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Russia's lack of infrastructure makes it impossible to replace US LPG with China

The lack of infrastructure in Russia will make it difficult for the country's exporters to compensate for any disruptions to U.S. LPG supplies caused by tariffs.

Insiders in the industry say that Chinese petrochemical manufacturers that purchase U.S. LPG for $11 billion a year are likely to reduce production or close down their plants as retaliatory duties on U.S. imported goods drive up prices.

LPG (or propane and butane) is used primarily as a fuel for cars and heating, and also to make other petrochemicals.

Russia is the fifth largest producer of LPG in the world, but it exports its LPG to China by rail and truck.

The lack of a LPG terminal in the area limits its ability to increase shipments in the east.

After repeated delays, including due to lack of funding and uncertainty over production, Russia expects to finish the construction of a LPG sea port at the Pacific Port of Sovetskaya Gvan by the end this year.

Data from industry sources shows that Russia's LPG exported to China by rail last year was around 300,000 tons. This is around 9% or the total amount of LPG Russia exports.

This compares to China's imports of LPG by sea, which amounted to around 35 million tonnes last year.

According to LSEG, the U.S. accounted 56.3% for the total supply to China. This was followed by United Arab Emirates (10.1%), Iran (9.8%), Qatar (7%) Saudi Arabia (3.9%), Oman (2.9%) and Kuwait (2.7%).

China imported a record 17,3 million tons (or 550,000 barrels) of U.S. Propane last year. This represents 60% of China’s total propane imports. Barbara Lewis edited the report.

(source: Reuters)