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Gold soars at record high due to trade war fears and weaker dollar
Gold prices soared to record highs on Monday due to concerns about global economic growth caused by the spiraling Sino-U.S. Trade War. A weaker dollar also boosted the rally. As of 0246 GMT the spot gold price had risen 1.7%, to $3383.87 per ounce, after reaching a session high of $3384 earlier. U.S. Gold Futures rose 2% to $3 396.10. Dollar index hits three-year low making gold more appealing for holders of other currencies. "Markets are pricing in heightened risks due to U.S. trade tensions, stagflation fears, and resilient central bank demand," said IG's market strategist Yeap Jun-Rong. On April 2, U.S. president Donald Trump announced "reciprocal" tariffs on dozens countries. While his administration has paused levies on some countries, they have escalated their trade battle with China. China warned other countries on Monday against signing a wider economic agreement with the United States, which Trump is said to be seeking. Trump's team is evaluating the possibility of firing Powell. Russia and Ukraine have accused each other on the geopolitical stage of thousands of attacks which violated the ceasefire of one day declared by President Vladimir Putin. The Kremlin has said that there was no order for the frontline fighting to be extended. The safe haven bullion is in good hands. Rong stated that the next possible milestone for gold would be at the $3,500 mark. However, positioning could appear crowded near term, and technical indicators indicate near-term conditions of overboughtness. Silver spot rose 0.3%, to $32.66 per ounce. Platinum gained 0.3%, to $969.68. Palladium dropped 0.3%, to $959.43. (Reporting and editing by Anmol Mukherjee and Anushree Choubey in Bengaluru, and Sumana D'Souza and Savio d'Souza).
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Shanghai copper prices rise on Dollar weakness
Shanghai copper prices rose slightly on Monday, as the dollar fell to its lowest level in three years. However, a continuing trade tension between the U.S., which is the world's largest metals consumer, and China was likely to limit any further gains. As of 1400 GMT, the most traded copper contract at the Shanghai Futures Exchange was up 0.2%, trading for 76150 yuan per ton ($10,443.38). London Metal Exchange (LME), is closed for Easter Monday. Investor confidence in the U.S. economic system took a further hit as a result of President Donald Trump's plans for a shake-up at the Federal Reserve. This would put into question the independence and authority of the central banks. Separately China stated that it respected all parties who resolved economic and trade disputes with the United States by consultation on equal footing but will firmly oppose anyone striking a deal on China's cost, its Commerce Ministry announced on Monday. Xie feng, China's ambassador in the United States, urged Washington to find common ground with Beijing, and to pursue peaceful coexistence, while warning that China was ready to retaliate as the trade war escalated. Other metals include: SHFE aluminium, which rose 0.2%, to 19,740 Yuan per ton; zinc, up 0.7% to 22,180 Yuan; lead, up 0.4%, to 16,880 Yuan; tin, up 0.6%, to 258,280 Yan, and nickel, down 0.2%, to 125420 Yuan.
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Indians suffer from respiratory problems and skin rashes after living in the world's worst polluted city
Sumaiya Ansari was suffering from breathing difficulties for several days prior to being hospitalized in March. She was given oxygen support. Doctors say that her illness is likely caused by high pollution levels. According to IQAir's estimates, Byrnihat’s average annual PM2.5 concentration was 128.2 milligrams per cubic meter in 2024, which is over 25 times higher than the WHO recommended level. PM2.5 is particulate matter that has a diameter of 2.5 microns and less. This can cause deadly diseases, including heart problems. Abdul Halim, Ansari’s father, said, "It was scary. She was breathing like fish." He brought Ansari home after two days in the hospital. According to data from the government, respiratory infections cases in the region increased to 3,681 by 2024, up from 2,082 in 2012. Dr. J Marak, of Byrnihat Primary Healthcare Centre, said that 90% of the patients he sees daily have a cough and/or other respiratory problems. Residents report that the toxic air causes skin rashes, eye irritations, damages crops and prevents them from doing routine tasks such as drying their laundry outside. Dildar Hussain, a farmer, said: "Everything has been covered in dust or soot." Critics claim that Byrnihat's pollution problem is indicative of a larger trend that affects not only India's major cities but also the Capitalism As industrialisation accelerates, environmental protections are being eroded. Government data shows that the air quality in Byrnihat remains poor throughout the year. Experts say that the pollution problem in this town is worsened by the fact that it has a "bowl-shaped" topography and 80 industries, many of which are highly polluting. Arup Misra, the chairman of Assam’s pollution control board, said that the terrain between Meghalaya's hills and Assam’s plains is too narrow for pollutants to spread. A Meghalaya official, who declined to be identified, stated that the town's geographical location made it harder to find a solution, as both states shifted blame between themselves. Assam, Meghalaya and IQAir have formed a joint committee to fight the pollution in Byrnihat. (Reporting and writing by Tora Aggarwala, Sakshi Dayal and Raju Gopalakrishnan; editing by Raju Gopi Krishnan)
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Progress in US-Iran negotiations eases supply concerns, lowering oil prices
The oil prices dropped by about 1% after the nuclear talks between Iran and the United States progressed. This eased concerns that this dispute would reduce the supply of the Middle Eastern major producer. Brent crude futures fell 70 cents or 1.03% to $67.26 per barrel at 0030 GMT, after closing 3.2% higher on Thursday. U.S. West Texas Intermediate Crude was trading at $64, down 68 cents or 1.05% after closing up 3.54% the previous session. Last week, Thursday was the final settlement day due to the Good Friday holiday. Iran's Foreign Minister said that the U.S. had agreed to start drafting a framework for any potential nuclear deal with Iran on Saturday, following talks described by a U.S. government official as "very positive progress." Progress in the nuclear talks follows the U.S. imposing further sanctions last week. These included sanctions against a teapot oil refinery based in China, which it claims processed Iranian crude. This increased pressure on Tehran during the discussions. Teapot is the industry term for smaller independent processors. Brent and WTI both gained about 5% in the last week due to concerns about the tightening of Iranian oil supplies and hopes for an agreement between the United States, and the European Union. This was their first weekly increase in three weeks. Separately, Russia, Ukraine and President Vladimir Putin blamed each for breaking the one-day ceasefire declared on Easter Sunday by the Russian president. Both sides accused the other of hundreds attacks, and the Kremlin said there was never an order to extend the ceasefire. (Reporting and editing by Christian Schmollinger; Florence Tan is the reporter)
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Interfax reports that the Russian economy ministry has cut its Brent price forecast for 2025 by almost 17%.
Interfax reported on Monday morning that the Russian economy ministry had reduced its forecast of the average price for Brent crude in 2025 from the amount it thought the price would be in September by almost 17%. Interfax reported that in the ministry's baseline scenario for economic forecasts of 2025, the average price of Brent is expected to be $68 per barrel, down from $81.7 per barrel in the September forecasts. The Ministry of Finance estimates that the price of Urals, Russia’s main blend, is $56 per barrel, compared to the $69.7 per barrelle on which Russia based its budget for 2025. The agency quoted a ministry representative as saying, "We think that this is an estimate which is fairly conservative." Oil and gas revenues account for a third (or more) of the budget. In April, the Russian central bank had warned that due to a lower global demand, oil prices may be lower for several years than expected. Urals prices dropped to their lowest level since 2023 early April, trading at around $53 a barrel. They traded below $60 per barrel last week. The ministry said that it did not expect a recession to occur due to the trade wars of U.S. president Donald Trump and believes global growth will be slightly higher than 2% this year. Interfax quoted the representative of the ministry as saying: "The world's still bigger than the United States. So some flows will be directed." The Ministry maintained its forecast of 2.5% for the gross domestic product (GDP) growth in Russia and raised its inflation forecast from 4.5% to 7.6%. The rouble is also expected to be slightly stronger this year than it was previously forecasted, with an average of 94,3 roubles for every dollar, compared to an earlier prediction of 96.5.
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Severe weather strikes the Midwest and South of the US, killing two people in Oklahoma
Police said that at least two people including a child died after their vehicle became stranded on flood waters in Oklahoma, during the Easter weekend, when severe weather and flooding affected parts of the U.S. South, Midwest and Midwest. In a press release, police in Moore (Oklahoma), about 11 miles south-southeast of Oklahoma City, stated that the weather was "historic". "One (of the vehicles) was swept underneath the bridge. All but two of the occupants were saved at the time. "It is with deep sadness that we announce that two people, an adult male and a 12-year old boy, were found dead later," the statement said. The police in Moore, Oklahoma have urged residents to stay home. They responded late Saturday to more than a dozen calls by residents who were stuck in their vehicles because of high water. Oklahoma was covered by flood warnings that indicate a flood may be imminent or has already occurred. National Weather Service stated on Sunday that severe thunderstorms are expected to occur from east Texas through far southeast Iowa, Illinois and into central Arkansas. A strong tornado with damaging winds is also possible from central Arkansas and central Missouri. The National Weather Service has issued a tornado watch for certain parts of Arkansas and Kansas, Louisiana, Missouri and Oklahoma. A deadly spring storm that swept across the U.S. from Texas to Ohio caused tornadoes, heavy rains, and even a few deaths in the South and Midwest. (Reporting and editing by Mary Milliken, Chris Reese and Kanishka Singh from Washington)
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Russia-Ukraine War: US welcomes extension of ceasefire
The U.S. State Department announced on Sunday that it would be happy to see the one-day ceasefire declared by Russian president Vladimir Putin for Easter extended beyond Sunday, despite the Kremlin's earlier statement that there had been no extension order. Both Russia and Ukraine have accused each other of violating the ceasefire. Putin declared a ceasefire for one day in Ukraine, until Sunday midnight Moscow time (2100 GMT). KEY QUOTES "We've seen that President Putin announced a temporary truce due to Easter. In an email statement sent on Sunday, a spokesperson for the State Department said that they remain committed to achieving full and comprehensive peace. As we evaluate their seriousness, we welcome the extension of this punishment beyond Sunday. Why it's important U.S. president Donald Trump Has repeatedly warned about the risk of escalation in the three-year old war that was started by Russia's full scale invasion of its neighbor, and has said he wants the war to end. The U.S. secretary of state has said that the war should be ended. Marco Rubio Washington said that it will abandon efforts to broker a deal for peace if there are no clear signs of progress in the near future. Trump announced that he would sign a mineral deal with Kyiv within a week after the U.S.A. and Ukraine signed a Memorandum of Understanding on Thursday. A failed attempt in February was the result of Zelenskiy and Trump's clash in the Oval Office. CONTEXT Volodymyr Zelenskiy, the Ukrainian president, said that Russia pretended to respect the Easter ceasefire but in reality, it had continued hundreds of artillery assaults Saturday night and more on Sunday. Russia's Defence Ministry claimed that Ukraine violated the ceasefire and caused damage to civilians and infrastructure. Putin wants Ukraine to give up its NATO ambitions and permanently cede the four lost regions to Russia. He also wants to limit its army size. Kyiv claims that these demands amount to a demand for its capitulation.
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Congo suspends the former President Kabila's Political Party
The government of the Democratic Republic of Congo has suspended the political party of former President Joseph Kabila and ordered the seizure of his assets over allegations that he supported rebels in eastern Congo backed by Rwanda. The 53-year old, who ruled the country from 2001 to 2019 and only stepped aside after violent protests against him, said that he wanted to return to Congo in order to find a resolution to the conflict. In a statement issued late Saturday, the interior ministry stated that his party had been suspended for assisting the M23 rebels. The justice ministry also said assets of his and other leaders would be confiscated after acts deemed high treason. In both statements, prosecutors were instructed to begin proceedings against him. However, no specific accusations were made. Kabila did not respond immediately. In a letter to the editor, Ferdinand Kambere (secretary of his Party for Reconstruction and Democracy) called the suspension of its members a flagrant breach of Congo's Constitution and Laws. Since the beginning of this year, the M23 has taken control of two major cities located in the mineral rich east. The conflict in this region dates back to the Rwandan genocide of 1994 and the struggle over minerals. Kabila took power in the aftermath of his father's death and refused to leave when his term ended in 2016. Since then, he has lived in several African countries. (Writing Jessica Donati Editing Sofia Christensen, Andrew Cawthorne and Andrew Cawthorne).
Russia reinsurer backs companies to get India marine insurance coverage license
Russia's stateowned reinsurer has actually offered financial backing to three Russian insurance coverage firms, permitting them to get Indian approval to supply marine insurance coverage cover to tankers, two sources said, as Moscow seeks to help with trade with India amid Western sanctions.
A raft of sanctions by the U.S. and allies versus Moscow over its Ukraine invasion, in addition to tighter scrutiny of Russian oil trade, has almost cut Russia off from the international network of service suppliers such as insurance companies and brokers.
Russian business Sogaz Insurance coverage, Alfastrakhovanie, and VSK Insurance coverage, have joined Ingosstrakh as insurance providers authorized by India for providing marine insurance coverage cover, an order posted on Indian shipping regulator's website showed.
India has actually authorized the 3 new insurance providers after Russian National Reinsurance Company (RNRC) offered a financial guarantee, the 2 sources with direct understanding of matter stated.
This is the very first time RNRC's function in offering monetary backing to the 3 Russian insurers to get accredited in India has actually been reported.
With the backing of the Russian National Reinsurance Company, a wholly-owned entity of the Russian Federal government, these insurance companies boast robust financial support and stability, one of the sources stated.
Insurance coverage is necessary for maritime transportation, especially oil cargoes that require the greatest safety standards due to the danger of spills.
Sogaz Insurance, Alfastrakhovanie and VSK Insurance Coverage representatives did not react to requests for remark. An RNRC representative decreased to comment.
RNRC, controlled by the Russian central bank, was sanctioned by the UK and European Union in 2023.
India's Directorate General of Shipping did not react to a. email looking for remarks.
Ingosstrakh is not expanding its maritime insurance. activities to India. Our relationship with India in the marine. insurance market has covered over 57 years, dating back to. 1967 when we opened our office in Mumbai, an Ingosstrakh. spokesperson said in an emailed declaration.
The 3 Russian insurance companies, which specialise in protection. and indemnity (P&I) insurance coverage, are not part of the. Europe-based International Group, which is made up of twelve. so-called P&I clubs.
The IG says it provides marine liability cover for. around 90% of the world's ocean-going shipping tonnage.
A due treatment has actually been followed (by the Indian shipping. regulator) for including these brand-new entities in the list of. non-IG companies that can supply insurance, among the two. sources said.
SIGNIFICANT PROVIDER
The Group of Seven (G7), the European Union and Australia. have actually enforced a $60 per barrel price cap for Russian oil if. Western services such as shipping and insurance are utilized.
The objective is to squeeze Russia's oil earnings while keeping. the supply to the market stable.
Russia has emerged as a major oil provider to India, the. world's third greatest oil importer and customer, as its oil is. sold at a discount rate after Western nations stopped buy from. Moscow.
The Indian federal government has actually said that the country abides by. United Nations sanctions and does not follow those imposed by. any other country.
A source from one of India's refiners said banks are extremely. strict in clearing payments for Russian oil to make sure that. Russian crude is priced below the $60 per barrel cap.
The price cap mechanism bans Western companies from. supplying maritime services, consisting of funding, insurance coverage, and. delivering for oil offered above the cap.
Why would Russia like to forgo its revenue from insurance. premiums and provide it to the western insurance companies. It is not a small. quantity, this source stated.
Even if Russia is lawfully enabled to utilize Western services. they don't want to utilize them, he said.
This likewise indicates they have to share details of their dealing. with the (Western) provider.
Indian refiners purchase Russian oil on provided basis mostly. from traders to prevent any liability occurring due to sanctions. before discharge of oil cargoes.
The accreditation of the three Russian entities is valid. till Feb. 20 next year, but authorisation for Russia's. Ingosstrakh has been extended by five years to Feb. 20, 2029, an. order published on the website of India's Directorate General of. Shipping site showed.
(source: Reuters)