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Brent paper and physical prices continue to fall as Hormuz flow increases, traders report

The Crude Oil differentials in Europe that help set the Brent benchmark for the world have dropped further this week, as increased flows via the Strait of Hormuz has eased fears about Middle East supply disruptions.

JD Vance, the Vice president of the United States, said that on Thursday 12.5 million barrels flowed through strait since the U.S. signed an interim agreement with Iran to end their conflict. Since the beginning of the fighting in late February, the strait has been closed to oil flow. It used to carry up 20 million barrels a day before.

Six grades are used to determine the price of dated Brent - a benchmark for physical crude oil that is used globally in the pricing of cargoes. Five come from the North Sea, and one from the United States, WTI Midland.

North?Sea Forties crude LSEG data shows that one of six grades was offered on Thursday at a 35-cent premium?to dated Brent, the lowest premium since early May, and a sharp drop from a record of $21.50 a barrel reached in April.

LSEG data revealed that the outright price for dated Brent oil fell to $77.27, from $140 in April 7. It was at its highest level since 2008 when oil reached its peak.

A trader commented that the "trap door" had opened due to the drop in crude oil prices.

BET ON SURPLUS RETURNING DRIVES PRICE DROP, ANALYST SAYS

The drop in Brent futures and other Brent markets this week reflects the view that a rising supply of oil will push the Brent market into surplus. This is according to Tamas Varga an analyst with the oil broker PVM.

The International Energy Agency stated this week that the market would move into a significant excess in 2027, after recovering from?the closure of the strait.

Brent complex includes Brent forwards, Brent futures, dated Brent and Brent swaps. These have all dropped in price this week.

The first week of short-term Brent Swaps, also known as "contracts for Differences" The August Brent forward fell to a discount of 25 cents late Thursday. This is the lowest discount since early March, and it's down from the record premium in April, which was $29.40. The swaps curve has also entered a discount for the next five weeks. Alex Lawler is the reporter. Mark Potter (Editing by Alex Lawler)

(source: Reuters)