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Copper boosted by weaker dollar and focus on tariff tensions

The dollar eased on Tuesday, but the impact of a slowdown in global demand and growth due to U.S. tariffs on imports and the trade war between China & the United States weighed on sentiment.

At 1053 GMT, the benchmark copper price on London Metal Exchange was up by 0.7% to $9,436 per metric tonne.

Tom Price, Panmure Liberum's analyst, said: "We are neutral for now and bearish in the second half of the calendar year due to seasonality and policy changes." Tariffs will hurt this year's trade once they have a full impact.

The focus is now on whether the trade tensions will reduce after China announced last week that it was evaluating a proposal to hold discussions over U.S. president Donald Trump's tariffs of 145%.

China's Commerce Ministry stated that Beijing was open to discussions, signaling a possible de-escalation of the trade war. China is the largest consumer of industrial metals, such as copper. Copper is used in power and construction industries.

Copper stocks monitored by the Shanghai Futures Exchange, or ShFE, in warehouses was a positive for traders. Around 89,000 tonnes have fallen nearly 70% from late February, and are now at their lowest level since mid-January.

Traders said that the expectations of a copper market surplus are worrying. According to a survey released last week, the copper market will have a surplus of over 60,000 tons in this year. This will be followed by a deficit in 2026.

Edward Meir of Marex, the consultant, said that he believes these estimates will come down in time, particularly if supply issues continue. He was referring to the shortages in concentrates used to produce copper metal.

Technically, copper has strong support around $9,310 to $9,315 at the convergence of the 100-day and 200-day moving averges. Around $9,475, or the 50-day average, is where resistance on the upside lies.

The lower dollar price of metals, which is cheaper for holders other currencies, would increase demand.

Aluminium dropped 0.5%, to $2.419 per ton. Zinc increased by 0.7%, to $2.626, while lead rose 0.3%, to $1.939; tin rose 3.5%, to $31,775; and nickel increased 0.8%, to $15.610 per ton. Reporting by Pratima Deai. Mark Potter edited the article.

(source: Reuters)