Latest News
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The Russian central bank claims that higher fuel prices in Russia have accelerated the consumer price increase
The Russian central bank published the minutes of its July 24 meeting on Wednesday. They stated that higher fuel prices in Russia accelerated the consumer price growth in June by 0.3% and by 0.2% in the first half. After Ukrainian drone attacks on oil refining facilities disrupted the supply, Russians experienced a 'fuel shortage across all 11 time zones of the country. This led to long queues, higher gas prices, and rationing in some regions. Authorities say that the?situation? has stabilised?in many areas. Central bank officials said that the total direct and indirect impact on inflation of the fuel price increase will not exceed 1.5% for the entire year. The benchmark interest rate was cut to 14% from 14.25% on July 24, despite an 'inflation spike linked to Ukrainian drone strikes on major oil refineries and ecommerce warehouses. The regulator stated that most?board members thought there was room for more rate cuts in this?year, although the scope had shrunk. Reporting by Elena Fabrichnaya, Writing by Anastasia Teterevleva, Editing by Andrew Osborn
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TAE, a developer of fusion energy, signs an agreement for future fuel supply options with helium-3
TAE Technologies, a developer of fusion energy, announced on Wednesday that it had signed a deal with Black Moon Energy, whose private company could 'provide helium-3 as a fuel option in the future for its planned power plant. Nuclear fusion is still a long way from commercial power plants. Developers are still trying to prove the performance of reactors, attract capital, and ensure long-term supply. TAE has raised over $1 billion from Alphabet, Google, and Chevron. It is planning to build its first fusion plant, Da Vinci. The power plant will be able to generate 50 megawatts of electricity. Site selection is planned for later this year and operations are expected to start in 2031. The company stated that future power plants will be designed to produce between 350 and 500 megawatts. According to the companies, this agreement also includes collaboration in commercial development. Michl Binderbauer, TAE's chief executive officer, said that the agreement could offer a "alternative fuel supply option" as the company transitions to commercial power generation. Trump Media announced in December that it would acquire TAE through an all-stock transaction valued at more than $6 billion. This deal would create a publicly-traded fusion-energy firm. In 'June, the companies had planned to spin-off Trump Media's legacy business in social media, including Truth Social, and other assets into a separate listed entity. The Foothill Ranch, California-based firm expects to file merger-related documents to U.S. regulators, and complete the transaction by the end of 2026. This is subject to regulatory approvals, and other closing conditions.
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India eyes Venezuela blocks operatorship; regains Russia's Sakhalin-1 stake
India's Oil and Natural Gas 'Corp (ONGC) hopes to sign agreements soon with Venezuela 'to operate two oil 'blocks under the South 'American nation's 'new petroleum 'law', its finance chief'said 'on Wednesday. ONGC Videsh (ONGC Videsh is the overseas investment arm of the state-run ONGC) holds a stake of 40% in the San Cristobal oil field, and along with other Indian firms, a stake 18% in the Carabobo-1 Project. "Now, we are able to work freely on Venezuelan projects." We had restricted our operations in Venezuela because of sanctions-related risks," said finance director Anupam agarwal on a?analyst's call following the company's earnings for the June quarter. He said Venezuela offered additional incentives under its 'petroleum laws' and that ONGC was experienced in 'operating fields of similar geology? in India. He said, "We are taking over operatorship of some projects from PDVSA, we believe we will soon see positive developments." RUSSIAN SKHALIN-1 ASSET Agarwal stated that ONGC regained their 20% stake in Russia's Sakhalin-1 project for oil and gas after a four-year gap. He said that the restored stake increased the group's revenue contribution to the project from 5 billion to 6 billion rupees. After the West imposed broad?sanctions against Moscow in response to its invasion of Ukraine, Sakhalin-1 was transferred by Russia to a new domestic operator. ONGC has agreed to pay?payments to the Sakhalin-1 Abandonment Fund?in roubles, using dividends that have been frozen in Russia. This will allow it to keep its 20% stake, as was reported last year.
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India eyes Venezuela blocks operatorship; regains Russia's Sakhalin-1 stake
India's Oil and Natural Gas 'Corp (ONGC) hopes to sign agreements soon with Venezuela 'to operate two oil 'blocks under the South 'American nation's 'new petroleum 'law', its finance chief'said 'on Wednesday. ONGC Videsh (ONGC Videsh is the overseas investment arm of the state-run ONGC) holds a stake of 40% in the San Cristobal oil field, and along with other Indian firms, an 18% share in the Carabobo-1 Project. "Now, we are able to work freely on Venezuelan projects." We had restricted our operations in Venezuela because of sanctions-related risks," said finance director Anupam agarwal on a?analyst's call following the company's earnings for the June quarter. He said Venezuela offered additional incentives under its 'petroleum laws' and that ONGC was experienced in?operating similar geology - fields?in India. He said, "We are taking over operatorship of some projects from PDVSA." We believe that we will soon see positive developments. The new agreements have been signed. RUSSIAN SKHALIN-1 ASSET Agarwal stated that ONGC regained their 20% stake in Russia's Sakhalin-1 project for oil and gas after a four-year gap. He said that the restored stake increased the group's revenue contribution to the project from 5 billion-6 billion rupees per quarter, up to a total of?10 billion Indian?rupees (about 105.13 millions dollars). After the West imposed broad?sanctions against Moscow in response to its invasion of Ukraine, Sakhalin-1 was transferred by Russia to a new domestic operator. ONGC has agreed to pay?payments to the Sakhalin-1 Abandonment Fund?in roubles, using dividends that have been frozen in Russia. This will allow it to keep its 20% stake, as was reported last year.
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Reliance's luxury unit brings Kim Kardashian SKIMS to India
Reliance Brands is the luxury retail arm of Reliance Retail. They have partnered with Kim Kardashian's SKIMS in order to bring this shapewear brand into India. This comes as global companies race to enter India's growing fashion and beauty market. The company, which is a subsidiary of Mukesh-Ambani's Reliance Industries, said that it would launch the SKIMS name across both physical and digital channels?starting in Delhi and Mumbai. Indian beauty retailers are racing to introduce international brands into the country as Gen Z and younger consumers gravitate towards global trends in beauty and brands backed by celebrities, thanks to social media. This year, Indian beauty and fashion retailer Nykaa teamed up both with Selena Gomez’s Rare Beauty as well as Shiseido Group’s NARS Cosmetics. SKIMS is a new partnership that will add to Reliance Retail’s growing portfolio of foreign brands, including Rihanna’s Fenty Beauty, Fenty Skin and designer brands like Stella McCartney and Valentino. The entry of SKIMS comes at a time when India's shapewear industry is booming, with a mix?of?homegrown direct to consumer brands, such as Underneat, competing for customers. SKIMS, founded in 2019, has recently opened'stores in London and Dubai after raising $225m in funding which valued the company at 5 billion dollars.
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Phillips 66 surpasses its quarterly expectations as the Iran War boosts US refining profits
Phillips 66'reported a nearly 4-fold increase in'second-quarter profits on Wednesday, crushing Wall Street expectations, as the Middle East conflic? squeezed global fuel suppli?es and sent U.S. refinery margins soaring. The Iran War has been a boon to U.S. refiners, as buyers from around the world have scrambled for alternative fuels amid fears of disruptions in Middle Eastern exports. Fuel exports from the United States have reached record levels, especially for diesel and other refined fuels. Phillips' refining segment reported a record jump in earnings adjusted to $3.09 Billion from $392 MILLION a year ago. The?realized profit margin? in the second quarter?more than?doubled from a year ago to $24.08 a barrel. The company's quarterly net profit was $3.85 billion. This is its highest quarterly profit since the 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine, which disrupted global supply chain and increased refinery earnings. In premarket trading, shares of the company increased 1.4% to $208,67. Phillips 66’s renewable fuel segment reported a quarterly adjusted profit of $544 million compared to a loss of $133 millions a year ago. After years of margin pressures, U.S. refiners have begun to see better returns on renewable fuels. This is due to a recent rise in the blending of biofuels mandates as well as a rise in diesel prices related to the Middle East conflict. According to data compiled and published by LSEG, Houston-based Phillips 66 posted an adjusted profit of $9.41 for the three months ended June 30 compared to analysts' average estimates of $7.44.
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Hungary and Albania both cut power in the face of Europe's heat
Emergency services in Albania battled a wildfire?in the southern region Mallakaster while?Hungarians?cut back on power consumption due to a heatwave?and drought?that continued to affect large parts of Europe's south and east. This summer, Europe, the continent that is warming up fastest in the world, was ravaged with record-breaking temperatures and devastating wildfires. France and Spain were particularly hard hit. It is now Italy that has been focusing on the heatwave. Temperatures in some places reached around 40 degrees Celsius. It was the heat that prompted the Vatican's decision to move Pope?Leo's weekly general audience, which had been held in St Peter's Square during the July holiday, indoors. Rome visitors welcomed the decision, as they were seeking relief from the hot conditions. A tourist from Mexico named?Diego Amaya said, "I suppose that it is better to have it inside because of the heat." RECORD LOW ON DANUBE Hungarian households and companies reduced their power consumption in the past week following a government appeal to reduce the pressure on the grid due to the severe drought. Budapest, the capital of Hungary, is bracing itself for the heatwave's peak on Wednesday and Thursday. Temperatures of 40 C to42 C (104 F - 108 F) are expected. The Danube's record-low levels have forced Hungary to shut down its only nuclear plant that uses river water for cooling. This has created an energy crisis which has stretched the power supply capacity to the limit. Wildfires in Albania's Mallakaster forced 15 families to evacuate, along with their animals and pets. Ground and aerial crews battled the flames, trying to prevent them from reaching homes near a nearby village. In the rocky, mountainous terrain, south of Gjirokaster, an Albanian city, efforts continued to be made to contain another wildfire. This fire was likely started by lightning. A wildfire in Greece has destroyed thousands of acres of farmland northwest of Athens. The fire was likely caused by electricity conductors vibrating and then fanned with gale force winds. On Wednesday, the fire appeared to be largely contained. However, hundreds of firefighters were still in the area to keep it from re-igniting. Six helicopters also doused scattered smoke spots. The agriculture is suffering from the hot and dry summer. According to an analysis released on Wednesday, Britain's cereal harvest is likely to be the worst since 1984 when comparable records were first kept. This is because the crops have withered after one of the most arid and hot spring-summer seasons on record.
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Gold reaches a one-month high as US-Iran hopes for peace ease inflation concerns
On Wednesday, gold rose by more than 2% to a new one-month-high as investors looked forward to key U.S. employment data and hoped that a U.S. Iran peace deal would ease inflation fears. By 1113 GMT, spot gold had risen 2.3% to $4168.34 an ounce, its highest since July 7. U.S. Gold Futures increased 1.8% to $4227.40. Donald Trump, the U.S. president, said that his administration had "very positive discussions" with Iran on Tuesday during an all-day negotiation. This has fueled expectations for a quick end to this five-month conflict. There are more signs that a Gulf ceasefire agreement is in the works, and this means Treasury yields will be moving lower on account of inflation concerns, making non-yielding investments like gold even more attractive," Jamie Dutta said, a market expert at trading platform Nemo.money. The U.S. Dollar remained under pressure. This made metals priced in greenbacks more appealing to holders of other currencies. Yields on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury notes fell to an all-time low. In a high-interest rate environment, gold tends to lose appeal despite its role as an inflation hedge. It yields no return. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, traders now price in a 57% chance of a rate hike for September, down from 67% one day earlier. Jeff Schmid, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, said that monetary policy needs to be tightened to bring "too-high" inflation to 2%. Concerns about the Fed’s credibility are likely to ease over the next few months as the central bank increases interest rates. This would lead to gold prices dropping and settling under $4,000 per ounce by the end of this?year," said Hamad Hussain a climate and commodities economist with Capital Economics. The ADP Employment Report is due at 1215 GMT, and the non-farm payroll report for July will be released on Friday. Spot silver rose 3.3% to $61.50 an ounce, its highest level since July 7. Palladium was up 1.5% at $1,373.35, following a two-month high. Platinum rose 1% to $1752.20. (Reporting and editing by Rashmi aich and Joyjeet Das in Bengaluru)
US control over Venezuelan oil could lead to a showdown with China on debt restructuring
The U.S.'s control over Venezuela's oil exports ensnared the barrels that were servicing debts to China. This could lead to another showdown between two superpowers, which would further complicate the South American nation's path towards avoiding default. Venezuela's $150billion foreign debt is believed to be a tenth loan from China, which the OPEC country was paying with oil cargoes – until the U.S. seized Venezuelan president Nicolas Maduro this month.
Experts in debt said that the impact of China's claim to the cargoes?and?any conflict with the United States?could make it harder for Venezuelans to restructure their debts after a default in 2017 and could put Beijing's collaboration on restructuring deals at risk for other developing countries.
Even under the best circumstances this was going be messy. Trying to figure out where these creditors stood in the credit hierarchy, said Christopher Hodge. He is the chief economist at Natixis, and a former U.S. Treasury Official.
Hodge stated that "the fact that America controls all finances in and out of the nation...seems to be unprecedented for me. We're going have such entanglements. Such opacity regarding the finances of a Government."
Hodge pointed out that Venezuela's primary source of income is oil sales proceeds.
Documents and sources of the state-run oil company PDVSA reveal that three supertankers were shuttling back and forth between Venezuela and China in the past five years, carrying oil to pay interest under the terms and conditions of a temporary deal struck in 2019. These shipments represent only a small fraction of Venezuela’s total crude oil exports to China.
AidData, a lab of the U.S. University William & Mary which tracks lending, reported that some cash proceeds were sent from Venezuela to China and went to a Beijing-controlled account to pay off the debt, even though sanctions and defaults prevented payments to other Venezuelan creditors. Trump's administration now says that the proceeds of the sale Venezuelan oil will be sent to a Qatari account controlled by Washington. This could give the U.S. president himself considerable?leverage in deciding which creditors are paid and when.
China's Foreign Ministry responded to a question about the cargoes, debts and payments by saying that Beijing had "repeatedly stated its position". Beijing has condemned the redirection Venezuelan oil exports at a?January 7th news conference. It added that "legitimate interests and rights of?China, and other countries of Venezuela in Venezuela should be protected".
Taylor Rogers, White House spokesperson, said that Trump had negotiated an oil deal with Venezuela which "will benefit both the American and Venezuelan public". A U.S. official confirmed on Thursday that the Trump administration has allowed China to buy Venezuelan crude oil, but not at "unfair and undercutting" prices, as Caracas had previously sold it. The traders who manage Venezuelan oil sales offered some to Chinese refiners. However, these were private market transactions and not meant as debt repayments.
The official from the United States said, "The people in Venezuela will receive a fair price from China and other countries for their oil."
The Venezuelan Communications Ministry, which is responsible for all government press inquiries, did not respond immediately to a comment request.
Other Options
Trump may still strike a deal with China. Restructuring advisors warn that the planned U.S. control over Venezuela's oil sector and its revenues could upset the hierarchy of creditors.
Lee Buchheit, a global sovereign debt expert, said that "all of these things" would have the effect of subordinating claims by legacy debt holders. He added that it was unclear whether Trump had the legal authority to decide who got paid first. Venezuelan bonds worth $60 billion went into default in 2017. A restructuring agreement will be needed to allow Venezuela to borrow money again and attract investment.
In a typical restructuration, bilateral lenders get together to decide what losses they are willing to accept. This is usually done via the Paris Club, a group of creditor nations. The "comparable" loss threshold is set by the Paris Club of creditor?nations.
Mark Walker, an experienced sovereign debt advisor, who worked previously on possible Venezuelan restructurings, said that "Comparability will be a challenge", particularly if the U.S. controls how oil revenues are used.
Pushing China
If the U.S. forces China to accept significant debt writedowns, and China refuses, it could slow down a restructuring process and even hinder Venezuela's recovery.
This could keep Venezuela in "very dire straits for the foreseeable future", according to Jean-Charles Sambor of TT International. The company holds Venezuelan bonds. This would then limit the amount of money that Venezuela can afford to pay back to its bondholders and creditors.
China has limited immediate leverage. Countries ?typically do not take other nations to court or arbitration over lending claims, Walker said, and would need to settle the situation "on a government-to-government basis".
China has had a major impact on the world's developing countries. It is the biggest bilateral lender in the region and its cooperation with Paris Club was crucial for the last decade. Beijing reached a restructuring agreement via a platform known as the Common Framework, during Ghana's, Zambia's and Ethiopia’s debt restructuring discussions.
Buchheit stated that "China's obvious lever is to refuse to participate in future Common Framework sovereign bond workouts until it feels it has been treated fairly by Venezuela." This threat would be very powerful.
(source: Reuters)