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OPEC+ will proceed with its planned April oil production hike

OPEC+ will proceed with its planned April oil production hike
OPEC+ will proceed with its planned April oil production hike

OPEC+ announced on Monday that it would proceed with a planned increase in April oil production. This decision follows the renewed pressure from Donald Trump on OPEC, Saudi Arabia, and other countries to lower prices.

This is the first increase since 2022 by OPEC+. OPEC+ includes the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries plus Russia and allies. At 1900 GMT, oil was trading 2% below $71 per barrel.

OPEC announced that eight OPEC+ member countries who are cutting the most recent layer in the group's output held a virtual conference on Monday. They agreed to continue with the increase for April. Calculations show that the increase in April is 138,000 barrels a day.

OPEC stated in a press release that "this gradual increase can be paused or reversed depending on market conditions." This flexibility will enable the group to continue supporting oil market stability.

In recent weeks, oil has traded in the range of $70 to $82 per barrel as a result of U.S. sanctions against large oil producers Iran and Venezuela.

Trump has renewed his pressure on OPEC, to lower prices. Prices rose to multi-month highs of above $82 a barrel in January after Trump’s predecessor Joe Biden imposed new sanctions against Russia.

Prices have dropped since then in hopes that Trump will help to clinch an agreement on the war between Russia & Ukraine, and increase Russian oil flow. His plans to reduce Iran's oil to zero, and the cancellation of Chevron's license to operate in Venezuela last week prevented further price drops.

OPEC+ said that the combination of these bullish and negative factors made April's decision-making extremely complex. They also said that Trump's plans to impose global tariffs may complicate the outlook.

OPEC+ agreed to cut output by 5,85 million barrels a day since 2022, which is about 5.7%. This has been done in a series steps to support the global market.

OPEC+ has extended the latest cut through the first quarter 2025. This means that the plan to increase production will now begin in April. This was just the latest in a series of delays that occurred last year.

According to the plan, the gradual unraveling of 2.2 millions bpd - the latest layer - will begin in April. This is followed by a rise of 138,000bpd per month. Reporting by Ahmad Ghaddar and Olesya Astakhova. Editing by Tomasz and Nia Janowski.

(source: Reuters)