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Gold nears all-time high as markets eye Fed rate reduction

Gold prices increased on Friday and remained close to the record highs set earlier in the week. Signs of a weakening U.S. labour market reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve would deliver its first rate reduction of the year, next week.

As of 9:19 am EDT (1319 GMT), spot gold was up by 0.4% to $3,649.54 an ounce. This is still close to the all-time high set on Tuesday of $3,673.95. This week, the metal is up 1.8% and on track for a fourth straight weekly gain.

U.S. Gold Futures for December Delivery were up 0.4% to $3,688.10.

Daniel Pavilonis is a senior market analyst at RJO Futures. He said that metals are rising because of the longer-term risk of inflation.

The recent data that showed a surge in jobless claims last week, while consumer prices rose at their fastest rate in seven months, in August, have shifted expectations in the direction of higher rates. Investors are prioritizing signs that the labor market is weaker than inflation when determining rate expectations.

Fed fund futures fully reflect a 25 basis-point cut during the Fed's meeting on September 17, though expectations of a 50-bps increase have eased.

UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo said: "Given the tailwinds, and after the recent increase in ETF flows (exchange-traded funds), we expect gold to reach $3,900/oz mid next year."

Investors value the yellow metal as a hedge to inflation and uncertainty. It has increased 39% this year.

China's central banks has asked the public for feedback on its plans to streamline gold import and export regulations by streamlining licensing.

Other metals rose as well. Spot silver rose by 1.3%, to $42.08 an ounce. This is a record high for the 14 years. Platinum was up 1.4%, to $1,396.71, and palladium jumped 2.2%, to $1,214.70. All three metals are set to gain weekly. (Reporting and editing by Krishna Chandra Eluri, Sherin Elizabeth Varighese and Sarah Qureshi in Bengaluru).

(source: Reuters)