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Banks say it will take some time for oil flows to return through Hormuz.

Analysts at two banks say it could take several months to see a recovery in oil flow through the Strait of?Hormuz, and oil production, following?the U.S. Iran interim peace agreement.

The Iran conflict caused a disruption in shipments?through? the strait. This is where about a quarter of global oil supplies pass. Oil prices rose sharply. Brent crude reached a record high of $126 per barrel in April, which is a four-year low.

Goldman Sachs expects Middle East Gulf exports to return to pre-war levels before the end of July and crude production to rebound by October.

Although ship availability does not constitute a constraint on exports, shipowners' caution could be a factor, the report said.

In a report published on June 17, the bank stated that "we see shippers' aversion to risk as a possible constraint on flows, along Iran's geopolitical objectives over the 60-day negotiations for the nuclear deal."

BNP Paribas stated that, even in the best-case scenario, it would still take several months to normalise oil flows. This would mean that producers would have to re-start about 12 million barrels of production per day.

Bank of America stated that clearing mines could take months and not days due to logistical challenges. They also said the oil markets may remain in deficit until the fourth quarter of 2020.

Brent oil traded at $77.16 per barrel as of 1403 GMT on Thursday, as the deal eased fears over a prolonged shortage. (Reporting and editing by Alex Lawler in Bengaluru, and Jan Harvey.)

(source: Reuters)