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Copper under pressure from US tariff threats, but China data supports

The threat of tariffs against U.S. imports put pressure on copper prices on Monday, but a stronger industrial sector in China raised the hopes of a stronger demand.

By 1025 GMT, the benchmark copper price on London Metal Exchange was up by 0.1% to $9,368 per metric tonne.

U.S. president Donald Trump plans to impose another 10% tariff on Chinese products on Tuesday. This will effectively double the duties imposed on 4 February.

China is the largest consumer of base metals in the world and heavily relies on them for its manufacturing sector.

One copper trader stated that "China's PMIs indicate demand may recover but the tariff clouds are hanging over everything."

China's official PMI (Purchasing Managers Index) expanded in February, after contracting in January. This was due to a strong rise in production. However, the index of new export orders contracted.

Britannia Global Markets stated in a report that traders are looking forward to China's National People's Congress and potential economic support measures. This is adding more optimism.

China's National People's Congress, scheduled for 5 March, is expected to announce additional stimulus given the looming trade war and concerns about slow demand.

The U.S. Manufacturing Activity Data is also the focus of attention, with expectations for expansion in February but at a slower pace than January.

A large number of cash contracts and warrants on the LME aluminium market have fueled fears about a tight supply. This has created a premium or "backwardation" for contracts that are near the maturity curve.

Cash aluminium contracts have been trading at a premium since the beginning of February compared to the three-month contract Comparing a contango or discount since April of last year.

A weaker dollar is generally supportive of industrial metals priced in dollars.

Aluminium rose 0.3% to $2,614 per ton. Zinc gained 1.5%, lead fell 0.1% to $1.991 and tin remained unchanged at $31,330. Nickel jumped 1.8%, to $15,715.

(source: Reuters)