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Russia expects to see an increase in vehicle scrappage fees despite a drop in sales

Russia expects to see an increase in vehicle scrappage fees despite a drop in sales

A document reviewed by shows that the Russian government expects its budget revenue from scrapping fees to increase sharply in this year and the next, despite a steep decline in vehicle sales.

The draft budget forecasts scrappage fees revenues of nearly 1.65 trillion Russian roubles (19.71 billion dollars), an increase of 46.7% over the 1.12 trillion roubles expected for 2025.

Government has collected only a fraction of this total so far in 2018, at 267 billion Rubels, as of 23 September. However, the government said that future revenue growth will be driven both by an annual indexation of fee rates and a recovery of vehicle production. The Russian Finance Ministry said that revenues from car scrappage will be well below budgeted levels for this year. As a result, state funding may not be available to support some industrial development programs.

Analysts and automakers predict that car sales will fall by a quarter around 2025, following a market recovery of two years which began in 2023.

The sales in the first eight-months of this year are already down by 23% compared to last year, at 773,264 vehicles. Some Russian automakers have switched to a four day work week due to poor demand.

Scrappage fees are imposed on both domestic and imported vehicles. The amount varies depending on the type of vehicle. The Russian industry ministry proposed a new method for calculating scrappage fees starting in November. This could result in further price increases on some expensive cars.

As compensation, Russian automakers receive state subsidies. This has led to a rise in car prices and a shrinking of the market.

(source: Reuters)