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Oil prices rise as stocks fall on Iran War Worries

Oil prices rise as stocks fall on Iran War Worries
Oil prices rise as stocks fall on Iran War Worries

Oil prices surged Thursday, and equity markets around the world fell after U.S. president Donald Trump's remarks dashed expectations of a "quick resolution" to the Iran War.

Still, European'shares' trimmed their losses and U.S. bonds clawed back any gains on rekindled hopes of a reopening of Strait of Hormuz. Iran's foreign ministry announced that it was working on a protocol to monitor the traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, which is used by a fifth or global oil and LNG. Brent crude jumped more than 7% per barrel after Trump stated in a prime time address on Wednesday, that the United States will hit Iran "extremely" in the next few weeks and "bring [them] back to the Stone Ages."

Stocks on Wall Street were lower at the end of the trading week due to the Good Friday holiday.

Gold prices dropped as the U.S. Dollar gained.

The yields on government bonds jumped as central banks raised interest rates or held them at the same level in anticipation of a spike in inflation.

The dollar index (which measures the greenback versus a basket of currencies, including the yen, the euro and others) rose by 0.48%.

Felix-Antoine VezinaPoirier, BCA Research, said: "During the past 48-hours, Tehran and Washington exchanged a cacophony, with some statements suggesting a rising likelihood of de-escalation." GeoMacro strategists provide a simple guideline for weighing headlines that are volatile: stick to the facts. Shipping through Hormuz increased over the past few days. Second, Iran has deliberately shifted its focus "away from GCC targets (Gulf Cooperation Council), toward Israeli ones."

WALL STREET POINTS WERE LOWER

The MSCI index of global stocks fell by 0.59%, to 990.80.

Wall Street saw the Dow Jones Industrial Average fall 0.39% to 46383.81, S&P 500 decline 0.23% at 6,560.04 while the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.28% at 21,780.3.

In an address that was closely watched on Wednesday, Trump stated that U.S. attack on Iran will be intensified in the next two-three weeks. This came just one day after Trump said the United States was "out of Iran fairly quickly." Both the pan-European STOXX 600?and Europe’s broad FTSEurofirst 300 indices lost 0.2%.

The Kospi Index in South Korea fell 4.7%.

Prashant Nnewnaha, senior rate strategist at TD Securities said: "The only thing really important is whether or not the Strait of Hormuz opens soon."

Trump said earlier on Wednesday that the United States does not need the main oil gateway.

Spot gold fell 2.15%, to $4,654.89 per ounce, and U.S. futures gold settled down at $4,679.70, a 2.8% decline. India's central bank banned the trading of non-deliverable futures to stop rupees from falling to record lows. The currency rose 2% after the move, but analysts were unsure how long this rebound would last.

Brent futures rose 7.59% to $100.84 per barrel while U.S. West Texas Intermediate closed up 11.41% at $111.54.

Jon Withaar, Pictet Asset Management, said that the fact that "boots on the ground" were not ruled-out (during Trump’s TV address), and that the threats to strike infrastructure were reiterated will put the markets back on "the defensive."

The yield on benchmark U.S. 10 year notes dropped 1.4 basis points, to 4.307%. The yield on the two-year notes, which moves typically in line with expectations of interest rates for the Federal Reserve fell 0.9 basis point to 3.794%.

The yields on the benchmark Bunds in the euro zone ended a three-day slide and traders increased their bets that interest rates will rise. The yield of the benchmark German 10-year increased by 0.7 basis points, to 3.002%.

(source: Reuters)