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Russia's fine-tuned oil product exports to Singapore to hit greatest this year in May, traders say

Russia's exports of naphtha to Singapore are on track to increase to their greatest level this year in May as Russian refineries recover from drone traders, attacks and analysts approximated, with the pattern poised to continue as more capability comes online.

Singapore imports of Russian naphtha, a crucial ingredient for making petrochemicals such as plastics and fabric fibers, will rise to about 415,000 metric heaps in May, LSEG Research Study estimated, while consultancy FGE anticipates almost 500,000 heaps.

The refinery (attack) effect subsides off through May and June, which is why we might expect greater exports from Russia, said Armaan Ashraf, global head of gas liquids at FGE. He was referring to drone attacks by Ukraine on oil processing facilities in Russia because the start of the Ukraine war.

Naphtha imports from Russia into Singapore increased in April to their greatest this year at 329,955 lots. That pushed Singapore's. total naphtha imports for April to 998,408 lots, up from 920,626. heaps a year previously, data from Enterprise Singapore showed.

The higher imports show blending demand for naphtha. ahead of peak gas need season in summer, a. Singapore-based petrochemical trader said.

Naphtha can be combined directly into fuel or refined to. make mixing parts to fulfill octane specs.

Rosneft's export-oriented Tuapse oil refinery, among the. biggest in Russia's south, resumed processing earlier this. month, with loadings anticipated to increase by about 16% to 180,000. heaps in May as it restarts exports, according to trade. price quotes.

Novatek, on the other hand, prepares to start test operations. for a brand-new 3 million metric tons-per-year processing unit at its. gas condensate complex in the Baltic Sea port of Ust-Luga in. mid-June, which could allow it to increase naphtha exports to. in between 550,000 and 600,000 tons a month from 350,000 to 370,000. lots presently, calculations reveal.

Novatek produces naphtha primarily for Asia, consisting of China,. Singapore, Taiwan and Malaysia.

In the first week of May, Russian naphtha was around $8 per. heap less expensive than naphtha from the Middle East, the leading provider. to Asia. The space had actually narrowed to about $5 in February after Red. Sea war threat premiums drove up freight costs.

For all of Asia, naphtha loadings from Russia are on track. to reach about 700,000 tons, according to trade quotes as of. May 8, compared to 950,000 lots in April. LSEG's Krystal Chung. expects May imports into Asia from Russia to strike a year-high of. 850,000 loads.

FGE's Ashraf said overall Russian naphtha exports into Asia. will reach 1.4-1.5 million lots levels in June, however the danger of. more Russian refining capability being subdued remains.

Ukraine's drone attacks have actually disrupted 15% of Russia's oil. refining capacity this year, according to an estimate by a NATO. authorities at the start of April.

Asia is structurally short of naphtha and counts on. Northwest Europe, the Mediterranean and the U.S. to satisfy the. deficiency of about 2 million lots per month.

Russia flooded Asian markets with its naphtha last. year after Western sanctions on its oil item exports overthrew. trade circulations, keeping margins subdued due to high supplies in the middle of. slow need. Russia represented 25% overall naphtha imports. into Asia in 2023, ship-tracking data from Kpler revealed.

(source: Reuters)