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Copper prices fall on Chinese inventories and tariff threats

Copper prices fall on Chinese inventories and tariff threats

Copper prices fell on Monday, as traders focused their attention on U.S. president Donald Trump's threats to impose tariffs and the changing demand signals coming from China, the top copper consumer.

By 1236 GMT, the benchmark copper price on London Metal Exchange (LME), was down by 0.5% to $9,507 per metric tonne. It was up 8% from the beginning of the month, on the hope of a stronger demand in China following the Lunar New Year holidays.

Trump plans to impose tariffs to encourage producers to manufacture aluminum and copper in the United States.

"Tariffs are a drag on growth and demand," said Bank of America's Michael Widmer. "The last time Trump imposed tariffs, in 2018, many investors concluded that shorting metals was an attractive trade."

The Shanghai Futures Exchange (ShFE), which monitors copper stocks, has also been monitoring the stockpiles of this metal in warehouses. The total amount of coal produced in the first half of this year has risen to over 260,000 tonnes, up from about 83,000 tons.

Shanghai's bond warehouses Since mid-January, the copper inventory has more than doubled.

The International Copper Study Group's (ICSG) data also weighed on the copper market. It showed that the market had a surplus of 301,000 tons last year, compared to a shortfall of 52,000 tons in 2023.

Copper stocks in LME approved warehouses are up 12% since February 12 to 267,225 tonnes.

The LME's cancellations (metal earmarked for shipment) of 84,400 tonnes suggest that a large amount of copper is likely to be shipped out in the coming days and even weeks.

Many traders expect that much of the copper will end up in COMEX storage facilities in the United States. Prices have surged compared to the LME due to fears over tariffs on imports of copper.

Other metals saw a 1.2% decline in aluminium at $2655 per ton. Zinc fell by 1.8% to 2,876, while lead dropped 0.2% to $2,000, and tin declined 0.3% to $33,575; nickel rose 0.2% to $15,550.

(source: Reuters)