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Jamaica and Small Islands warn COP30 of the importance of 1.5 as a "lifeline".

The COP30 Climate talks begin in Brazil this Week

Small island states are pushing for a new push to 1.5C.

The discussion will also include how to pay climate damages

Clar NiChonghaile

UnaMay Gordon is a former director for climate change at the Jamaican Government and advisor to the Caribbean Community Climate Change Center that coordinates climate action.

We lost our cultural heritage. 300-year old churches are gone. It also took a part of our own identity with it. Gordon told reporters that "people are hurting".

According to Jamaica's Prime Minister, the strongest storm ever to hit the island left dozens of dead and caused billions in damage. This is roughly equivalent to 28-32% of last year’s gross domestic products.

According to Imperial College London scientists, a Melissa-type storm at landfall today is four times more probable than in a preindustrial baseline.

Gordon urged negotiators to take more action to limit global temperatures to 1.5 degrees Celsius (2.7 Fahrenheit), the target set in the Paris Agreement ten years ago. This goal is now in greater danger.

Scientists claim that a temperature increase of 1.5C will cause irreversible changes such as melting ice sheets and accelerating sea level rise. This is a serious risk to small islands.

The U.N. Environment Program stated in a report released last week that the world will soon surpass this goal. U.N. Sec.-General Antonio Guterres described it as a "redline for humanity" in his Belem speech last week.

Science tells us now that a temporary exceedance of the 1.5 limit is inevitable, and will start at least in the early 2030s. He said that we need to make a paradigm change in order to reduce the magnitude and duration of this overshoot.

The Alliance of Small Island States proposes a COP30 item that will track climate targets more aggressively as countries' plans veer from course.

Toiata Apelu Uili, mitigation Coordinator for AOSIS and Samoan, who travelled two days from Belem to Belem, said, "Small Island states are here demanding we honor 1.5."

"It's not a slogan. This is the lifeline to our survival and that of our small islands. "Our survival, the lives of our people and our own are not negotiable.

"PAY UP"

By 2035, the global emissions of planet-heating gases would have to drop by 60% from their 2019 levels.

According to a U.N. update of the countries' Nationally Determined contributions, or climate plans, they are projected to fall by only around 12%.

AOSIS has said that COP30 should work to correct the course of the world, a demand supported by the Least Developed Countries Group (LDC), which represents 44 countries most vulnerable against climate change.

Evans Njewa (Malawian Chair of the LDC Group) told reporters Monday that the world cannot allow the 1.5C target to be lost.

He said: "COP30 should deliver a credible road map to address the gaps in finance, ambition and implementation. Not promises for the future but commitments for today, backed up by adequate resources, and the best science available," he added.

Small island states and LDCs also want more financial assistance to decarbonize their economies, and to adapt to climate change-related extreme weather.

Years ago, the most difficult COP discussions centered around who should pay for this climate bill.

During the COP29 last year in Baku, Azerbaijan, countries adopted a global finance target of $300 billion a yearly, but this was criticized by many countries as being insufficient.

The Baku-Belem Roadmap will be at the heart of the COP30 discussions. This is a blueprint developed by Brazil and Azerbaijan that aims to mobilize a minimum of $1.3 trillion a yearly climate finance for developing nations by 2035.

The hosts, Brazil, have called this "the COP of implementation". They hope to inspire the global mutirao. This is a Portuguese term derived from Indigenous Tupi and Guarani languages that refers to groups coming together to complete a common task.

Some fear that progress will be hard to make, especially with President Donald Trump calling the climate change issue a "con-job" and political and budgetary pressures pushing it back.

Gordon, who attended the 2015 Paris talks, wants the COP to hold the biggest emitters accountable for the 1.5C target and provide financial support to the most vulnerable nations to prepare and survive climate disasters.

(source: Reuters)