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Solar stocks fall after Senate proposal to phase-out tax credits by 2028

Solar stocks fall after Senate proposal to phase-out tax credits by 2028

U.S. Solar stocks fell in premarket trade on Tuesday, after a Senate committee proposed that solar and wind energy credits be phased out completely by 2028. This was part of the changes suggested for President Donald Trump's tax-cutting and spending bill.

Enphase Energy, a manufacturer of solar inverters, was one of the largest decliners in the S&P 500 at the start of trading. Its shares fell 17.2% to $35. SolarEdge Technologies and Sunrun, both solar panel suppliers, each fell more than 20%. First Solar fell 10.5%.

The draft bill, circulated last month by the U.S. Senate Committee, contains several changes to Trump’s budget, also known as "One Big, Beautiful Bill Act", which the House narrowly approved.

The committee chair's language envisages the gradual phase-out of subsidies for solar and wind that were enshrined in the Biden era 2022 Inflation Reduction Act by 2026, by reducing it to 60% of its original value and terminating it by 2028.

Tax credits will not be phased out under current law until 2032.

Citi strategists stated that they "remain in a sell mode on residential solar."

The bill had a phase-out beginning in 2029, and credits would be eliminated in 2032. This is a small improvement over the previous abrupt termination of credits when projects were not in service before 12/31/2028.

Solar companies already face pressure due to a weak residential demand in the U.S., which is partly caused by high interest rates as well as metering reforms implemented in California's top market. These reforms have decreased the credits that customers receive for feeding excess electricity into the grid.

Sunrun shares have fallen 27% over the last year while Enphase Energy has dropped 63%.

Invesco's Solar ETF dropped by 22.8% in the last year.

The Senate panel's proposed amendments to Trump's Budget extend tax credits for geothermal, hydro and nuclear power until 2036.

Nano Nuclear Energy, Oklo, and other nuclear-related companies saw their shares rise by 2.2% and 2.1% respectively.

The different versions of the bill in the two narrowly Republican-controlled chambers of Congress could complicate party leaders' goal of passing the bill, which is the centerpiece of Trump's domestic agenda, before a self-imposed July 4 deadline. (Reporting and editing by Devika Syamnath in Bengaluru)

(source: Reuters)