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Why does Trump want Ukraine's rare Earths?

Volodymyr Zelenskiy, the President of Ukraine has

He is willing to make a deal with U.S. president Donald Trump, which includes U.S. participation in the development of Ukraine's vast deposits of rare Earths and other vital minerals.

Trump stated on February 3, that he wants Ukraine to provide the U.S. rare earths as a return for Kyiv financially supporting its war effort against Russia.

Zelenskiy presented the idea to Kyiv’s allies including Trump in his "victory Plan" strategy last autumn.

The plan includes, among other things: reaching agreements with partners abroad to allow joint access to Ukraine’s strategic valuable resources.

It wasn't immediately clear if Trump meant all critical minerals, or just rare earths. He said that the United States wanted to make a deal with Ukraine in exchange for "their rare Earths and other stuff".

Rare earths is a grouping of 17 metals, used in the production of magnets for electric cars, cell phones and missile systems. There is no substitute.

China is the largest producer in the world of rare earths, as well as many other essential minerals.

The U.S. Geological Survey has identified 50 minerals as critical, including nickel, lithium, rare earths and several types.

According to data from the Economy Ministry, Ukraine has 22 of the 34 critical minerals that the European Union has identified. These include industrial and construction materials as well as ferroalloys, precious and nonferrous metals and rare earth elements. Ukraine has large coal reserves, but most are under Russian control in occupied territory.

The following is a brief overview of the natural resources of Ukraine that may be of interest to other partners and the U.S.

What are the rare earths of Ukraine and what do they serve?

Ukraine is known as the breadbasket of Europe. It also has vast mineral resources.

These are vital for certain industries, such as aerospace, defence, high-tech appliances and green energy.

According to the Institute of Geology of Ukraine, it has rare earth elements like lanthanum, cerium and neodymium. These are used for wind turbines, electric vehicles and batteries. Erbium and yttrium can be used to make lasers, nuclear power and other applications. EU-funded research indicates that Ukraine also has scandium deposits. The data is classified.

In an interview given on Friday, Zelenskiy stated that Russia had taken over about half of Ukraine’s rare earth deposits.

According to mining analysts and economists, Ukraine does not have any commercially operational rare earth mines.

Zelenskiy said that Ukraine has the largest titanium and uranium reserves in Europe.

According to the World Economic Forum (WEF), Ukraine is also one of the key suppliers of lithium, beryllium and manganese.

State Geological Service of Ukraine said that Ukraine has one Europe's largest lithium reserves estimated at 500,000 tons. Lithium is vital for batteries, ceramics and glass. The majority of the titanium reserves in Ukraine are located in northern and central Ukraine. Lithium is found in the east, centre and southeast.

The graphite reserves in Ukraine, which are used to make electric vehicles batteries and nuclear power reactors, account for 20% of the global resource. Deposits are located in the west and centre.

Which Ukrainian resources are under Kyiv's control?

The war in Ukraine has left a trail of destruction and Russia controls about a fifth.

The majority of Ukraine's coal reserves, which fueled its steel industry prior to the war, is concentrated in the eastern part and has been lost.

According to We Build Ukraine, and the National Institute of Strategic Studies in Ukraine, data from the first half of the year 2024 shows that about 40% of Ukraine's metallic resources are under Russian occupation. The think-tanks did not provide a detailed breakdown.

Since then, Russian troops continue to make steady progress in eastern Donetsk. In January, Ukraine shut down its sole coking coal mine near the city of Pokrovsk that Moscow is trying to seize.

Russia has taken over at least two Ukrainian deposits of lithium during the war. One in Donetsk, and the other in Zaporizhzhia in the southeast. Kyiv controls the lithium deposits of central Kyrovohrad.

What are the opportunities and challenges for mining in Ukraine?

Oleksiy Solovev, the first deputy minister of economy, stated in January that the Government was working with Western allies, including the United States and Britain, France, and Italy, on projects related exploitation critical materials. The government estimates that the total investment potential in this sector will be around $12-15 billion between 2033 and 2033.

The State Geological Service stated that the government is preparing 100 sites for joint licensing and development but did not provide any further details.

Investors have highlighted a number barriers to investment, despite the fact that Ukraine has an extremely qualified and inexpensive workforce and a developed infrastructure. These include complex and inefficient regulatory processes, as well as difficulties obtaining geological data or land plots.

They said that such projects would require years of development and a large upfront investment. (Reporting and editing by Louise Heavens, Olena Hartmash)

(source: Reuters)