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The devil is in the details.

Wayne Cole gives us a look at what the future holds for European and global markets.

Choose from "substantial", "constructive", a "first step", a "reached an important consensus", or "good news for world". The best is "as we say in China, as long as the food is delicious, timing does not matter".

These were the words of negotiators at the U.S. - China trade talks that took place over the weekend in Geneva. They sound more positive than the jingoistic rhetoric of the initial announcement by President Trump of his 145% tariffs.

It was not clear what the actual tariffs were. Later on Monday, a joint statement may provide more details, but markets do not believe the White House's claim that there is a "deal".

Investors trusting the word of an uni-party communist state more than the United States is a strange world.

Markets are relieved there were no weapons drawn during the discussions and Nasdaq and S&P futures have gained almost 2% and 1.4% respectively. European stock futures are up about 0.8%.

Treasuries are being sold in a knee-jerk reaction as the market continues to reduce its expectations about the future pace of Fed rate reductions.

Now, the odds of a June easing have been priced at 17% and July at 59%. Futures suggest 63 basis point cuts for this year compared to 110 bps at mid-April.

The fragile ceasefire between India and Pakistan helped to lift the mood, while Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelenskiy announced that he would be ready to meet Vladimir Putin for talks in Turkey on Friday.

Analysts believe that the first impact of tariffs on the economy will be seen in the report for May. Retail sales for April are expected to remain flat, but the risks to the downside will be high due to the impact of the import levies on consumer sentiment.

Tariffs are not expected to be applied to the 747 Trump intends to accept from Qatar's royal family, which is decked out in gold. It seems that membership comes with its own privileges.

Market developments on Monday that may have a significant impact

ECB members Buch and Cipollone are present at the Eurogroup. Also, BoE Deputy Governor Lombardelli is in attendance as well as policymakers Greene Mann Taylor and Greene.

Kugler, Fed Board Governor, speaks about the economy

(source: Reuters)