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Brazil's Lula criticizes Trump tariffs during a meeting with Putin
Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, who met with Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin on Friday in Moscow, criticized the U.S. president Donald Trump's policies regarding trade and tariffs. He said that they were harmful to multilateralism. Lula is visiting Russia to celebrate the 80th anniversary since the Soviet Union defeated Nazi Germany during World War Two. Russia celebrated this milestone on Friday. Major Military Parade Also in attendance was Chinese President Xi Jinping. "The recent decisions of the U.S. President to unilaterally impose tariffs on all trade with countries around the world undermines the great idea? "Free trade and strengthening multilateralism" was Lula's message during a bilateral discussion with Putin. Leftist leader says he wants to boost Brazil's strategic relationship with Russia. He cites "political and commercial interests, as well as cultural, scientific, and technological ones" in order to increase trade. Lula also mentioned that he would be interested in working with Russia to build small nuclear power plants. Brazil and Russia were both founding members of BRICS, a group of emerging economies that includes India, China and South Africa, as well as the newest additions, Egypt, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates. Ethiopia, Indonesia, and Iran are also part of this group. (Reporting and writing by Isabel Teles, with additional reporting by Lisandra paraguassu. Editing by Mark Heinrich.
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Venture Global's CP2 project is recommended for approval by US regulators
According to a document filed by the government on Friday, U.S. federal regulatory agencies recommended that Venture Global's proposed CP2 liquefied gas export project be approved. If built, CP2 would be the largest LNG export facility to ever exist in the United States and will help the U.S. remain the largest LNG exporter in the world. Venture Global had already received approval for the construction of the 28 million tonnes/annum plant. However, a recent court ruling forced them to perform an additional air quality review. Documents from the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission show that the study concluded the project could continue. This additional review was prompted by a decision of the U.S. Court of Appeals, District of Columbia Circuit in August 2024 that quashed FERC's approval of NextDecade LNG exporter NextDecade at the Port of Brownsville. The court ordered FERC also to re-examine the ramifications associated with the CP2 Project. CP2 is at the heart of a battle between the energy industry and environmentalists who want to limit future LNG project on the U.S. Gulf Coast.
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Thermax, an Indian industrial machine manufacturer, misses its profit forecasts due to weak demand
Thermax, an Indian industrial machine manufacturer, reported a fourth-quarter profit that was below expectations Friday. This was due to a weaker demand for its machines and increased raw material costs. In recent quarters, capital goods companies that rely heavily on government orders have seen their inflows slow down. Analysts report that government capex was subdued in most segments during the quarter under review. Thermax’s order book dropped by 8%, to 21,19 billion rupees. A spike in raw material costs increased the company’s expenses by 11%. The net profit of the industrial machine manufacturer rose by 8%, to 2,066 billion rupees (US$24 million), in the quarter ending March 31. It was 1.9 billion rupees last year. LSEG data shows that analysts had predicted a profit of 2,08 billion rupees. Thermax revenue for the quarter ended March grew by about 12%, to 30,85 billion rupees. This was below analyst expectations of 31,22 billion rupees. Thermax’s industrial products division saw a revenue increase of 18.5% while the division that installs bio-CNG power plants and other energy sources grew by 4%. In a press release, the company said that 660 million rupees of costs related to its bio-CNG project had affected the quarterly results. Peer ABB India announced higher profits for the first quarter on Friday, citing steady demand for its products. Reporting by Aleef Jhan in Bengaluru, editing by Sahal Muhammad.
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Spain's LNG imports to the US are on the rise, representing 35% of total gas supply
Data released on Friday showed that imports of US LNG accounted for 35% of Spain’s total gas imports during the first four month of this year, up from just under 20% one year earlier. Meanwhile, imports of Russian Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) declined. Since the Russian invasion of Ukraine, Europe has imported more superchilled gas from the U.S. According to Enagas, the Spanish gas grid operator, in the first four month of this year, Spain imported 45,932 GWh of gas equivalent from the U.S. This compares with 24,885GWh one year ago. The U.S. is now the primary gas supplier for Spain. This replaces Algeria, which primarily supplies liquefied natural gas to Spain and pumps it directly through pipelines. Enagas reported that the overall Spanish gas demand fell by 3%. The U.S. gas liquefied also replaced the gas liquefied sent from Russia. In the first four month of this year, the share of Russian gas in Spain's total gas imports fell from 22.4% to 13.3%. (Reporting and editing by Inti landauro, Louise Heavens and Joao Manuel Mauicio from Gdansk)
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Focus on tighter supply in the near future as copper prices remain steady before US-China trade negotiations
The price of copper was stable on Friday, ahead of the U.S.-China Trade Talks. The market's focus on tighter supply near-term is reflected by the premium that nearby contracts have over those further away, which has reached a 2-1/2-year-high. In official open-outcry trade, the benchmark three-month copper price on London Metal Exchange (LME), remained unchanged at $9 432 per metric. As representatives prepared for the weekend's talks, U.S. president Donald Trump said that tariffs of 80% on Chinese goods "seemed right". This is as representatives prepare to stop a trade conflict between two of the largest economies in the world which threatens to harm global metals demand. The trade spat, and an investigation in Washington into whether or not to impose new tariffs on copper imports has reduced the availability of the metal on the Shanghai Futures Exchange and the LME by attracting it more into COMEX owned warehouses. . Natalie Scott-Gray is a senior metals analyst with StoneX. She said: "The tightening of copper fundamentals can be seen in the widening of backwardations on near-month contracts for LME and SHFE." She added that this tightening is only temporary and won't offset the larger implications of an ongoing U.S.-China Trade War. Copper inventories in SHFE monitored warehouses increased as outflows from the U.S. coincided seasonal demand in China. In recent weeks, the number of people who have died has fallen faster than expected. The SHFE copper contract for June is now worth more than the SHFE copper contract for October, despite the fact that these stocks have fallen by 9.6% in the past week. They are also down 70% from the end of February. The spread between the LME cash price and the three-month contract of copper on the LME The last time it was at a premium, $49 per ton, this was the highest price since November 2022. The price has risen from a discount in early April of $63 as the stocks at LME registered warehouses continue to be depleted. Yangshan copper premium - a measure of robust import demand for metals in China's top metals consumer - The price of a ton is now $102, the highest level since December 2023, compared with $35 at the end of February. Imports of copper concentrate from China reached a new record in April due to an increase in domestic copper smelting capacities. Meanwhile, imports of unwrought copper were stable despite high shipments into the U.S. LME aluminium was unchanged at $2,412 per ton. Zinc rose 1% to 2,645, lead increased 1.7% to 1,978, nickel was up by 0.5% to $15.615, and tin was down 0.7% to $30,650. Ashitha Shivaprasad reported from Bengaluru, and Polina Devlatt in London. Vijay Kishore edited the story; David Evans was responsible for editing.
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Andy Home: A gallium-lens on China's mineral dominance, and how to end it
Since China began restricting the export of exotic metals in August 2023, the price of gallium is on an upward trend. It is not surprising that China holds a near-monopoly in the global production of gallium, as well as across a wide range of critical materials. What should we do about the fact that a commodity most people never heard of has reached a 14-year high? According to the United States Geological Survey, the global production for last year was only 760 metric tonnes. The world market is worth only $550 million, even at the current high prices. Metal is used in so small quantities that it has no impact on the price of a cell phone or electric vehicle. If you are in the semiconductor industry, it is important. It's even more important to U.S. defense planners. That's why China selected element 31 as a metal pressure point. The Multiplier Effect The economic impact of China's export bans is multiplied by the fact that gallium is used to make so many gadgets. USGS estimates a suspension of Chinese exports for a year would result in a hit to the U.S. economic system of $3.1 billion. The semiconductor industry would account for about half of this decrease, while the remaining half will come from downstream industries like computers, printed circuit assemblies and electric vehicles. China hasn't completely suspended exports but has banned direct sales into the United States. Outbound flows are down since 2023, when dual-use regulations came into effect. The USGS projections also assumed that gallium prices would increase by more than 2,5 in the event of an export stop. Gallium prices have more than doubled since July 2023, when they were $350 per kilogram. They are now $725 per kilogram and still increasing. As more gallium is kept on the Chinese market, the Chinese price falls. Other times, physical arbitrage could close the price gap. But not when China's Ministry of Commerce is guarding the gate. THE MILITARY ANGLE Gallium is of even greater importance to U.S. military planners. The U.S. Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency, or DARPA, was responsible for the development of a compound known as gallium arsenide. This compound is used in precision-guided and radar weapons. More recently, DARPA has been involved with the development of the next-generation semiconductor chip, gallium nitride. According to The Center for Strategic and International Studies (a non-profit research organization), the latter "revolutionizes modern radar by allowing new modules to track smaller and faster threats, and to be more numerous from a distance nearly doubled." The U.S. Army is deploying gallium nitride-enhanced Radars in its Lower-Tier Air and Missile Defense Sensors (LTAMDS), which are an integral part Patriot missile defence units, and F-35 Joint Strike Fighter. There's likely a lot more we don't even know. Gallium, like many other critical metals, has a small market but a wide range of applications. Many of these are at the forefront of semiconductor design. It's not a coincidence that China announced their export controls as a direct response to U.S. sanctions on next-generation chip imports to China. THE CHINA CHALLENGE Can the West sever China's grip on gallium? The solution to the problem is right in front of us, or better yet, in the tailings pool. Gallium isn't particularly rare on the surface of the Earth, but it only occurs at concentrations high enough to be extracted as a byproduct from other minerals. China's gallium dominance has increased along with its massive expansion of aluminum capacity. China accounts for 60% global aluminium production and all of that metal requires alumina which is produced from bauxite. Gallium can be produced by other refineries than China's. Western companies have stopped producing gallium after China took over the market in the first decade of this century. That's changing. Rio Tinto and Indium Corporation just announced that they had successfully extracted pure gallium out of a waste stream from Rio's Vaudreuil Alumina Refinery in Quebec. The next step will be to build a pilot plant that can produce 3.5 tons of gallium per year. METLEN, a Greek aluminium manufacturer, plans to increase its bauxite-and-alumina processing capability to 50 tons annually by 2028. This is one of 47 strategic mineral projects in the European Union. Two key lessons can be learned from this article for other mineral markets that are being affected by Chinese export restrictions. First, it is likely that the West already produces many of these materials but has not appreciated their value until now. Rio Tinto has begun extracting tellurium and scandium at its Kennecott Copper Smelter, Utah, as well as titanium from its operations in Quebec. The two plants had been in operation for several years before anyone thought it necessary to separate the metals from the waste stream. Second, it's clear that Western operators have to learn or, in the case gallium, re-learn the processing technologies needed to separate them and refine them. It will take some time, especially since China restricts the export of this technology in many cases. The higher prices that result from China's export restrictions are encouraging more and more Western companies back to metallurgy. The author is a columnist at
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Japan's SMBC will take 20% of India's Yes Bank
SumitomoMitsui Banking Corp. (SMBC), a Japanese lender, has signed a definitive deal to acquire a 20% stake of Indian private lender Yes Bank. This is the largest cross border merger and acquisition in India's finance sector. Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group released a statement saying that the total value of this deal is 134.8 billion yen ($1.58 billion), which includes SMBC purchasing shares from eight current shareholders. SMBC is a subsidiary of Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, and the second largest bank in Japan. Cross-border banking deals are rare in Indian banks due to restrictions on ownership, capital requirements and the state's dominance of the sector. The last major deal was a takeover by Singapore's DBS Group of the troubled Lakshmi Vilas Bank in 2020. SMBC’s purchase of a stake in Yes Bank will make the bank the largest shareholder. It is also the latest overseas acquisition of a Japanese financial organization as it looks to find new growth sources after years of low interest rates and a shrinking population at home. Nomura, the investment bank, acquired Macquarie Group’s U.S. public asset management business and its European counterpart for $1.8 billion last month. In December of 2012 Nippon Life Insurance became a fully-owned subsidiary of Bermuda-based Resolution Life for approximately $8.2 billion. Yes Bank announced in a filing to the stock exchange that SMBC would acquire a stake of 13.19% from State Bank of India (also its largest shareholder) and an aggregate of 6,81% from Axis Bank Bandhan Bank Federal Bank HDFC Bank ICICI Bank IDFC First Bank Limited Kotak Mahindra Bank. SBI owns a 24 percent stake in Yes Bank as a result the restructuring led by the regulator in March 2020. Together, ICICI Bank (ICICI Bank), HDFC Bank (HDFC Bank), Kotak Mahindra Bank (Kotak Mahindra Bank), Axis Bank, and Life Insurance Corporation of India hold 11.34% of Yes Bank. Yes Bank stated that the transaction is subjected to approvals by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), Competition Commission of India (CCI) and the shareholders of the Bank. Prashant Kumar, CEO of SMBC, said that the investment was "a pivotal step for our next phase in growth". Yes Bank reported that JPMorgan and Jefferies were the financial advisors for SMBC. This week, it was reported that SMBC had reached an agreement with Yes Bank on the acquisition of a stake. The central bank had also verbally approved this deal. The shares of Yes Bank have gained nearly 10% this year. $1 = 85.3990 Indian rupees (Reporting and editing by David Goodwin and David Evans in Tokyo and Siddhi Nyak in Mumbai)
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UK's National Statistician Resigns Due to Ill Health
The British Statistics Authority announced on Friday that Ian Diamond had resigned due to health problems. Emma Rourke will take his place until longer-term arrangements are made. Diamond stated in a press release that he had made the difficult decision to step down from the position of national statistician due to his ongoing health problems. He felt that now was the time for someone else to take over the mantle. Diamond's resignation is at a challenging time for the Office for National Statistics. The Office has been criticized for its poor quality labour market statistics, which provide crucial information for policymakers in the government and Bank of England. Last month, the UK's statistic regulator stated that other countries did not have the same problem. It also told the ONS to concentrate its limited resources on numbers of the highest importance. The ONS has been the subject of a government inquiry. (Reporting and writing by William James; editing by Andy Bruce, Kate Holton, and Sam Tabahriti)
Why one Eastern European nation was slow to give up its Russian oil addiction: Vladimirov
By Martin Vladimirov
Czechia, on April 7, has the infrastructure, reserves and access to other suppliers that it needs to stop importing Russian oil. Three years after Russia's invasion of Ukraine on a large scale, the Czech Republic has continued to delay a strategic shift despite viable alternatives. According to a Center for the Study of Democracy analysis, Czechia imported Russian crude oil worth 1.5 billion euros in 2024. The volume was down 30% compared to 2023. However, this wasn't due to a proactive strategy to phase out Russian crude. It was mainly the result of 3 major disruptions in the Druzhba Pipeline. After the completion of the Trans-Alpine pipeline expansion in 2024, Czechia should have been able to replace Russian crude. As of February, however, neither the state-owned MERO CR nor the dominant refiner Orlen Unipetrol were able to fully exploit this new resource. In the end, each month more than 100 millions of euros were sent to the Kremlin.
This is not a technical problem. MERO CR had confirmed, even before the final certification of TAL-plus was granted, that the spare capacity in pipelines would be sufficient to meet Czechia’s entire annual crude oil demand.
The country's strategic reserve of 3.6 millions tonnes could also cover almost half its annual consumption. The volume of Russian oil imported in 2024's final quarter increased by 30% compared to the previous year, and reached 970,000 tonnes. This was the highest quarterly level since the European Union oil embargo came into effect in 2022. In 2025, Czechia purchased an additional 220,000 tons of Russian crude. Orlen Unipetrol claims that Rosneft's long-term contract obligations, which expire in mid-2025 prevented an immediate withdrawal from Russian crude. It is not certain that this is the case. Take-or-pay provisions - which are often used as a justification – are uncommon in the global oil market, where flexibility of supply is the norm. Orlen appears to be primarily motivated by financial concerns. Russian crude, on average, was 20% cheaper than Azeri oil in 2023-2024. Retail fuel prices were stable, with average gasoline and diesel costs of 1,500 euros and 1,360 euro per tonne respectively. Orlen Unipetrol, which relied heavily on Russian crude oil during its peak years, was able to take advantage of the cost difference and report EBITDA in excess of 600 million euros per year.
The discount on Russian crude could increase in the future, as tariffs recently implemented by the U.S. government may dampen demand for oil globally, forcing Russia lower its prices.
REPERCUSSIONS
This passive attitude has had important geopolitical consequences. Since the beginning of the war, Czechia has contributed almost 3 billion euros to the Russian government in the form of tax revenue. Czechia spent 8.4 billion euro on Russian gas and oil since February 2022. This is more than six-times the amount of money it gave to Ukraine in aid.
Czechia also continues to import refined petroleum products from Slovakia, Hungary and other EU-exempt countries, where refineries are processing Russian crude oil. This exemption is extended until June 2025. Slovakia exported 710,000 tons of fuel worth 520 millions euros to Czechia in 2024 despite alternatives being available. Germany, for example, only charges a 6-7% higher price than Slovak suppliers on gasoline and diesel.
Czechia also follows a similar pattern in its natural gas imports. Czechia's Russian gas purchases increased by almost 400% in 2024 in anticipation of Ukraine terminating its Russian transit in January 2025. Imports of Russian gas in the last quarter of 2024 were 62% more than average.
The Czech government can unilaterally ban Russian crude imports. It can also stop purchases of fuels refined using Russian oil in Slovakia or Hungary. And it can make full use both of the TAL pipe and its domestic reserves. Bulgaria has shown that a complete phase-out of Russian oil is possible. Sofia ended its exemption early in 2024 by invoking the force majeure clause, and cut off Russian crude over night. The result was neither an increase in fuel prices nor a threat to the security of oil supplies, despite Bulgaria relying on Russian crude for 90% of its crude imports.
Czech Government Officials on April 17,
The country is now fully independent from Russian oil after the completion of the capacity upgrades to the TAL pipeline. Czechia appears to be able to align its actions with European imperatives for energy security without suffering severe economic consequences. If the current halt of Russian oil imports doesn't hold, then it will struggle justifying why it has not done so.
(source: Reuters)