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Angola looks to local markets after debt costs consume nearly half of the 2026 budget
Angola will spend nearly half of its budget for 2026 on debt repayments, highlighting how the rising costs of servicing are forcing governments in Africa to depend more on their domestic markets to fund themselves. The draft budget of the finance ministry, released on Friday, showed that 32.9%, or 10.9 trillion Kwanzas ($11.95 Billion), would be used to repay loans, and 13%, which is 4.3 trillion Kwanzas (4.3 trillion dollars) for interest payments. The total debt service will consume about 45.9%. Angola expects to borrow 7.1 trillion kwanzas in 2026 from domestic sources, compared to just 1.7 trillion from external creditors. This reflects a trend of frontier markets relying on domestic funding as foreign currency access is more expensive and risky. The budget deficit in Luanda is estimated to be 2.8% of the gross domestic product (GDP), down from 3.3% in 2025. The second-largest crude oil producer in Sub-Saharan Africa, which is trying to control costs because of volatile oil prices by cutting total expenditures, has announced that it will cut its total spending by 4,7%, to 33 trillion kwanzas. The draft budget is based on a crude price of $61 a barrel. Brent crude futures traded at around $65 last Friday. The economic growth rate is projected to increase to 4,2% by 2026 from just 3% in the year 2025. The government has also expressed concern over the rapid increase in tax waivers and incentives, referred to as "fiscal exemptions", which grew from 184 billion Kwanzas (Kwanzas) in 2018 up to 3 trillion Kwanzas by 2024. The government is concerned about the impact of these exemptions, which are mainly granted to non-oil sector, on Angola's revenue and fiscal stability.
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Amazon's boost to stocks leads to a rise in the dollar and stocks.
The dollar rose after some Federal Reserve officials made hawkish remarks. Global stocks are on track for their third consecutive week of gains, and seventh consecutive month. This was boosted by the strong gains seen in Amazon's megacap after its quarterly results. Amazon surged by 9.6% following the announcement that cloud revenue grew at the fastest rate in almost three years. This allowed the company to forecast sales for the quarter above expectations. Apple shares fell 0.4%, to $271.37. They pared gains made after hitting an intraday high of $277.32, after reporting quarterly earnings. Apple also forecast holiday-quarter iPhone and overall revenue, which exceeded Wall Street expectations, thanks to strong demand from its iPhone 17 models. The results are the culmination of a week of earnings from megacap companies that were part of the Magnificent 7 group of stocks. They showed the huge infrastructure being built around artificial intelligence is not slowing down. Wall Street saw the Dow Jones Industrial Average rise by 0.09% to 47,562.87. The S&P 500 rose 17.86 points or 0.26% to 6,840.20, and the Nasdaq Composite gained 143.81 or 0.61% to 23,724.96. The stock market closed off its previous highs as several Fed officials echoed the comments made by Chair Jerome Powell in earlier this week. Powell had denied expectations that the central bank will cut rates during its December meeting after a 25 basis-point cut on Wednesday. The theme is similar to yesterday's. The earnings are a bit better than expected, but the Fed's hawkish comments have tempered them. James Ragan is Co-CIO at D.A. Davidson. Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta president Raphael Bostic has said that a rate cut in December is not a certainty, while Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland president Beth Hammack stated she was open-minded to changing the interest rate targets used by the Fed for implementing monetary policy. According to CME's FedWatch Tool, the markets are pricing in a probability of 65% for a rate cut by 25 basis points at the December meeting. This is down from 92% just a week earlier. The Nasdaq is on course for its seventh consecutive monthly gain, the longest streak since Jan 2018. The MSCI index of global stocks rose 0.81 points, or 0.08% to 1,005.99. This is the longest streak since August 2021. The pan-European STOXX 600 index closed down by 0.51% following a mixed quarter of earnings and a benign inflation report for the euro zone that confirmed the European Central Bank’s belief that price pressures are contained. However, it notched up its fourth consecutive month of gains. In terms of currencies, previous comments by Fed officials supported the greenback. Kansas City Fed President Jeffrey Schmid dissented from cutting interest rates in this week, citing concerns that high inflation would continue and signs of inflation spreading throughout the economy. Dallas Federal Reserve President Lorie Log said that the Fed shouldn't have cut rates this week, and they shouldn't do it again in December. The dollar index (which measures the greenback versus a basket currencies) rose by 0.31%, to 99.78. Meanwhile, the euro fell 0.31%, to $1.1529. The dollar index is on track for a second consecutive weekly gain, and a month-to-month increase of around 2%. The Japanese yen rose 0.02% against the dollar to 154.10. Satsuki Katayama, the Japanese Finance Minister, said that the government was monitoring the foreign exchange market with an urgent sense of urgency since the yen dropped to around 154 dollars. The data revealed that core inflation in Japan’s capital city accelerated in October, and remained above the central banks 2% target. This kept market expectations of a Bank of Japan rate hike intact. The Bank of Japan kept interest rates unchanged this week despite predictions of a rate hike by many economists. The yield of benchmark U.S. 10 year notes increased by 0.2 basis points, to 4,095%, while the yield of the 2-year note, which moves typically in line with Fed rate expectations, fell 1.6 basis to 3,598%. The 10-year rate was up almost 10 basis points in the past week. This was its largest increase since the week ending April 11, while the 2-year rate was up over 11 basis points, the biggest gain since the first weeks of July. U.S. crude oil settled up by 0.68% at $60.98 per barrel. Brent crude ended the day up 0.11% to $65.07 a barrel.
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Amazon stocks rise, dollar gains after Fed remarks
The dollar rose after some Federal Reserve officials made hawkish remarks. Global stocks are on track for their third consecutive week of gains, and seventh consecutive month. Earnings from Apple and Amazon megacaps eased concerns about high valuations. Amazon soared by about 11% following the announcement that cloud revenue grew at the fastest rate in almost three years. This allowed the company to forecast quarter sales above expectations. Apple shares climbed to $271.76 after paring gains from an intraday high of $277.32. The company reported quarterly earnings, forecast holiday-quarter iPhone and overall revenue which exceeded Wall Street expectations due to strong demand for iPhone 17 models. The results are the culmination of a week of earnings from several megacap firms, including the Magnificent Seven Group of Stocks, which made it clear that the massive infrastructure around artificial intelligence is not slowing down. Wall Street saw the Dow Jones Industrial Average rise 24.36, or 0.5%, to 47.548.73. The S&P 500 rose 20.36, or 0.3%, to 6,842.70, and the Nasdaq Composite advanced 163.40, or 1.6%, to 23,744.50. The stock market was well below its previous highs as several Fed officials echoed the comments made by Chair Jerome Powell in earlier this week. Powell had denied expectations that the central bank will cut rates during its December meeting after a 25 basis-point cut on Wednesday. The market will have to repricing because it also priced in another two rate cuts, said Ken Polcari of Slatestone Wealth, Jupiter, Florida. The market will have to adjust because you may not get the product. This is only going to put pressure on price. Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta president Raphael Bostic has said that a rate cut in December is not a certainty, while Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland president Beth Hammack is open to changing the interest rate targets used by the Fed for implementing monetary policy. According to CME's FedWatch Tool, the markets are pricing in only a 63% probability of a 25 basis-point cut at the December meeting. This is down from 92% just a week earlier. The Nasdaq is on course for its seventh consecutive monthly gain, the longest streak since Jan 2018. The MSCI index of global stocks rose 0.77 points, or 0.08% to 1,005.95. This is the longest streak since August 2021. The pan-European STOXX 600 index closed down by 0.51% following a mixed quarter of earnings and a benign inflation report for the euro zone that confirmed that price pressures are contained. However, it notched up its fourth consecutive month of gains. Earlier comments by Fed officials in support of the dollar were also made. Kansas City Fed President Jeffrey Schmid dissented from cutting interest rates in this week, citing concerns that high inflation would continue and that signs of inflation spreading throughout the economy might raise doubts as to the central bank's commitment towards its 2% target. Dallas Federal Reserve President Lorie Log said that the Fed shouldn't have cut rates this week, and they shouldn't do it again in December. The dollar index (which measures the greenback versus a basket currencies) rose by 0.34%, to 99.82. Meanwhile, the euro fell by 0.36%, to $1.1523. The dollar index is on track for a second consecutive weekly gain, and a month-to-month increase of around 2%. The Japanese yen rose 0.03% against the dollar to 154.08. Satsuki Katayama, the Japanese Finance Minister, said that the government was monitoring the foreign exchange market with an urgent sense of urgency since the yen dropped to around 154 dollars. The data revealed that core inflation in Japan’s capital city accelerated in October, and remained above the central banks 2% target. This kept market expectations of a Bank of Japan rate hike intact. The Bank of Japan kept interest rates unchanged this week despite predictions of a rate hike by many economists. The yield on the benchmark U.S. 10 year notes fell by 0.2 basis points to 4.091%, while the yield on the 2-year note, which is typically in line with the rate expectations of the Fed, dropped by 1.2 basis to 3.602%. U.S. crude climbed 0.53% to 60.89 per barrel. Brent was up to $65.04 a barrel, a 0.06% increase on the day.
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Energy Minister: Canada will accelerate vital mineral projects worth $4.6 Billion, Canada will accelerate critical mineral project
Tim Hodgson, Minister of Energy and Natural Resources, announced on Friday that Canada would accelerate mining projects totaling C$6.4 billion ($4.6billion) as part the Critical Minerals Production Alliance. The announcement was made at the conclusion of a two-day meeting of energy ministers and environmental ministers of the Group of Seven in Toronto. Hodgson stated that Canada, along with its G7 partners, will mobilize both public and private capital in order to accelerate the production of graphite and rare earth elements. Canada has announced that as part of its alliance with Australia's Rio Tinto and Quebec-based Nouveau Monde Graphite, it signed an offtake contract for graphite and scandium. Offtake agreements are deals where a buyer commits to purchasing a producer's future output at a set price. Hodgson stated in an interview earlier this week that Canada aimed to become a leader when it came to securing supply chain for its key allies to reduce dependence on China. Canada is a producer of several important metals, including nickel, cobalt, and copper. Except for Japan, all G7 countries are heavily or solely reliant on China to supply a wide range of materials, from rare earth magnets and battery metals.
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As tensions in Venezuela rise, US Senators are seeking answers about the 'anti-drug strategy'
The Republican and Democratic leaders in the U.S. Senate Armed Services Committee stated on Friday that they have asked the administration of President Donald Trump for information and legal reasoning about operations against drug cartels, but still have not received it. Since early September, U.S. airstrikes on suspected drug-trafficking boats in the Caribbean and Pacific have resulted in the deaths of dozens of people. This has heightened tensions between Washington DC and Caracas. In a rare instance of bipartisanship in relation to the strikes Republican Senator Roger Wicker, and Democrat Jack Reed stated that they did not receive information from the administration regarding its strategy to combat drug cartels. Reed of Rhode Island is the top Democrat in the committee that oversees the U.S. Military. Wicker of Mississippi is its chairman. Trump's administration has insisted that the vessels targeted were carrying drugs without providing any evidence, or explaining publicly the legal basis for their decision to attack them rather than arrest the people on board. Trump has also ordered a major buildup of military forces in the Caribbean. In a letter from September 23, Wicker and Reed stated that they had requested "Execute Orders", relating to anti-drug trafficking activities. In a letter dated October 6, they requested any written opinion on the legal basis of these operations. The legislators said that they did not receive the requested information before Friday. The Pentagon didn't immediately respond to an inquiry for comment. Trump on Friday denied he was considering strikes inside Venezuela, appearing to contradict his own comments from last week amid intensifying expectations that Washington may soon expand drug-trafficking-related operations. (Reporting and editing by Daniel Wallis; Patricia Zengerle)
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Sources: World Bank arbitral body rejects Barrick Expedition request in Mali case
Two people with knowledge of the situation said on Friday that Barrick Mining's request to expedite their international arbitration case against Mali was rejected. Since 2023, the West African government has been involved in difficult negotiations with Barrick over the implementation of new mining codes that increase taxes and give the government a larger share of the gold mines. Barrick initiated arbitration proceedings against the World Bank arbitration court (ICSID) in December 2024. The company wanted ICSID urgently to address several issues, including the continued detention of four staff members, the appointment a provisional administrator for the Loulo Gounkoto Complex after Barrick suspended operations due to the dispute, as well as the expiration in 2026 of the Loulo Mine's license. Two sources confirmed that the request was denied this week. ICSID announced on its website on Wednesday that it issued an order regarding "provisional Measures" without providing any further details. Barrick refused to comment. ICSID, as well as the Malian Mines Ministry, did not respond when asked for comments. Reporting by Portia Crowe and Divyarajagopal, Editing by Alexander Smith
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Gold drops 1% due to uncertainty over rate cuts, but is set for a third monthly increase
Gold prices fell 1% on the Friday due to uncertainty about another interest rate cut by the U.S. Federal Reserve this year. However, gold is still poised to gain for a third consecutive month. At 1:49 pm, spot gold dropped 0.6% to $4.001.74 an ounce. ET (1749 GMT), and was on course for a 3.7% increase this month. U.S. Gold Futures for December Delivery settled 0.5% lower, at $3.996.5 per ounce. Dollar index was near its three-month-high, making bullion priced in greenbacks more expensive for holders of other currencies. Beth Hammack, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, said that she was against the central bank lowering interest rates this coming week. She added that the Fed must maintain some restrictions to reduce inflation. Hammack is crushing gold, as she is the third Fed regional president to publicly oppose rate cuts given high inflation. Hammack is a FOMC member in 2026, and this shows that the market overestimated lower rates. Tai Wong said. CME FedWatch showed that while the Fed reduced interest rates on December 3, hawkish comments from Chairman Jerome Powell have led to markets pricing in a 63% probability of a rate cut for the month. This is down from 90% earlier in this week. When interest rates rise, gold loses its appeal as it is not a yielding asset. This metal is up 53% in the past year and reached a new record high on October 20, reaching $4,381.21. Morgan Stanley stated on Friday that it still sees gold as a positive investment due to interest rate reductions, ETF flows, central bank purchases, and the ongoing uncertainty in the economy. The bank predicts that gold will average $4,300 during the first half 2026. Donald Trump, the U.S. president, said that he would reduce tariffs against China from 57% to 47% in exchange for Beijing crackingdown on illegal fentanyl trafficking. He also promised to resume U.S. purchases of soybeans and keep rare earths exports flowing. Silver fell by 0.4%, to $48.73 an ounce. Platinum fell 1.7%, to $1.583.41, while palladium dropped 0.4%, to $1.440.02. (Reporting and editing by Deepababington, Vijay Kishore, and Alexander Smith in Bengaluru. Reporting by Noel John, Pablo Sinha, and Alexander Smith, Bengaluru)
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Dominance in contract negotiations for 47 gigawatts new data centers is up 17% year-on-year
Dominion Energy is the U.S. utility that powers "data center alley", in Northern Virginia. It said Tuesday that it was at some stage in contracting for data centers to have 47 gigawatts, which is more than Virginia needs. As artificial intelligence and cloud computing have grown, so has the number of data centers that consume a lot of power. This is driving up U.S. electricity demand to new records. Dominion, the largest electric utility in the world that serves data centers, has connected about 450 of them in Virginia's data center crossroads. Data center pipeline has grown by 17% in the last year. Dominion's CEO Robert Blue told investors on a conference call that "we continue to see robust data center demand." He was referring to earlier speculation about the Virginia data centre market being oversaturated. Dominion is investing $50 billion in its capital investment plan for 2025-2029 to expand its power infrastructure. Blue, who was on the call to discuss the company's third-quarter results, said: "We are developing resources across transmission, distribution and generation in order to meet this critical requirement on a timely manner." Dominion exceeded its quarterly profit expectations, thanks to increased demand for power in its Virginian and South Carolina segments. The adjusted operating earnings of Dominion's Virginia division rose by 2.5% in the third quarter to $679 millions, while those from South Carolina rose by over 14% to $109 million. Revenue for the quarter was $4.53 Billion, up from $3.94 Billion a year earlier. The company's interest costs rose by over 30%, to $527 millions in the third quarter. Dominion has narrowed the range for its operating earnings forecasts to $3.33 to $3.48 a share. This is down from the previous range of $3.28 to $3.52 a share. The company expects to achieve results at or above this midpoint if the weather conditions remain normal throughout the remainder of the year. According to LSEG, the utility's adjusted operating earnings for the three-month period ended September 30 were $1.06 per common share. This compares with an average analyst estimate of 95c per share. Sumit Saha reported from Bengaluru, Sahal Muhammed edited the story and David Gregorio provided translations.
Low volumes and profits declare soft Asia diesel market: Russell
Asia's. exports of diesel plunged to a multiyear low in February, and. while volumes might recuperate in March on rising shipments from. China and India, it's likely costs will come under even more. downward pressure.
An overall of 6.6 million metric lots of diesel were exported. from Asia in February, below January's 8.13 million and the. weakest month-to-month figure for a minimum of two years, according to information. put together by LSEG Oil Research.
Regardless of the drop in diesel supply, the earnings margin on the. essential transportation fuel remained weak, suggesting demand growth. stays lukewarm at finest.
The revenue of making a barrel of gasoil, the foundation. for middle distillate fuels such as diesel and jet kerosene, at. a normal Singapore refinery ended at $22.01 on. Monday, below the previous close of $22.17.
The margin has actually been trending weaker since August last year,. when it peaked at $36.13 a barrel on Aug. 28.
The profit on gasoil is likely to come under further. pressure this month as greater volumes of diesel are expected to. be delivered in Asia, especially from leading exporters China and. India.
China's exports of diesel were 713,290 tons in February,. below January's 986,200, according to LSEG, as refiners kept. more of the fuel for the domestic market to fulfill any increased. demand over the week-long Lunar New Year vacations, when millions. of individuals take a trip to see loved ones.
With key domestic sectors like construction and. making staying under pressure, it's most likely that China's. refiners will seek to lift exports in March and April,. particularly considering that the profit margin on diesel stays attractive. to them, assuming they are able to make the fuel from discounted. crude oils from Russia and Iran.
India's shipments of diesel were 2.01 million loads in. February, down from 2.02 million in January and some 29% listed below. the recent peak of 2.84 million in December.
It's expected that more Indian diesel will head to Asia as. cargoes are diverted from Europe, partly because of lower demand. Because of the, as the Northern Hemisphere winter ends and partly. attacks on shipping in the Red Sea by Yemen's Houthi rebels,. which has actually required vessels to take the longer, and more expensive, path. around the Cape of Great Hope.
This pattern can already be seen in the LSEG information, with. India's diesel exports to the West being evaluated at 665,960. heaps in February and 280,000 in January, a marked drop from. December's 1.28 million and 1.12 million in November.
India's exports to Asia were 700,440 heaps in February and. 716,420 in January, up from 371,320 in December and November's. 393,050.
If India continues to change diesel exports to Asia from. Europe, and China does export more as expected, the profit. margin on diesel is most likely to come under further pressure.
The primary factor that might ease some down pressure is. Asia's refinery upkeep season gets underway in March and. typically lasts through April and May.
GAS TIGHTNESS
Asia's other main refined item, fuel, is showing some. resemblances to diesel, insofar as February export volumes were. weak, with LSEG estimating shipments of 4.51 million heaps, down. from 5.64 million in January and December's 6.33 million.
The drop was mostly because exports from China dropped to a. 16-month low of 679,290 heaps and those from South Korea struck an. 8-month low of 813,350.
Unlike diesel, the lower supply of fuel saw the. revenue margin on making a barrel of the light car fuel from. Brent crude at a Singapore refinery << GL92-SIN-CRK > increase.
The margin, or crack spread, ended at $14.63 a barrel on. Monday, up from the previous close of $14.20, and it has actually remained in. an uptrend because the recent low of $2.11 a barrel on Oct. 18.
The fracture might remain supported in coming weeks as exports. from India, which vies with South Korea as the biggest gasoline. carrier in Asia on a net basis, are expected to remain. constrained amidst strong domestic demand.
The opinions expressed here are those of the author, a writer. .
(source: Reuters)