to October, reaching 632,341 metric tonnes. Imports of sunflower oil fell by 45% and soyoil imports dropped more than 18%, to a 2-year low. India imported 5,000 tonnes of canola oil in the same month from the United Arab Emirates. The SEA reported that the lower imports in November of sunflower and soyoil reduced India's total edible oil imports by 13.3% compared to a month before, reaching a low of 1,15 million tons. In November, India imported a record number of tonnes of soyoil, totaling 69,919, from China. A glut in supply led to discounts offered by Chinese crushers compared with South American suppliers. India imports mainly palm oil from Indonesia and Malaysia, as well as soyoil, sunflower oil, and other oils from Argentina, Brazil and Ukraine. A Mumbai-based trader with a global trading house said that palm oil was now $100 cheaper per tonne than soyoil. It is also nearly $200 cheaper for sunflower oil. This has prompted Indian buyers to increase their palm oil purchases in December and January. He said that some buyers had cancelled their soyoil contracts for the months of December and January, and were replacing them with palm oil. Reporting by Rajendra Jadhav in Bengaluru and Sherin Liz Varghese; editing by Tom Hogue
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Nigeria's richest Dangote intensifies oil battle with regulator and seeks corruption investigation
Aliko Dangote, Nigeria's richest person, escalated his battle with regulators Sunday. He accused them of allowing cheap fuel imports that threaten local refineries. Dangote's refinery is meant to change that. Nigeria, Africa's largest oil producer, relies heavily on imports. Dangote said that if imports are not checked, they could threaten energy security, jobs and investment. Speaking at his 650,000-barrel-per-day oil refinery in Lagos, Dangote said imports were being used "to checkmate domestic potential", creating jobs abroad while Nigeria struggles to industrialise. He told reporters that "you don't use imported goods to curb domestic potential." Dangote has called for an investigation into Farouk Ahmad, the head of Nigerian Midstream Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority. He cited concerns about his management of the industry and allegations that private expenditures exceeded legitimate earnings. Ahmed didn't immediately respond to our request for comment. However, he previously stated that Dangote refinery wanted a monopoly on the sale of petroleum products, but its output could not meet local demands. The regulator asked the president to abandon plans to ban the importation of refined petroleum products last?month because the local production cannot meet the demand of 55 millions litres per day. Dangote contests this and says that the regulator is distorting refinery capacity by reporting offtake stats instead of true production data. The refinery was designed to reduce Nigeria's dependence on imported fuels and save billions of dollars in foreign currency. However, it says that it has not been able to obtain all the crude it requires because the regulator "has failed to implement" a rule which guarantees crude supply to the local refiners prior to exports. Dangote said the refinery imports about 100 million barrels per year of crude oil -- a number that is expected to double following the expansion of the'refinery and the limited domestic supply. Dangote has vowed to continue expansion plans and protect his investment, saying it is "too large to fail". He also reiterated plans to list his company on the local market and pay out dividends in U.S. Dollars so that "every Nigerian could own a part of the economy." Nigeria, Africa's largest oil producer, is dependent on imported fuel due to the state refineries that have been abandoned. Reporting by Isaac Anyaogu, Editing by Michael Perry
Gold nears 3-week high on rate-cut bets and end of US shutdown
Gold reached a three-week high Tuesday. This was helped by the growing expectation of another interest rate reduction in December from the U.S. Federal Reserve and signs that the U.S. Government shutdown will be over.
Gold spot was up 0.7% to $4,142.83 an ounce at 0314 GMT. This is its highest level since October 24.
U.S. Gold Futures for December Delivery rose by 0.7% to $4148.50 an ounce.
Late on Monday, the U.S. Senate approved a deal to restore federal funding in the United States and end this longest-running shutdown.
The federal government shutdown has delayed the release of key economic indicators, such as the U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls Report. The end of the government shutdown in the next few days will provide more clarity about the U.S. economy and the Fed interest rate path.
Ilya Spirak, global macro head at Tastylive said that "the idea that the U.S. government shutdown was ending" was more viewed as a lifting of an uncertainty level that allowed markets to engage with what had been one of the most important speculative stories this year.
The bias for the remainder of the year still favors the upside. The path of least resistence for gold at this point is back to the October high and we may be heading higher after that.
Data released last week showed that the U.S. economy lost jobs in October, mainly due to losses in the retail and government sectors.
A survey released on Friday showed that the U.S. consumer's sentiment fell to its lowest level in 3-1/2 years at the beginning of November, amid concerns about the economic impact from the U.S. shutdown which was the longest ever.
According to CME Group’s FedWatch tool, traders are pricing in an approximately 64% chance that the U.S. Central Bank will reduce rates by 25 basis point next month.
Fed Governor Stephen Miran stated on Monday that a rate cut of 50 basis points would be appropriate in December. He noted that the inflation rate was falling, while the unemployment rate was rising.
Gold that does not yield tends to perform well when interest rates are low and economic uncertainty is present.
The price of spot silver rose by 0.5%, to $50.80 an ounce. Platinum increased 0.3%, to $1.581.60 and palladium gained 1.2%, to $1.431.45. (Reporting and editing by Rashmi aich in Bengaluru, Brijesh patel from Bengaluru)
(source: Reuters)