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MPOC: Crude palm oil price to remain above $1.154 per ton until 2026.

The Malaysian Palm Oil Council stated on Tuesday that the price of crude palm oil is expected to stay above 4,700 ringgits ($1,154) a metric ton through October and the rest of the year, largely due to weather uncertainty.

MPOC stated that the main downside risks were a drop in energy prices, and an increase in stock. This is because palm oil production reaches its 'peak' seasonally in September or October.

MPOC said that Malaysian exports were 'projected' to remain at 16 million tons by 2027. This reflects the importance of Malaysia in providing palm oil to consumers around the world.

The current high stock level, it was said, is likely to be temporary. It added that production and stock levels in both Malaysia and Indonesia should ease over the next few months.

The Malaysian Palm Oil Board reported early this month that inventories reached an eight-month peak in August, as production increased to its highest level since Dec. and exports decreased.

MPOC has stated that El Nino-related dry weather is becoming more prevalent in Malaysia and Indonesia. This raises concerns over its potential impact on the palm oil industry 'in six to nine months.

It said that rainfall in Malaysia was also lower than average, at around 30% less in August. In Indonesia, it was about 20% below the average.

MPOC reported that the blending of biofuels on the energy market had improved due to the'shutdown of Saudi Arabia's East-West Pipeline facilities and the shipping interruptions at the Strait of Hormuz, Bab al-Mandab Strait and in the East-West pipeline.

(source: Reuters)